Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[GaWx]

3 minutes ago, MDSnow93 said:

Well that's kind of what I'm saying. Why are we taking its snow maps seriously if that's a known issue?

I think many (like me) cut Euro AI clown map amounts way down from what it shows when way above consensus.

[stormtracker]

So far nothing too remarkable.   It is slight flatter in front at H5 compared to 6z so far.  But not into the money panels yet

[stormtracker]

Flatness becomes a bit more apparent at 69 hours

[NorthArlington101]

EURO AI doesn't look dissimilar to the other 12z guidance so idk why we toss. I think there is something genuine to say that the AI is never gonna have a run like the CMC since 70" of snow over the Chesapeake Bay has never happened, did so you can hope it's missing some of the intricate details

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

EURO AI doesn't look dissimilar to the other 12z guidance so idk why we toss. I think there is something genuine to say that the AI is never gonna have a run like the CMC since 70" of snow over the Chesapeake Bay has never happened, did so you can hope it's missing some of the intricate details

Pretty Swan in PA.

[NorthArlington101]

While we wait - PARA CMC has most of the snow with the IVT. Not a fan of the coastal bit.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z EURO washes away the rest of the salt late Th./Friday.

[stormtracker]

It's worse than 6z.  And no inverted trof action.  Progressive. 

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It's worse than 6z.  And no inverted trof action.  Progressive. 

The other models go back the other way while the euro goes back the other. lol typical 

[stormtracker]

But because it's suppressed, it's colder!! 

[TowsonWeather]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's worse than 6z.  And no inverted trof action.  Progressive. 

I hate that fucking model so much. 

The only times it shows snow for us are the times when it's alone and it inevitably misses. But somehow its solo escapades are always right on the money when it's in Dr. No Mode. Sigh.

[Nomz]

Just now, stormtracker said:

But because it's suppressed, it's colder!! 

thread the needle baby

[winter_warlock]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z EURO washes away the rest of the salt late Th./Friday.

Ummm ok

[stormtracker]

We do get a lil light stuff tho.   

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

We do get a lil light stuff tho.   

Euro bouncing around with the rest of them. Plenty more runs to go. 

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

I hate that fucking model so much. 

The only times it shows snow for us are the times when it's alone and it inevitably misses. But somehow its solo escapades are always right on the money when it's in Dr. No Mode. Sigh.

We all do at this point.   It just kills the board and momentum every time.

[Nomz]

Remember, at this range for the January event, we were worried about that 12z GFS run that sent the whole storm to NC

[87storms]

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

But because it's suppressed, it's colder!! 

We need an El Niño in the worst kinda way.

[NorthArlington101]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We do get a lil light stuff tho.   

6z EPS were significantly better. Curious if we lose ground with the 12z EPS. I'm not exactly a believer in the off runs being worse but they do "feel" jumpier. 

[Terpeast]

I said wait until 12z wed, and here we are. Looks like euro can kicked us to tomorrow or friday

[wasnow215]

Any maps for 12z Euro yet?

[psuhoffman]

8 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

I hate that fucking model so much. 

The only times it shows snow for us are the times when it's alone and it inevitably misses. But somehow its solo escapades are always right on the money when it's in Dr. No Mode. Sigh.

AGAIN...the chart...

[psuhoffman]

This is much less confusing once you all accept my conclusion that we are living in a simulation built by the jilted lover of a mid atlantic snow weenie.   

[midatlanticweather]

You know, by the number of posts, the run wasn't great! 

[ravensrule]

4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

This is much less confusing once you all accept my conclusion that we are living in a simulation built by the jilted lover of a mid atlantic snow weenie.   

Unfortunately i think that someone is you. 

[MickeyTim6533]

[midatlanticweather]

Need something more to get excited. 

 

[NorthArlington101]

wxbell

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

wxbell

I don’t know what to make of this cause it’s so far different than all the models, even euro ai. Either euro will score a huge coup or will go down in flames on this one. 

[87storms]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

wxbell

March is gonna be epic…

Match Madness, that is.