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The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026


Rjay
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3 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

I am always trying to learn.  Did you also hear that there is little blocking if any?  What will make this storm last until Monday afternoon?

some of us are confused that you have a red tag identifying you as a meteorologist....this would indicate at least a BA. i understand you don't learn everything in school, and maybe you specialized in tornados for all i know.....otherwise i don't find you offensive.

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Central Morris County: 2.75" OTG. 30.5F. 1.25" in the past hour. I just went for a long snow walk. It's a glorious evening and blissfully quiet. Most people are inside their cozy homes avoiding the snow. They don't know what they're missing.

I've intentionally avoided looking at models for the past day to try to enjoy this snow event as it comes. It's definitely not snowing gangbusters at the moment and so far the event isn't giving off the characteristic feel of an historical event. Hopefully that changes later tonight. Even this solid but unspectacular rate should be good enough to achieve double digits. I'm hoping the good banding doesn't shift too far east.

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6 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said:

18.5" MAX over my house in Manahawkin, NJ. HRRR prints out another 20" here in south jersey. I only have 2" so far so I hope I cash in when these bands start pivoting. 

Struggling to keep anything more than thst up here in Waretown and Forked River, as well.   We will hopefully see a long duration high dbz band pivot near (or over us) overnight, but Im simply not seeing enough observational temp crash to help us catch up to projected totals.   

For me, snow totals mean far less than the overall coastal impacts... but I like to call things as I see them.  I would consider double digits a win, at this juncture.   Hope we both get to experience some true blizzard conditions, regardless of overall snowfall accumulation.  

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Just now, dseagull said:

Struggling to keep anything more than thst up here in Waretown and Forked River, as well.   We will hopefully see a long duration high dbz band pivot near (or over us) overnight, but Im simply not seeing enough observational temp crash to help us catch up to projected totals.   

For me, snow totals mean far less than the overall coastal impacts... but I like to call things as I see them.  I would consider double digits a win, at this juncture.   Hope we both get to experience some true blizzard conditions, regardless of overall snowfall accumulation.  

Yeah I WAS skeptical, but after looking over all the 0z model runs. Seems like tight consensus for another 18-22" for us. So when this thing gets cranking and pivoting, things might change quick. Dew point is currently at 31 so as soon as this next band rolls through I think we start cooking. 

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8 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Central Morris County: 2.75" OTG. 30.5F. 1.25" in the past hour. I just went for a long snow walk. It's a glorious evening and blissfully quiet. Most people are inside their cozy homes avoiding the snow. They don't know what they're missing.

I've intentionally avoided looking at models for the past day to try to enjoy this snow event as it comes. It's definitely not snowing gangbusters at the moment and so far the event isn't giving off the characteristic feel of an historical event. Hopefully that changes later tonight. Even this solid but unspectacular rate should be good enough to achieve double digits. I'm hoping the good banding doesn't shift too far east.

I have always enjoyed a peaceful, late-night walk through the neighborhood on a night like this, too. So serene.

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Just about 3 in belle mead, only 2.5 inches on pavement..been rather meh but intensity starting to pick up a bit

 

I think some of us have been in some of the subsidence for a bit and that line from my area with about 3 although its snowing moderately now 

it seems like everytime a band tries to approach my area it disspates and hits a brickwall only to see another grow to south and do the same thing

the heavy bands are supposed to pivot up through ny and down through pa and central jersey as the low deepens and sits and spins

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2 minutes ago, dseagull said:

Struggling to keep anything more than thst up here in Waretown and Forked River, as well.   We will hopefully see a long duration high dbz band pivot near (or over us) overnight, but Im simply not seeing enough observational temp crash to help us catch up to projected totals.   

For me, snow totals mean far less than the overall coastal impacts... but I like to call things as I see them.  I would consider double digits a win, at this juncture.   Hope we both get to experience some true blizzard conditions, regardless of overall snowfall accumulation.  

i've been there....getting bupkiss when the forecasts tell me i'm not....march 2018 was brutal for several storms....people here would think i'm lying....but my thought was always that this time of year might be a struggle down there. toms river and howell seem to be doing ok. 

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5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

You and your son will have such great stories about this to go over when he gets older, and his kids too. Enjoy every second!

I will show him the snow through the window when he wakes up.

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12 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Central Morris County: 2.75" OTG. 30.5F. 1.25" in the past hour. I just went for a long snow walk. It's a glorious evening and blissfully quiet. Most people are inside their cozy homes avoiding the snow. They don't know what they're missing.

I've intentionally avoided looking at models for the past day to try to enjoy this snow event as it comes. It's definitely not snowing gangbusters at the moment and so far the event isn't giving off the characteristic feel of an historical event. Hopefully that changes later tonight. Even this solid but unspectacular rate should be good enough to achieve double digits. I'm hoping the good banding doesn't shift too far east.

I might reach double digits after this band moves through (at 6 now)

Screenshot_20260222_210043_RadarScope.jpg

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Kuchera has 15 for NYC and near 30 for eastern LI.

The people don't understand it doesn't include what has fallen. Plus HRRR is 20 more for nyc. The trends have been amazing for the last 10 hours on the mesoscale models.


.
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Just now, MJO812 said:

I dont think the models show the heavy banding this evening. Everything was supposed to get going overnight. 

That was also on top of everythin till 7pm, or from 7pm onwards.  Classic!

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