Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Still a bit of an unusual setup to get more than 3” or so. 

Yeah. But then again we seem to be overperforming on minor events. If it rips hard for 3 hours, you can overperform. 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah. But then again we seem to be overperforming on minor events. If it rips hard for 3 hours, you can overperform. 

Soundings were decent too. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Soundings were decent too. 

Yeah I saw a decent amount of crosshair sig. pretty cold soundings overall for a storm coming from this direction. Wonder if the sludgy low level cold that has seemed to entrench over New England is helping juice this a little bit. Forcing a little more lift on the WAA. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

39 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Another under stated map

Ride the chart! The frostiest ones you can find!!

[ORH_wxman]

GFS got juicier again. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I saw a decent amount of crosshair sig. pretty cold soundings overall for a storm coming from this direction. Wonder if the sludgy low level cold that has seemed to entrench over New England is helping juice this a little bit. Forcing a little more lift on the WAA. 

Maybe Steve will be right and I undersold it....all weenies aside. That is a valid reason I didn't think about...time will tell.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I could see having gone 2-4"...but 4-6" is too much IMO.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I could see having gone 2-4"...but 4-6" is too much IMO.

Let’s put it this way, if this ends up as widespread 4-6” over eastern regions, this winter will be making some headway continuing to stay ahead of the chains. 

[radarman]

Nam ramped down on the last one as we approached and was wrong.

2-4" sounds good here

[Ginx snewx]

58 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Let’s put it this way, if this ends up as widespread 4-6” over eastern regions, this winter will be making some headway continuing to stay ahead of the chains. 

Just looking as all aspects tells me to go  4 to 6 for him.  Wait until we challenge each other for the big dog coming. He can weenie all he wants 

[wxsniss]

6z NAM / RGEM solid 2-4 / 3-6 east

RGEM has been pretty good this winter and relatively steady for Tuesday 

[CoastalWx]

BOX map is bizarre. Anyways hoping 2-4 here.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Snowing now.   A coating to 0.25”

[Ginx snewx]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

BOX map is bizarre. Anyways hoping 2-4 here.

Tell us

[moneypitmike]

I think GYX is being way too aggressive here.  P/C is for 3-7.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Tell us

Sorry, I meant what it has for advisories. they should at least have north of the pike.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Sorry, I meant what it has for advisories. they should at least have north of the pike.

Radar across the east looking south of global models 

[ineedsnow]

Just looked out and cars got snow on them.. little surprise snow overnight.. wasn't expecting that

[Damage In Tolland]

2-4 here should be solid . Reggie is locked in 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1-3” N & W of PVD-BDL line still looks good. More up in C/NNE.

[dendrite]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

2-4 here should be solid . Reggie is locked in 

CMC models are on an island

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

CMC models are on an island

And when they are they’re usually right 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

2-4 here should be solid . Reggie is locked in 

Euro is a coating for you, will be interesting.. NAM/RGEM blend should get you plowable other models not so hot 

[Damage In Tolland]

16 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Euro is a coating for you, will be interesting.. NAM/RGEM blend should get you plowable other models not so hot 

Euro was bad on that Wednesday event prior to the big one. Reggie nailed it and Nam was close. Mesos are having a good winter . We’ll see 

[dendrite]

25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And when they are they’re usually right 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Just looking as all aspects tells me to go  4 to 6 for him.  Wait until we challenge each other for the big dog coming. He can weenie all he wants 

You  know me, so hope you didn't get your back up over those buns. I think you are a bit overzealous, but you know your stuff. I probably should have ticked 2-4" down into N Mass and may still update the map.

[40/70 Benchmark]

45 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

1-3” N & W of PVD-BDL line still looks good. More up in C/NNE.

I could see my area over to especially Amesbury breaking 3" up to maybe 4", but I think you have to go into NH for anything greater than 4".

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You  know me, so hope you didn't get your back up over those buns. I think you are a bit overzealous, but you know your stuff. I probably should have ticked 2-4" down into N Mass and may still update the map.

He’s been going a little wild lately. Happens sometimes. 

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Strong bump game lately, I like it. 

[Damage In Tolland]

28 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That was reverse psychology. I remember that well 

At any rate . So you’ve got 1” or less for CT.