jm1220 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Ratios with this will be like 9-10:1 probably because the wild winds. It may be 27-29 by the time winds really ramp up but if we are as gusty as 12/26/10 we saw what happened then That storm on the Long Beach boardwalk was the best winter storm experience I’ve ever had. Wind with intensity even though the heaviest was over NJ. Thunder snow on 12/30/00 second best. My mom passed away recently so I can’t stay at her house for this but my place is fine. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, David-LI said: mid levels look good for 12:1 no? Yeah but if we are 30 gusting 45-50 I don’t think it’ll be that high 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago UKMET coming in more amped for sure Gotta wonder why all of the foreign global models except the JMA seemed to struggle with this one... very odd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah but if we are 30 gusting 45-50 I don’t think it’ll be that high oh right makes sense, heck we might get 50” drift accumulation somwhere then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago ukmet 979 off delmarva 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: That storm on the Long Beach boardwalk was the best winter storm experience I’ve ever had. Wind with intensity even though the heaviest was over NJ. Thunder snow on 12/30/00 second best. My mom passed away recently so I can’t stay at her house for this but my place is fine. sorry about ur mom John Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Boom 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Ukie tucking in 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
njwx7 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, Wxbear25 said: UKMET coming in more amped for sure Gotta wonder why all of the foreign global models except the JMA seemed to struggle with this one... very odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago UKMET 00z is a absolute beauty 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, David-LI said: mid levels look good for 12:1 no? Yes. Especially in heavier bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Ukmet is usually a precursor to the Euro. Should be a good run coming after midnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago UKMET more tucked than previous runs for sure, beauty at 968 MB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Someone's getting 3-4"+ rates and thundersnow. The frontogenesis is ridiculous 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2/21 00z UKMET Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 - 24 (expected more) Snow 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, boxingdayblizzard said: UKMET Anyone worried about rain should see how that rain/snow line crashes rapidly even as the low barely moves. This storm is very dynamic! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: sorry about ur mom John Thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah but if we are 30 gusting 45-50 I don’t think it’ll be that high I think the winds will break up the dendrites and slightly temper accumulations but I don't think this is going to be a wet paste type of snow that clings to everything such that it will bring down trees and power lines. Not going to be champagne powder either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, Winterweatherlover said: Anyone worried about rain should see how that rain/snow line crashes rapidly even as the low barely moves. This storm is very dynamic! This isn't a rain snow line storm. It's where's the phase and mid level low tracks/how soon do they close off. And so far they're all trending more favorable every run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: sorry about ur mom John So sorry. Truly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Moderate coastal flooding was already expected this keeps up moderate and major coastal impacts are going be happening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, boxingdayblizzard said: UKMET more tucked than previous runs for sure, beauty at 968 MB I don't buy the lighter precip with an intensifying storm. That seems to be a big difference between the snowier models vs the less snowy ones 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 00z Summary Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC SREF: 1.5 / 14.1 NAM: 2.3 / 22.3 ICON: 1.8 / 16.7 RGEM: 1.0 / 9.2 GFS: 1.9 / 19.1 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.6 / 16 GGEM: 1.4 / 13.5 UKMET: 1.0 / 11 Updated with UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago There is not a single model showing less than 12" for me. Mean average is 20". That's incredible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Thanks Very sorry for your loss my condolences to You and your family Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: I don't buy the lighter precip with an intensifying storm. That seems to be a big difference between the snowier models vs the less snowy ones Ukie is always wonky for some reason with its precip output In the January storm it kept having that snow hole over nyc 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Someone's getting 3-4"+ rates and thundersnow. The frontogenesis is ridiculous If these trends hold absolutely. Going to be some insane banding as this matures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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