Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[mitchnick]

Quite a difference between Gefs/Geps and Eps at the end of their 12z runs. Eps being cool to seasonal w I th temps while Gefs/Geps are warm.

[Ralph Wiggum]

4 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Hail Mary

Is there a minimum salary requirement to be able to post here?

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 hour ago, bncho said:

We're BACK!!!!!   

Start the thread 

[Ji]

Is there a minimum salary requirement to be able to post here?

Nope. 12 years old and above

[Paleocene]

EPS and AI EPS are both damp and cold next weekend. And potentially snowy, but looks miller-b with better luck to PA and north. Enough to keep me intrigued for another week for sure

[BristowWx]

13 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

EPS and AI EPS are both damp and cold next weekend. And potentially snowy, but looks miller-b with better luck to PA and north. Enough to keep me intrigued for another week for sure

Guess that was fun.  For a minute.  Didn’t think about the miller B idea.  This will end poorly unless you are in Scranton. 

[mitchnick]

3 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Guess that was fun.  For a minute.  Didn’t think about the miller B idea.  This will end poorly unless you are in Scranton. 

You can see it here on the 174hrs ensemble slp anomaly map. Scroll to 180hrs, 186hrs and 192hrs.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2026021512&fh=174

[ravensrule]

3 hours ago, stormtracker said:

PD is tomorrow.

In 1869 it was a week later. 

[ravensrule]

2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Good thing we're so good at threading needles!

You should see my grandmothers needle point. She has this. 

[ravensrule]

27 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Guess that was fun.  For a minute.  Didn’t think about the miller B idea.  This will end poorly unless you are in Scranton. 

Joe Biden is ecstatic. 

[CAPE]

36 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

EPS and AI EPS are both damp and cold next weekend. And potentially snowy, but looks miller-b with better luck to PA and north. Enough to keep me intrigued for another week for sure

The Miller B signal has been there on the mean for a few days now, but it has trended south on the EPS on recent runs. Discussed this in the other thread. Still a bit of a longshot, but still some time for adjustments.

The window around the 23rd is also intriguing(maybe more so) with a Miller B look, but further south. The look up top is nice with HP to the N/NW and the 50-50 low.

 

[BristowWx]

11 minutes ago, CAPE said:

The Miller B signal has been there on the mean for a few days now, but it has trended south on the EPS on recent runs. Discussed this in the other thread. Still a bit of a longshot, but still some time for adjustments.

The window around the 23rd is also intriguing(maybe more so) with a Miller B look, but further south. The look up top is nice with HP to the N/NW and the 50-50 low.

 

What else we got?  Nothing so chips in

[CAPE]

3 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

What else we got?  Nothing so chips in

2 potential windows in a less than ideal pattern-hard to ask for more. The 20th is the longer shot for now. The window centered on the 23rd looks better, but unfortunately as we get closer the looks have become less favorable lately. We just cant know yet.

[Blizzard of 93]

The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.

[Terpeast]

AI gfs agrees on miller b feb 23-24, just a tad north. Something to watch for any favorable trends (if any) in the coming week. 

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.

Here is the 12z EPS 24 hour precip & snow for the 23rd chance.

[mitchnick]

18 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here is the 12z EPS 24 hour precip & snow for the 23rd chance.

Definitely trended south as Cape stated.

[WEATHER53]

The 23-25th is real . Analogs say so.  They got  the early Dec one, wrong  about 12/22-24 one , mostly got snowcrete correct.  Blows the models away .  

[CAPE]

Because there isnt a NA blocking set up, the success of the upcoming potential events largely lies with timing of the vortices moving into the 50-50 space- they will be on the move and we need the confluence/convergence on the west side to flatten the flow some and keep surface HP in place.