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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread


Maestrobjwa
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57 minutes ago, Interstate said:

You can see that PSU was trolling by keep posting maps about the IVT during the whole PBP of the GFS.

It’s the fooking GFS. I want a HECS as bad as everyone else but I give the gfs about as much credence as the JMA. It doesn’t even deserve play by play anymore. It’s not a major player anymore it’s just not.  How many times has it failed in the last 2 years. Maybe not THIS bad but every fooking time we say “it can’t be this bad every time”  Ya it is. We’d be better off ignoring it!  I’m paying attention to the thing that might actually be real and is on all the better guidance. 
 

This isn’t to say there is 0 chance. Sure once in a blue moon some crazy freak solution can happen. There are a couple members within the better ensembles like that. It’s within the scope of what’s possible. But it’s a crazy long shot and I’m not getting excited until something better shows it. Until then I’m focused on the IVT which I think is real and they can sometimes put down a lot of snow. At least by our pittance standards. 

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

It’s the fooking GFS. I want a HECS as bad as everyone else but I give the gfs about as much credence as the JMA. It doesn’t even deserve play by play anymore. It’s not a major player anymore it’s just not.  How many times has it failed in the last 2 years. Maybe not THIS bad but every fooking time we say “it can’t be this bad every time”  Ya it is. We’d be better off ignoring it!  I’m paying attention to the thing that might actually be real and is on all the better guidance. 
 

This isn’t to say there is 0 chance. Sure once in a blue moon some crazy freak solution can happen. There are a couple members within the better ensembles like that. It’s within the scope of what’s possible. But it’s a crazy long shot and I’m not getting excited until something better shows it. Until then I’m focused on the IVT which I think is real and they can sometimes put down a lot of snow. At least by our pittance standards. 

Sir:  you are a great poster but maybe you need some rest; little crazy tonight.

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

It’s the fooking GFS. I want a HECS as bad as everyone else but I give the gfs about as much credence as the JMA. It doesn’t even deserve play by play anymore. It’s not a major player anymore it’s just not.  How many times has it failed in the last 2 years. Maybe not THIS bad but every fooking time we say “it can’t be this bad every time”  Ya it is. We’d be better off ignoring it!  I’m paying attention to the thing that might actually be real and is on all the better guidance. 
 

This isn’t to say there is 0 chance. Sure once in a blue moon some crazy freak solution can happen. There are a couple members within the better ensembles like that. It’s within the scope of what’s possible. But it’s a crazy long shot and I’m not getting excited until something better shows it. Until then I’m focused on the IVT which I think is real and they can sometimes put down a lot of snow. At least by our pittance standards. 

 

Just now, stormtracker said:

No remarkable difference so far at 36...but at 42...up in Canada/ND...it does have a different look...a bit more like the GFS...but NOT the GFS...calm down, lol

 

Just now, Jake Wx said:

OMGGGG

ecmwf-aifs-all-ma-total_snow_10to1-2128800.png

Yall are a fng rollercoaster of emotions.

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