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2/6-7: Clipper Pack Refresher


bncho
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I have a small bone to pick with LWX:

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A strong low pressure system located offshore paired with 
arctic high pressure moving in from Canada that yields a very 
tight pressure gradient across the area. A strengthening LLJ at 
850-925mb that crosses the area Saturday morning will support 
the mixing of stronger winds down to the surface.

PGF driven CAA does not equal an LLJ! LLJ's are either nocturnal boundary layer decoupling driven events or cyclogenesis driven ahead of a cold front.

/steps off ant hill

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1 minute ago, csnavywx said:

Seeing a few lightning strikes and ASOS stations reporting VCTS with that band coming into PA right now.

Was just looking at that. GOES GLM is showing a few strikes with the leading edge of the polar front. Wouldn't be surprised if it's picking off antennas or turbines.

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2 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

Was just looking at that. GOES GLM is showing a few strikes with the leading edge of the polar front. Wouldn't be surprised if it's picking off antennas or turbines.

KHZY reported VCTS earlier and I thought it was spurious too. Then KUCP picked it up and made me double check. Most of the lift and buoyancy is embedded in the -10 to -20C layer, so seems possible.

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1 minute ago, csnavywx said:

KHZY reported VCTS earlier and I thought it was spurious too. Then KUCP picked it up and made me double check. Most of the lift and buoyancy is embedded in the -10 to -20C layer, so seems possible.

I may have worded that wrong. I mean that the lightning is picking off (ie. hitting) antennas or turbines, as is common in winter time events. Like the lightning has a choice in what it hits. :lol:. I have absolutely no doubt that lightning is actually occurring. 

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4 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

I may have worded that wrong. I mean that the lightning is picking off (ie. hitting) antennas or turbines, as is common in winter time events. Like the lightning has a choice in what it hits. :lol:. I have absolutely no doubt that lightning is actually occurring. 

Oh gotcha! 

Yeah, looking closer -- there's some nice mid-level DPVA superimposed over that surface front with the left exit region of that jet streak nosing in aloft. Good spot for something to happen. Hope it makes it down to at least our northwestern folks. Been a while since we've had a good arctic front driven snow squall.

image.png.6052038b0875044185dc67895cf76d09.png

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19 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

I don't know why more people aren't in here. This is very exciting and rare for this area meteorologically. 

Prob because we are unlikely to see anything but cold wind... which we do really well here. But I'm with you it is fascinating. You think there's any chance we see a squall from the frontal passage E of the BR?

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22 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

I don't know why more people aren't in here. This is very exciting and rare for this area meteorologically. 

Weenies gonna weenie - a lot are just here for the snow. :)  

Agree this is pretty rare for our area, we got about an inch of fresh powder on top of the snowcrete - super cold temps - deep winter around here, plus some interesting dynamics to watch tonight. Really can't ask for better. It will be like Antarctica for a few hours. 

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