The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[nycsnow]

[MJO812]

Beauty

[SACRUS]

 

2/21 12z GFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 -24

 

 

Snow 10:1

[MJO812]

Kuchera 

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

People need to save the PBP for folks that know what they are doing, thanks.

can you or allsnow just do it

[winterwarlock]

Gfs has cut those amounts somewhst from previous runs

[allgame830]

@Rjayi just ran out of emojis too!!! Up the counter! 

[North and West]

Its varies depending on where you live. 

a state of delusion


.

[WeatherGeek2025]

GFS 12z is a #HECS 

[allgame830]

Just now, winterwarlock said:

Gfs has cut those amounts somewhst from previous runs

Not really it’s just more uniform. Coming into agreement with more so with the globals

[SACRUS]

[winterwarlock]

Just now, allgame830 said:

Not really it’s just more uniform. Coming into agreement with more so with the globals

Its moving away from the insane nam amounts

 

The calls of 8-16 with some 12-20 are pretty good calls

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, TriPol said:

1996 isn't even in the top 5 snowfalls at Central Park anymore. 

Got 31" in Garwood, which confirmed the same amount in Elizabeth, 3 towns to my north.  Central Park drastically under measured.

[SACRUS]

 

2/21 12z GFS AI AIGFS

 

 

 

[Nibor]

Just now, winterwarlock said:

Its moving away from the insane nam amounts

 

The calls of 8-16 with some 12-20 are pretty good calls

No one should take the nam amounts seriously

[nycsnow]

3 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Gfs has cut those amounts somewhst from previous runs

An inch or 2 isn’t cut model noise 

[SACRUS]

 

 

2/21 GFS AI AIGFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

 

Snow 10:1

 

 

[nycsnow]

10-20 localized 2 feet would be a solid call for most places 

[WIN]

1 hour ago, weathermedic said:

Jan 96 did that 

February 78 as well.

[Metasequoia]

The short range models (HRRR,RAP, 3K NAM) have extreme amounts. Am I missing any?

[winterwarlock]

2 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

An inch or 2 isn’t cut model noise 

Certainly nw nj is under tight gradient

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8

Updated GFS

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Kuchera 

That's the 10:1. You definitely need sleep. 

[Metasequoia]

1 minute ago, Metasequoia said:

The short range models (HRRR,RAP, 3K NAM) have extreme amounts. Am I missing any?

Plus... Forky thinks 20 to 30. That carries weight.

[Prue11]

I keep hearing people are concerned with the euro and because of that people are keeping totals down. Can anyone explain?

[Snowman92]

Tonights HRRR will tell the story of phasing, banding and exact direction whether more west or east

[SACRUS]

 

GGEM 992 off DelMarVa 

[Chet-NYC]

3 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

Got 31" in Garwood, which confirmed the same amount in Elizabeth, 3 towns to my north.  Central Park drastically under measured.

Same here in Staten Island.  I vividly remember there was this strip that sort of went along the turnpike, including Staten Island, through Newark that got 30" or a bit more.   Even worse were the drifts.  I had 40" piled up against the front of my house. 

[Northof78]

11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Beauty

Increadible....NAM/GFS/S Range/NBM all have PHL, ABE, ORH, to near ALB getting 10" - 15"+ now....way west of previous...I think I-95 ends up being bonus give or take 25 miles

[psv88]

Euro still not on board eh