“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[ineedsnow]

Probably a monster ccb to the west

[ineedsnow]

[ineedsnow]

6z CMC better

[wxsniss]

Just back from Disney, lots of tracking waiting in lines all week

GFS / AI GFS led the way and wow 6z ticked even further NW

blizzard for southeast portions at least

970s tracking closer to BM

Warning much of SNE

foot+ ORH east 

[The 4 Seasons]

6Z AI GFS is a nuke! Great run

A foot from NY to BOS

Back from the dead. Funny to watch this model go from a cutter to a complete whiff and way back NW over the past 4 days

 

[UnitedWx]

GFS still not backing down...

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, UnitedWx said:

GFS still not backing down...

Doubling down if anything

[UnitedWx]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

Doubling down if anything

For sure. I'd love to see it, but still don't believe it. 

[SnoSki14]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Doubling down if anything

Strong support from GEFS 

[UnitedWx]

Can't wait to see the Euro this morning,  will there be any change

[CoastalWx]

Jesus 6z stuff is like perfect here lol. Yeah curious to see euro guidance later.

[UnitedWx]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Jesus 6z stuff is like perfect here lol. Yeah curious to see euro guidance later.

It's trying It's best to suck our nay sayers in... don't bite yet lol

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

It's trying It's best to suck our nay sayers in... don't bite yet lol

This winter has been exhausting lol. Between hoping for things to work out because the last several have sucked, to the big one actually working out in late January, to the ones that did not work out, and now this lol. Woof.

[Great Snow 1717]

At this point BOX seems to be completely ignoring the GFS ...

[UnitedWx]

3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

At this point BOX seems to be completely ignoring the GFS ...

Not the Poke at something while it's down, but I generally ignore them as well... but i still don't buy the GFS 

[Kitz Craver]

For the love of god please don’t be a head fake

[dendrite]

GFS is a little west of other guidance right now with pivoting that vortmax around the ULL in the OH valley area. It let’s it curl up closer to the Cape. 

[The 4 Seasons]

30 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Strong support from GEFS 

Yeah this is what you want to start seeing for the potential for a big dog, a bunch of members inside the BM tucked in near ACK. 

It's the first run of the GEFS to really do that. 

Mean went way up as expected

6Z

00Z

18Z

[The 4 Seasons]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This winter has been exhausting lol. Between hoping for things to work out because the last several have sucked, to the big one actually working out in late January, to the ones that did not work out, and now this lol. Woof.

All the good winters are usually exhausting and peppered in with busts, bad luck and wasted potential

14-15 was a great winter but exhausting and frustrating at the same down here WOR.

Same with 17-18 many busts that winter and still ended up with near 60". Could have been 80-100. 

[Johnno]

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Yeah this is what you want to start seeing for the potential for a big dog, a bunch of members inside the BM tucked in near ACK. 

It's the first run of the GEFS to really do that. 

Mean went way up as expected

6Z

00Z

18Z

Great sign there 

[SouthCoastMA]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs crushes the cape

Actually we do better with 40/69 or 39/70..but yeah that's still a crush job, and likely hammers much of eastern NE

[Kitz Craver]

Man GFS isn’t holding, it’s getting better every run, lol

[weatherwiz]

Can't hate overnight guidance, definitely enough to keep the interest involved. What we needed to see happen last night, we saw, at least to some degree. Now we hope to continue this as 12z

[The 4 Seasons]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

6Z AI GFS is a nuke! Great run

A foot from NY to BOS

Back from the dead. Funny to watch this model go from a cutter to a complete whiff and way back NW over the past 4 days

4-Day Trend

We've seen the AIs been extremely stable in a lot of storms this season but this one isn't really acting like that. 

The AI-EC took a pretty huge jump NW at 00Z and has been bouncing around quite a bit. 

Getting closer in a imagine we'll start to see things start stabilizing at bit more on the AI front we'll see.

[dendrite]

A slight SE tick with the ec AIFS

[Sey-Mour Snow]

lol EURO says no thanks.. 

[mahk_webstah]

I thought the 6z euro ai just now continues to look great for SNE.  Also a clear north jog off the Delaware coast as it intensifies but then ne to maybe just outside the BM.  Plausible this could come in further nw 

[dendrite]

Yeah not much change in the op

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

lol EURO says no thanks.. 

?

[dendrite]

I’ll take that back. Looks better for AEMATT