BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 My latest thoughts: MMU: 6-10 NYC: 10-14 Central/Eastern LI: 12-20 (locally 2ft) enjoy all! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Man hopefully things hold today, we are 24-30 hrs away from a biggy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 hours ago, nycwinter said: i am curious why the nws would issue a blizzard warning kinda early considering the euro run not usually like them to jump the gun so fast.. 2015 24 to 36 when the EURO and Nam were alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 19 minutes ago, njwx7 said: SREF continues to get more bullish. Crazy Yes please. Being in New Brunswick I can afford some NW ticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 some of these TV mets are really dropping the ball I think.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Blizzardo said: some of these TV mets are really dropping the ball I think.... wait till tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Sure glad I am few miles west of Staten Island - wouldn't want to be caught in that Blizzardbut seriously does anyone think conditions will be any different in the Eastern Counties of NJ ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 this lady is saying hours and hours of 1-2 inches per hour... and a chance of up to 12" SMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, NEG NAO said: Sure glad I am few miles west of Staten Island - wouldn't want to be caught in that Blizzard I am probably 2 miles south of Staten Island as the crow flies.. Just about on the Monmouth county border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 39 minutes ago, EasternLI said: QPF 6z euro and 6z EPS standard version Euro is a solid 6 to 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Yes please. Being in New Brunswick I can afford some NW ticks. Same and we can afford it forum wide but we’ll see how it goes. Euro shows a moderate storm for our area but nothing like NAM/GFS that both have me at over 20” multiple runs. one will be right when all is said and done on Monday. TBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Blizzardo said: I am probably 2 miles south of Staten Island as the crow flies.. Just about on the Monmouth county border you to I am sure your will notice the 10 mph wind difference 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NsWx516 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 At what point do we start discussin the threat for Friday on the gfs lol 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 On February 20, 2026, the PNA was -1.475. The PNA is forecast to remain negative through the remainder of February. During the second half of February and afterward, most of the big I-95 Area snowstorms occur with a negative PNA on account of shortening wave lengths. A major to potentially historic blizzard is possible Sunday into Monday. With 10.0" or more snow, Winter 2025-2026 would be on track to become just the third winter on record in New York City to record two 10" or greater snowstorms, a seasonal mean temperature of 32.0° or below and 30.0" or more seasonal snowfall. Winter records go way back to 1869-1870. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, NsWx516 said: At what point do we start discussin the threat for Friday on the gfs lol When this one is over. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, NsWx516 said: At what point do we start discussin the threat for Friday on the gfs lol In a different thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 7 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Euro is a solid 6 to 12 Euro is still playing catch - up I think the NWS is ignoring it now - but some private METS which will remain nameless are still considering it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 06z Summary Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC SREF: 1.8 / 16.9 NAM: 2.3 / 22.5 RGEM: 1.5 / 14.7 ICON: 1.4 / 12.9 GFS: 2.3 / 22 GFS AI AIFS: 1.6 / 15.8 UKMET: 1.0 / 10.4 GEFS: 1.8 / 18.4 EURO: .09 / 10.1 EURO AI AIFS: 1.1 / 11.1 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I just need 7” more to hit 40” on the year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, NEG NAO said: Euro is still playing catch - up I think the NWS is ignoring it now Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Everyone will be rating this an A+ winter in 48 hours 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 06z : Models Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.49 inches Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 15.5 inches 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Start time guesstimate anyone ? 8 am ?????? and when does she get cranking is it in the afternoon or at night ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM. big difference when trying to remove 8 inches from your driveway VS. 16 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 So far this season I sit at 45.8". With this one I may hit 60" by Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 That was a big shift west by the EURO even if its less than the GFS. At this point even if they converge its a huge storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Probably lose 0.2-0.3 before best snow/dynamics and cooling takeover but still looking like a solid foot or more i95 east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, NEG NAO said: big difference when trying to remove 8 inches from your driveway VS. 16 ps the drifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 @donsutherland1 Good morning, the late-"Icehater," a great poster on the old NYC Metro forum wrote that the temperature during the "Lindsey Storm" of February, 1969 hovered around 34 F and never went below freezing. Would you have temperature data for that storm for CPK or other points? FD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I bet we’re gonna have a large coverage blizzard warning by afternoon update. Don’t see why they wouldn’t upgrade today or tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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