Jt17 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 The Canadian Ensemble mean also has 12”+ potential back to NYC. Show that to the guy who wanted one non-US model to show an amped solution. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, boxingdayblizzard said: Does the ai euro run at 18z? Yes it does 10 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, boxingdayblizzard said: Does the ai euro run at 18z? Yes comes out around 6:15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NsWx516 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Jt17 said: Show that to the guy who wanted one non-US model to show an amped solution. . What about the JMA? That was one of the first to have the storm also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 KU IF Correct -- I would take 1/2 of this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, NsWx516 said: What about the JMA? That was one of the first to have the storm also The JMA got February 2006 right two weeks before it actually occurred. Those were great times. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: KU IF Correct -- I would take 1/2 of this Why take half when you can have full? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: KU IF Correct -- I would take 1/2 of this just saw a pennsy weather discussion online where they said welp, we went from a minor event to potentially historic here...... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, Mail Man said: Yes it does 10 minutes Love all the replies! Let’s see what euros do in the next 30 minutes then. Been fun to track this storm.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 HECS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, Nibor said: Why take half when you can have full? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Would love for the euro to hop into a major storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Nibor said: Why take half when you can have full? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NsWx516 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Mail Man said: Would love for the euro to hop into a major storm. Honestly in this point and time I dont see how it cannot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, NsWx516 said: Honestly in this point and time I dont see how it cannot well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 15 minutes ago, Jt17 said: Show that to the guy who wanted one non-US model to show an amped solution. . That’s what everyone want’s to see starting at 0z. Since the NAM is still outside its best under 48 hr range and it hasn’t had an update since 2017. Plus the OP GFS is still more amped and further west than the other operational guidance. But I can see a meet in the middle scenario where we come in under than the OP GFS snowfall totals but higher than some of the other operational runs. We should have a good idea after the 0z to 12z guidance. Sometimes the max banding potential can sneak a little more west than the average of the guidance. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 18 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Mt Holly 1/10 chance maps. Haven't seen something like this in a LONG time A few weeks ago 18-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Santa Claus said: well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong The EURO caved to the GFS. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Santa Claus said: well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong I mean basically every recent model suite is showing a minimum of 10” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 47 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: gotta spread awareness you don't want people scheduling stuff during a blizzard, it's going to be dangerous to be out and about! thing that is worrisome is its going to be a heavy wet snow with high winds that causes problems . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Already positive changes. Steeper ridge out west. More phased/slightly sharper trough. A little more spacing with the eventual 50/50 low. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Yeah right from the start euro is phasing better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: Already positive changes. Steeper ridge out west. More phased/slightly sharper trough. A little more spacing with the eventual 50/50 low. Euro trying to play catch up to the GFS - SAD !! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: Already positive changes. Steeper ridge out west. More phased/slightly sharper trough. A little more spacing with the eventual 50/50 low. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, NEG NAO said: Euro trying to play catch up to the GFS - SAD !! What has this world become? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 7 minutes ago, Santa Claus said: well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong Nah, that never happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Hearing euro ai is west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Mail Man said: Hearing euro ai is west Yes 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, gravitylover said: Nah, that never happens even if it is half wrong its still a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I would also add to that the days with snow cover in NYC this season. If this storm does verify, the number of days this winter may approach or exceed 50. I don't really know how many winters have had over 50 days of snow cover in NYC. The last one off the top of my head was 2010/11. There may have been 1 or 2 after that but I'm not sure. We still have 2-3" of heavy snow/sleet on our entire property (over 1" since 1/17), although it's no longer topped off with a hard frozen sleetcrete layer anymore as that has softened up from the rain/warmth. Should still be >1" on Sunday and then boom! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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