“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[78Blizzard]

13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

this feels to me like one that is going to keep trending for most of us.  dunno why, maybe because so many runs a few days ago had big solutions, crawlers along the NE coast.  This could really start to get a lot better over the next 2-3 cycles.

I wouldn't be surprised to see a stalled monster off the Jersey coast by tomorrow's runs.

[Kitz Craver]

46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You and they know who they are 

I was bummed this morning no doubt when the overnight modeling folded to the EURO like a fatty on a cheap lawn chair. I’m not sure if this is coming back in earnest however. We need some cross model agreement and it has to be for more than one run. Beware of the blue ball cocktease is what I’ll say

[cleetussnow]

This is back to 50/50 for most if the Euro makes any adjustment NW, otherwise hold weenies.  

We've seen countless times, for whatever unique factors of storms in the past, we lose mid range modelled storms only to revert with time.  I don't know how scientific that observation is in reality but for now that's a reassurance for tracking's sake.

[WxWatcher007]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Waiting for euro suite to rip off weenie. 

Euro/Skynet double team?

[MegaMike]

How bout' an EPS trend gif before its 12z cycle?

Definite improvement on the mean since yesterday's 18z run. I wonder if models over corrected last night given some sort of data assimilation feedback... We'll see!

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro/Skynet double team?

I just want improvement, but by more than 5 miles NW. Don't need a massive hit at the moment.

[40/70 Benchmark]

53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And why did some folks give up on this yesterday and this morning ? Riddle me that 

I said it wasn't over on modeling...but in the end it will be a graze...following the script.

[WeatherGeek2025]

I bet the euro ai tucks

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I bet the euro ai tucks

And I bet it sucks. Same with regular euro, since we’re doing predictions 

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

And I bet it sucks. Same with regular euro, since we’re doing predictions 

fair enough i'll be back in ten min

[SouthCoastMA]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

And I bet it sucks. Same with regular euro, since we’re doing predictions 

If I had to wager..not like the CMC but small improvement .

Actually the 6z is similar to 12z GFS so any improvement or hold would be welcome

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

i’ll be shocked if this turns back into a sne blizzard. I’ve thought from the get go this should be plowable but not memorable. It will feel great to be wrong though…

I won't be suprised to see some blizzard runs...

[NeonPeon]

If we are predicting predictions now, I would like to predict predictions of predictions. I'm going to stick my neck on the line and say there will be, regardless of verification of prediction of prediction, a strong signal of interest from Southeastern posters in making predictions of predictions, while others in the interior post it's over, you're still tracking this thing, etc. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I bet 3 euros i tuck

I wouldn't take that bet...fun AI image that would be....

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

And I bet it sucks. Same with regular euro, since we’re doing predictions 

These are hot takes.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

These are hot takes.

Coming from the “it’s over” guy. Classic 

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wouldn't take that bet...fun AI image that would be....

i got 5 euros on it

[WeatherGeek2025]

euro ai is a little west, tuck is the end result i meant to say

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i got 5 euros on it

Partner lets go half on a sack?

[ORH_wxman]

Euro skynet with a nice bump NW

 

That would be a good hit for eastern areas. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Coming from the “it’s over” guy. Classic 

It's just beginning.

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Partner lets go half on a sack?

Messin wit that d-drip feed

[SouthCoastMA]

The AIFS had the low further south to start but ended up close to 6z..maybe very slight nudge like some said. 

[mahk_webstah]

We just wanna keep seeing that northerly component to the motion once it starts to blow up east northeast from Hatteras
 

[CoastalWx]

I think 6Z was a bit better verbatim, but 12z had a better H5 low.

[CT Rain]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I think 6Z was a bit better verbatim, but 12z had a better H5 low.

Agree with this assessment. 108 hours to trend this to the Canal. 

[CoastalWx]

Was hoping for a bit of a better look.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Agree with this assessment. 108 hours to trend this to the Canal. 

I thought it would show a better precip shield. But it works I guess for now.

[brooklynwx99]

as if right on cue, euro looks like total dogshit

it's incredible how the 06/18z runs of the euro are just always erratic just to revert back to whatever the 00/12z runs show

[Prismshine Productions]

Watch the monkey paw curl to where I-90 and North get 25-40" (especially NoP) but South coast mixes

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