Is we back? February discussion thread

[Kitz Craver]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not one post about end of week snows. 

Because it’s been trending warmer recently and looks like mostly rain for SNE at the moment 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Next week looks wet for SNE on these recent model runs

Yeah, kind of meh on guidance

[RDRY]

6 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

This is 24 hrs kids. Don't ever tell anyone models can't move hundreds of miles overnight 

 

And a huge change with the west coast storm.

[UnitedWx]

22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not one post about end of week snows. 

That's because they're all tingly about useless overnight trends 

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

That's because they're all tingly about useless overnight trends 

We don’t get tingly about rain however 

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Because it’s been trending warmer recently and looks like mostly rain for SNE at the moment 

Wet ? Nah it’s been talked about as snowy period on all ensembles etc. A rainy week seems unlikely 

[Damage In Tolland]

Maybe this is our icestorm?

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Wet ? Nah it’s been talked about as snowy period on all ensembles etc. A rainy week seems unlikely 

Recent trend is not our friend. Let’s see if 12z can flip it back 

[ORH_wxman]

06z runs did look a bit colder again for late week. It’s like 00z all saw something to go warmer and then ticked it back a bit at 06z. Still need to wait and see on that. 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Recent trend is not our friend. Let’s see if 12z can flip it back 

Seemed like one bad run at 00z . With that cold high up there and - NAO. Cold should be the thinking 

[512high]

As we get into next week, if things keep trending colder, maybe "Hub" will do another thread, he is on a roll lately!

26F/light clouds

[mahk_webstah]

Euro AI makes the 19th 20th go poof on its approach. But it continues to have an absolute monster crawler, 36 hour storm in the 980s crawling along the southern New England coast. It’s had that for a while I think.

[Snowcrazed71]

15 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Euro AI makes the 19th 20th go poof on its approach. But it continues to have an absolute monster crawler, 36 hour storm in the 980s crawling along the southern New England coast. It’s had that for a while I think.

As we know this will change, but would love to have a 36-hour crawler. Just let's get it a little further south. It would be luck of the draw to be a big storm ( snow ). We already had one biggie though... Two would be the icing on top

[mahk_webstah]

16 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

As we know this will change, but would love to have a 36-hour crawler. Just let's get it a little further south. It would be luck of the draw to be a big storm ( snow ). We already had one biggie though... Two would be the icing on top

Well, the meteorologist can comment but it seems like a set up that isn’t quite so sensitive. The storm is coming from the west and it’s red developing along the coast as a very slow moving Miller B. If they’re still blocking, that would seem to be a good rationale for a crawler. This scenario has been shown on this model for several days and on other models at times I think. 

[alex]

Light accumulating snow this morning, 5F

[Typhoon Tip]

Heh... if we can call the 06z GFS'  no event at all as colder, I guess nothing happening is technically 0 thermodynamics, so it would philosophically fit that definition   haha

Not sure I agree with it yet, still lookin'

[Kitz Craver]

6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Well, the meteorologist can comment but it seems like a set up that isn’t quite so sensitive. The storm is coming from the west and it’s red developing along the coast as a very slow moving Miller B. If they’re still blocking, that would seem to be a good rationale for a crawler. This scenario has been shown on this model for several days and on other models at times I think. 

Seems like a bit of a can kick however with the 19/20 disappearing act

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Next week doesn’t look particularly exciting to me right now for this area.

Closing on on March 

[CoastalWx]

Looks like Spring is coming 

[CoastalWx]

As soon as Ginxy goes wild, models go warmer. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

As soon as Ginxy goes wild, models go warmer. 

I mean, statistically, we’re due to start rounding the corner anytime now. I think we’re done with appreciable snow here 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I mean, statistically, we’re due to start rounding the corner anytime now. I think we’re done with appreciable snow here 

Even in the tropics of SE MA this is kind of ridiculous to say on Feb 14th when the pattern doesn’t even look all that mild going forward. 

[SouthCoastMA]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I mean, statistically, we’re due to start rounding the corner anytime now. I think we’re done with appreciable snow here 

Not sure if I'd go that far wrt snow. Severe cold, yah definitely 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

Not sure if I'd go that far wrt snow. Severe cold, yah definitely 

He already cancelled like 8” of snow in the last week

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Even in the tropics of SE MA this is kind of ridiculous to say on Feb 14th when the pattern doesn’t even look all that mild going forward. 

Even for him that’s a head scratcher. 
 

Deep pack winter is fading but it looks active with cold lurking overhead. This aint 2012…

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Even in the tropics of SE MA this is kind of ridiculous to say on Feb 14th when the pattern doesn’t even look all that mild going forward. 

 

3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Not sure if I'd go that far wrt snow. Severe cold, yah definitely 

Maybe I’m wrong. But if we strikeout the next 10 days. Were end of Feb. feel like we’ve had plenty of seasons with not much after that.

Ir can def end quick down here 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Even for him that’s a head scratcher. 
 

Deep pack winter is fading but it looks active with cold lurking overhead. This aint 2012…

I hope this week works out. Already a kick in the pants missing Monday. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Even for him that’s a head scratcher. 
 

Deep pack winter is fading but it looks active with cold lurking overhead. This aint 2012…

It wasn’t even really worth a response. That’s his schtick. Say something very negative but with extreme confidence. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Can still get a good storm or two (or three) right through March with this pattern 

[SouthCoastMA]

SSTs are rock bottom too so let's just get some storms to track and precip.