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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread


Maestrobjwa
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5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

This finding it's way into being a canonical Nina blizzard makes sense. Long as it's something we can cash in a litttle bit as opposed to the storms we can't name

give me 8" and I won't mind @AlexD1990 and BOS getting 25"

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Just now, DDweatherman said:

Time for it to piss us off like it quite literally always does. 6z was better than 0z which was worse than 18z which was a lot better than yday’s 12z…

still no coastal tho, mainly just ivt 

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1204 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

VAZ507-508-210115-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0003.260222T1100Z-260223T1100Z/
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
1204 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 inches
  or more possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Central Virginia Blue Ridge and Northern Virginia Blue
  Ridge.

* WHEN...From Sunday morning through late Sunday night.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
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I believe there is potential for 12"+ for coastal regions from Delaware to Mass, but I am honestly decently concerned about a potential rug pull I-95 N and W with this one. A storm as intense as this is likely to have a more consolidated precipitation shield which slams the coast, but can make it difficult for those bands to pivot farther inland. There is legitimate risk the phase does not occur until north of our latitude unless we see more digging upstream. The inverted trough is a wild card that could make up for it in spots though. Not to mention, surface temperatures are marginal with this one, and we could see a period of white rain cut down on totals. Hoping for the best, but I see clear warning signs and parallels to storms like January 2015, January 2022, December 2000, etc. 

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LWX's latest list of WSWs...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1204 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

MDZ509-510-VAZ503-WVZ501-505-210115-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0003.260222T0600Z-260223T2300Z/
Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Highland-Western Grant-
Western Pendleton-
1204 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 inches
  or more possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...In Maryland, Eastern Garrett and Western Garrett Counties.
  In Virginia, Western Highland County. In West Virginia, Western
  Grant and Western Pendleton Counties.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&

$$

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1204 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

VAZ507-508-210115-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0003.260222T1100Z-260223T1100Z/
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
1204 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 inches
  or more possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Central Virginia Blue Ridge and Northern Virginia Blue
  Ridge.

* WHEN...From Sunday morning through late Sunday night.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&

$$

LFR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1131 AM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

PAZ074-076-WVZ510>514-210315-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.A.0003.260222T0600Z-260224T0600Z/
Higher Elevations of Westmoreland-Higher Elevations of Fayette-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
Including the cities of Donegal, Ohiopyle, Kingwood, Ligonier,
Champion, Hendricks, Bruceton Mills, Terra Alta, Davis, Thomas,
Canaan Valley, Coopers Rock, Rowlesburg, Parsons, Saint George, and
Hazelton
1131 AM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...An extended period of snow for high terrain. More than 6
  inches of snow is favored for Sunday through Monday.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Pennsylvania and northern West
  Virginia.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the Monday morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Highest accumulations are most likely for
  grassy surfaces in the high terrain. Snow totals may vary largely
  from valleys to ridgetops. Snow most likely to stick to roads and
  sidewalks Sunday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&

$$

Milcarek

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1126 AM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

WVZ027-028-030-032-039-040-515>526-210300-
/O.NEW.KRLX.WS.A.0004.260222T0600Z-260224T0000Z/
Clay-Braxton-Lewis-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Raleigh-
Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-Southeast Fayette-Northwest
Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-
Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
Southeast Randolph-
Including the cities of Grafton, Beckley, Philippi, Craigsville,
Sophia, Webster Springs, Bradley, Weston, Cowen, Holly River
State Park, Richwood, Belington, Marlinton, Harman, Burnsville,
Clay, Oak Hill, Birch River, Sutton, Elkins, Montgomery,
Gassaway, Buckhannon, Snowshoe, Meadow Bridge, Summersville,
Prosperity, and Fayetteville
1126 AM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations
  between 5 and 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40
  mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northeast, northern, and southeast
  West Virginia.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is
winterized and in good working order.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather,
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

ARJ
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10 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

LOL, i dont know if this area has ever even had a 25" snow. even the 2010 storms individually were not that much. maybe one of the late 1890s storms..

Not sure how it was where you are on the coast, but pretty sure PD1 in 1979 dropped 20-25" from Laurel-Seaford up toward Dover.

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Just now, bncho said:

i'm trying to hold a conversation with my FRIENDS while eating while PBPing. hard job I know

In my high school experience (20 years ago), people actually appreciated my nerding out on weather models, especially when it impacted whether we’d have school the next few days

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