Is we back? February discussion thread

[EastonSN+]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BTW the 00Z UKMET also had a hit for that 23rd system at the end of the run. 

Really hope GFS, ukmet and EURO AI are correct. EURO and CMC are a CNE/NNE special. Would be great for at least 90% of this forum to make out well.

 

[EastonSN+]

AO looks to be slightly negative during this window. 

 

[ineedsnow]

twitter isn't working so how will people post the monster runs coming at 12z to freak out the public 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

twitter isn't working

[SouthCoastMA]

9 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Really hope GFS, ukmet and EURO AI are correct. EURO and CMC are a CNE/NNE special. Would be great for at least 90% of this forum to make out well.

 

Could always change your user name to EastonRA.

[cleetussnow]

3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Seems like every storm we had this winter is centered around the weekend, Fri-Mon. Storm on the GFS is also Sun night-Mon

 

DT’s weekend rule from back in the olden days. 

[Ginx snewx]

Nam is south 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Have we had a coastal like that at any point this season, even out to sea? Feel like save the the mega SWFE, we’ve trended towards weaker and less phasing all winter.

Im deeply deeply skeptical of these runs for next week. Ensembles aren’t overly enthused 

[VivaManchVegas]

Here is a clown map... over 200" sounding on near the Michigan bluff area.  Looks like CA gets their water supply after all. 

[Kitz Craver]

9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Have we had a coastal like that at any point this season, even out to sea? Feel like save the the mega SWFE, we’ve trended towards weaker and less phasing all winter.

Im deeply deeply skeptical of these runs for next week. Ensembles aren’t overly enthused 

I was just contemplating this. We have not had one coastal work out. We have had a favorably cold tenor, however, we have also had a coastal failure tenor. 

[SouthCoastMA]

18 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Have we had a coastal like that at any point this season, even out to sea? Feel like save the the mega SWFE, we’ve trended towards weaker and less phasing all winter.

Im deeply deeply skeptical of these runs for next week. Ensembles aren’t overly enthused 

The Feb 1st miss you could say was a coastal..but still kinda a strung out mess with dual lows / convection chasing

[The 4 Seasons]

20 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

DT’s weekend rule from back in the olden days. 

really? I remember reading something in the early/mid 2000s that nearly all of the major all-snow blizzards/snowstorms occur on or around the weekend. I always remembered that growing up, not that it matters or makes a difference in anything. 

[Ginx snewx]

I mean who cares how we get snows. 

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

really? I remember reading something in the early/mid 2000s that nearly all of the major all-snow blizzards/snowstorms occur on or around the weekend. I always remembered that growing up, not that it matters or makes a difference in anything. 

Why though? That’s bizarre 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

really? I remember reading something in the early/mid 2000s that nearly all of the major all-snow blizzards/snowstorms occur on or around the weekend. I always remembered that growing up, not that it matters or makes a difference in anything. 

Have you heard of the weekend EE rule 

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

I mean who cares how we get snows. 

I think peeps just recognizing that coastal development has been tenuous at best so buyer beware 

[ariof]

21 minutes ago, VivaManchVegas said:

Here is a clown map... over 200" sounding on near the Michigan bluff area.  Looks like CA gets their water supply after all. 

This is a great data viz of the reservoirs and snowpack in California. They're still coasting on a series of good winters and the reservoirs started high.

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Have you heard of the weekend EE rule 

No what’s that?

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

No what’s that?

a joke.

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

a joke.

Oh, lol

[Layman]

5 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Oh, lol

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

a joke.

 

3 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Oh, lol

No it's not.  First all of the top 5 nesis storms occurred here on a weekend. 

The EE rule states that if the Euro and ETA  (old NAM) agreed it was a lock. If on a weekend then get ready 

[Ginx snewx]

14 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I think peeps just recognizing that coastal development has been tenuous at best so buyer beware 

The past has no influence on the future. Extreme cold suppression depression is over 

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

No it's not.  First all of the top 5 nesis storms occurred here on a weekend. 

The EE rule states that if the Euro and ETA  (old NAM) agreed it was a lock. If on a weekend then get ready 

i see i thought you were making a joke about combining the "EE" rule and "weekend" rule. But i have noticed a ton of big storms occurred on weekends

Anyway, can you see my last post on new England snowstorm memories, if you have Mar 4-6, 2001 and Dec 30th, 2000, that would be helpful

[dendrite]

People want to believe DT’s “weekend rule” but not CC? 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, dendrite said:

People want to believe DT’s “weekend rule” but not CC? 

If the Leprechaun was perceived to yield more snow people would believe that too 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

People want to believe DT’s “weekend rule” but not CC? 

Who said that the earth isn't warmer? No one. What bothers everyone is the hype and gloom and doom

[ineedsnow]

ICON cooking something up at hr 126

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Who said that the earth isn't warmer? No one. What bothers everyone is the hype and gloom and doom

I wasn’t really even directing it toward you…just in general wrt how long that “rule” has lived on.

And the weekend rule wasn’t about forming more storms on the weekend. It was about more junk pumped into the atmosphere up and down the megalopolis during the work week resulting in more condensation nuclei and heavier precipitation on the weekend. But that was 25 years ago when people actually gave a shiat about what he said.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

If the Leprechaun was perceived to yield more snow people would believe that too 

Go look at NESIS and tell me how many of the top ten hit on a weekend here. Its not believing DTs rule it's just an oddity. Brian has that straight scientific mind unable to pick up on coincidence