The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[Yanksfan]

7 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

However unlikely this may be. If any of those insane western sref members were ever to actually take place. I'll see you all after we rebuild all infrastructure.

That track and intensity verbatim would be 2-3 ft area wide. Incredible.

[TJW014]

2 minutes ago, Mr. T. said:

Pretty much. It's exit 98. I used to live in Toms River, NJ (moved this year) and hated how it didn't snow there for the past 3 to 5 years except once. Wish I could go there one more time as it much jackpot for this storm.

See, you understand! Haven't had a 10+ snow since 2018 (I wasn't here for Jan 2022)

[Prue11]

Someone on the coast is going to get pummeled with 30”

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, Mr. T. said:

Pretty much. It's exit 98. I used to live in Toms River, NJ and hated how it didn't snow there for the past 3 to 5 years except once. Wish I could go there one more time as it much jackpot for this storm.

will be interesting to see how the barrier islands in Ocean County do with this storm - I remember traveling west from Silverton which had 1 inch to Southern Lakewood - 7 miles away which had 7 inches from a storm

[nycsnow]

[NsWx516]

2 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

Someone on the coast is going to get pummeled with 30”

Possibly more if the Nam is to be believed

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, Prue11 said:

Someone on the coast is going to get pummeled with 30”

Not right along the coast in Monmouth or Ocean - I bet there is a mixing or change over at some point for at least a while

[Winterweatherlover]

11 minutes ago, Monty said:

That's a 1 not an I. I think intensity is light enough for the NYC metro that not much accumulates until mid afternoon. There's not much forcing away from the sfc low until all the energy gets into the trof and it detonates.

Yes plus temps a little above freezing means probably white rain in NYC until early-mid afternoon. I was surprised rhe blizzard warning starts 6 am but I guess that's as a precaution. 

[TJW014]

2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

will be interesting to see how the barrier islands in Ocean County do with this storm - I remember traveling west from Silverton which had 1 inch to Southern Lakewood - 7 miles away which had 7 inches from a storm

I'm going to try and get into IBSP Monday (research purposes). I feel somewhere between there and Squan will be the bullseye. Matter of finding somewhere that doesn't have massive drifts

[EasternLI]

Long range HRRR has a crusher on the 12z run

[ILoveWinter]

Sorry for posting such a question but struggling to make a decision: currently in the Berkshires, ok to head back (3 hour drive) tomorrow morning at around 9? It does appear the heavier stuff arrives in the early afternoon but not certain. 

[Winterweatherlover]

1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

Not right along the coast in Monmouth or Ocean - I bet there is a mixing or change over at some point for at least a while

I don't think so with this one. If anything it'll be a rain at start to heavy snow scenario, not prolonged rain during height of storm anywhere. 

[oceanctyguy]

4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

will be interesting to see how the barrier islands in Ocean County do with this storm - I remember traveling west from Silverton which had 1 inch to Southern Lakewood - 7 miles away which had 7 inches from a storm

I'm in Lakewood. Bummed will be missing this. Currently in Florida where its in the mid 80's. Will be watching from afar via my security cameras.

[cleetussnow]

2 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Sorry for posting such a question but struggling to make a decision: currently in the Berkshires, ok to head back (3 hour drive) tomorrow morning at around 9? It does appear the heavier stuff arrives in the early afternoon but not certain. 

Prolly be alright. Not a terrible risk.

[NEG NAO]

3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Sorry for posting such a question but struggling to make a decision: currently in the Berkshires, ok to head back (3 hour drive) tomorrow morning at around 9? It does appear the heavier stuff arrives in the early afternoon but not certain. 

 3 hour drive to where ?

[ILoveWinter]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

 3 hour drive to where ?

Manhattan

[NEG NAO]

Just now, ILoveWinter said:

Manhattan

roads will still be wet during the morning and early afternoon -they are going to put a ton of ice melt and salt down and temps close to or above freezing

[nycsnow]

[EastonSN+]

Just now, nycsnow said:

Further north like we want.

[TJW014]

6 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Sorry for posting such a question but struggling to make a decision: currently in the Berkshires, ok to head back (3 hour drive) tomorrow morning at around 9? It does appear the heavier stuff arrives in the early afternoon but not certain. 

You'll be fine. Even once it snows, it's going to take some time to cool the road surfaces enough for snow to stick. After 4 PM I'd stay off the roads. I have friends coming in from Sunday River (8.5 hour drive) They will be back by 4:30 tomorrow

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

haven't seen anything like that in a while

[EastonSN+]

FWIW watched TWC they are going with 9 inches for Manhattan and just east on LI 16 plus.

 

[EasternLI]

Crusher

 

[TriPol]

With the sREFs, the NAM, and the HRRR all on board giving us an absolutely historical blizzard and the NWS telling us 13 - 18 inches, I have no clue why TV meteorologists are still saying "6 - 10 inches." Are they really hugging the EURO this much and think everything is going to come around to support the EURO?

[Jt17]

FWIW watched TWC they are going with 9 inches for Manhattan and just east on LI 16 plus.
 

Then there going with Euro OP lol - guess old habits diehard


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[Nibor]

That HRRR run would make the whole subforum happy. 

[nycsnow]

It’s still snowing after this

[SnoSki14]

The HRRR is a blizzard. Crazy strong winds covering all of Jersey 

[Blizzardo]

4 minutes ago, TriPol said:

With the sREFs, the NAM, and the HRRR all on board giving us an absolutely historical blizzard and the NWS telling us 13 - 18 inches, I have no clue why TV meteorologists are still saying "6 - 10 inches." Are they really hugging the EURO this much and think everything is going to come around to support the EURO?

I said the same thing an hour ago....

[Jt17]

With the sREFs, the NAM, and the HRRR all on board giving us an absolutely historical blizzard and the NWS telling us 13 - 18 inches, I have no clue why TV meteorologists are still saying "6 - 10 inches." Are they really hugging the EURO this much and think everything is going to come around to support the EURO?

6-10 is enough to be considered a big storm to the public, so if they keep adjusting upward to game time it doesn't look too bad, but it also gives them room to say we never bought those crazy model runs would verify if the storm ends up like the Euro.


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