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February 2026 OBS & Discussion


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22 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Why are we even talking about starting a thread for a storm chance a week away? There is nowhere near enough agreement with the models to warrant one. This could easily turn into an apps runner by tomorrow or Wednesday.

It's Monday. Storm moves in on Saturday. We have 24 model run cycles left. Someone should definitely start a thread by Wednesday at the latest.

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1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

its still up in the air so to say exactly when the storm will develop and reach here could be anywhere from 2/21 to 2/24

If 12z GFS and 12z EURO is on board... I reserve the right to respond. We need a good coastal bomb to close out this winter. 

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15 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

CMC has a completely different setup! Doesn't develop the storm it focuses mainly on the wave coming from the lakes

CMC is too far north and west with that storm IMO and running the southern energy out way in front of it - plus it didn't catch on to the northern side dynamics of yesterdays storm till late in the game

prateptype-imp.conus.png

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3 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

You better not start a thread 

I think I may have the answer to this whether or not to " start a thread " controversy = maybe Rjay can start the thread and he can title it " It's Not Coming " and we can kill 2 birds with one stone ? 

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19 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i think you should make the thread the storm signal is as good as it could be whether it'll be rain or snow is yet to be determined!

We shall see what the 12z model suite has in store for us. Alternatively, I've never seen donsutherland1 start a thread before. Would love to see him start one.

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