2026-2027 Super El Nino

[raindancewx]

Locally we tend to see more robust monsoon precipitation, advancement and development when the snow pack is destroyed early in the season. At the automated snow measurement site on Ski Taos at 11,000 feet above sea level, we had ~40 inches of snowpack left on 5/23/23. In 2026, that was the day the snowpack fully melted. Would prefer not to relive July 2023, as it's essentially as warm as it can get here due to the complete lack of rain in our wettest month. I believe its our warmest month on record.

Fortunately the source of the July 2023 heatwave here was the June 2023 heatwave in Mexico, which is not present. The El Nino developing still looks pretty different from 2023-24.  My records from June 2023 show towns even at 8,000+ in elevation in Central Mexico were running over 90 degrees for highs, v. typical readings in the low 70s. Some of those same towns have had rain-cooled highs in the 60s already this month.

Sum	3070	2240	-	-	0	649	T	0.0	-
Average	99.0	72.3	85.6	6.7	-	-	-	-	0.0
Normal	91.2	66.5	78.9	-	0	429	1.64	0.0	-
2023-07-01	92	67	79.5	0.7	0	15	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-02	95	69	82.0	3.1	0	17	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-03	96	67	81.5	2.5	0	17	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-04	98	70	84.0	5.0	0	19	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-05	99	68	83.5	4.5	0	19	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-06	99	69	84.0	4.9	0	19	T	0.0	0
2023-07-07	97	72	84.5	5.4	0	20	T	0.0	0
2023-07-08	96	71	83.5	4.4	0	19	T	0.0	0
2023-07-09	100	68	84.0	4.9	0	19	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-10	99	78	88.5	9.4	0	24	T	0.0	0
2023-07-11	101	78	89.5	10.4	0	25	T	0.0	0
2023-07-12	100	75	87.5	8.4	0	23	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-13	99	74	86.5	7.4	0	22	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-14	103	74	88.5	9.4	0	24	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-15	100	74	87.0	8.0	0	22	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-16	100	71	85.5	6.5	0	21	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-17	104	70	87.0	8.0	0	22	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-18	103	75	89.0	10.1	0	24	T	0.0	0
2023-07-19	101	75	88.0	9.1	0	23	T	0.0	0
2023-07-20	101	79	90.0	11.1	0	25	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-21	98	73	85.5	6.7	0	21	T	0.0	0
2023-07-22	97	69	83.0	4.2	0	18	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-23	95	68	81.5	2.8	0	17	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-24	100	73	86.5	7.8	0	22	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-25	103	76	89.5	10.9	0	25	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-26	102	72	87.0	8.4	0	22	T	0.0	0
2023-07-27	101	75	88.0	9.5	0	23	T	0.0	0
2023-07-28	100	73	86.5	8.1	0	22	T	0.0	0
2023-07-29	98	71	84.5	6.1	0	20	T	0.0	0
2023-07-30	97	75	86.0	7.7	0	21	0.00	0.0	0
2023-07-31	96	71	83.5	5.2	0	19	T	0.0	0