40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Henry's Weather said: I think I am coming to terms with likely being in between the best zones - I’ll take a 16” anyday Where are you? I get less jackpot needy if I already have a great pack...I would be fine with like 16", too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Where are you? I get less jackpot needy if I already have a great pack...I would be fine with like 16", too. West Concord currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, subdude said: Is there a possibility of some in SE MA getting 30 out of this? It’s a definite possibility if we end up training convection into the CCB. Some of the models have that April ‘97 look with that feature. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: West Concord currently You have a decent shot of getting deformed. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s a definite possibility if we end up training convection into the CCB. Some of the models have that April ‘97 look with that feature. It looks like I get into the N fringe of that, just as this area did in '97. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just saw a map on TWC, and it looks like they are riding the GFS since that map looked much like the GFS qpf distribution at 0z. Just a day or two ago, one of them said the likelihood of the GFS solution (which was more robust than the Euro at the time) was very slim. You can't make this stuff up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I feel like it's my birthday and I'm going to Red Lobster, maybe Mr. Happy's for a lap dance. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 7 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Just saw a map on TWC, and it looks like they are riding the GFS since that map looked much like the GFS qpf distribution at 0z. Just a day or two ago, one of them said the likelihood of the GFS solution (which was more robust than the Euro at the time) was very slim. You can't make this stuff up. Watch....there is going to be a slamming band right where the GFS has like 8" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Watch....there is going to be a slamming band right where the GFS has like 8" of snow. 10-13" us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: 10-13" us I'd say 16" if someone put a gun to my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 +10% juice relative to 18z AI-EURO, essentially back to 12z output. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I was looking back on Nemo from 2013 right before the storm got going. The GFS was showing the storm well SE of where it actually was on radar. Point is, when we're getting this close, accuracy on the major models isn't really as important. If I do remember correctly, I was watching Joe fury the night before talking about some the NAM output for snowfall accumulations, and Joe was saying he's not sure he believes what it was projecting. We all know where we ended up in Connecticut. So the Nam snowfall projections wound up coming true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 bullish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, CCHurricane said: +10% juice relative to 18z AI-EURO, essentially back to 12z output. Yea, this thing is what it is IMHO....it's been stable since the NW trend ended like 30 hours ago...except for the GFS, which I toss right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, ma blizzard said: bullish Does that get further north on subsequent frames? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Does that get further north on subsequent frames? thats the last frame it only goes out 48 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Does that get further north on subsequent frames? Full run is even better 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Does that get further north on subsequent frames? This goes further north on subsequent frames… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Full run is even better Bun me up and show me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Euro NW again .. widespread 12-18”+ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This goes further north on subsequent frames… Yea steady diet of weenie enemas for days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Euro NW again .. widespread 12-18”+ Called that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 7 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: +10% juice relative to 18z AI-EURO, essentially back to 12z output. 00z OP-EURO showing the same +10% QPF bump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Euro NW again .. widespread 12-18”+ Yep. Looks damn good. Chips fall mode now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Even the Euro track is a bit further north at 36 hr and further west at 42 hr than the 12z run. Don't have access to the 18z run. Qpf enhanced from the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Full run is even better That gives me about exactly the 16" I just guessed to tittie twisting tiger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Called that The situation feels clarified now… serve is held Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Full run is even better Instant buy… jesus christ, and the winds. Woah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That gives me about exactly the 16" I just guess to tittie twisting tiger. same time frame as the image I posted just 2 different products .. ensemble mean vs ensemble probability matched mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Full run is even better First time I’ve ever seen greys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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