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February 2026 OBS & Discussion


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This winter has been damn good for skiing. Sure we need more snow but for once we aren’t getting snow followed by warm temps turning the slopes icy. I know many are obsessed with having more falling but I personally like the cumulative snow cover and this is impressive. Sure I want more snow but I’d be even happier if we just stay cold with the occasional refresher. But I won’t turn more down either. 

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Since we're on the subject:

1995-1996 - A+. 75". Snowstorm after snowstorm, with 31" from the Jan7-8 storm; heck, even the rainstorm 11 days after "the big one" was interesting. Started with a bang with an accumulating "cold" snow in late November.

1972-1973 - F.  It never even looked like winter. Zero measurable snow, along with most anyone else south of a line from around Staten Island to Trenton. Was cold enough at times, but the temperature would always rise before the precipitation.  Boy Scout Klondike Derby at Camp Sakawawin at Stokes State Forest was a muddy mess.

2025-2026 to-date. B.

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17 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

This winter has been damn good for skiing. Sure we need more snow but for once we aren’t getting snow followed by warm temps turning the slopes icy. I know many are obsessed with having more falling but I personally like the cumulative snow cover and this is impressive. Sure I want more snow but I’d be even happier if we just stay cold with the occasional refresher. But I won’t turn more down either. 

Only the east coast, the other end of country is closing so resorts already

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16 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Last 3 HRRR runs show way less snow than earlier runs...hoping it's wrong...

snku_acc-imp.us_ma.png

It's a nowcast situation but it's the kind of system where pretty consistently you want to be in eastern New England/Boston area. If banding consolidates there it probably means lots of subsidence garbage here. 

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Front now going through Erie PA and Buffalo NY, still not all that windy as system begins to develop its offshore low component tonight. Will predict right on midnight for fropa at EWR-NYC-LGA, a few minutes earlier for some northern forum people and a few minutes later in parts of NJ and south shore LI. Could be a rather gradual temperature drop judging by post-frontal readings in Ontario, takes six hours after fropa there for readings to go sub-zero (F). With stronger winds it might take four hours to go sub-15 F but probably it will just stabilize at whatever value after sunrise and then drop again tomorrow afternoon/evening. 

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Smithtown 8:30 pm 28/20  Flurries

Due to the developing flizzard emergency, we are suspending the hourly ISP 1978 re-enactment.  Here for your perusal is the complete set of metars (decoded) from that once in a lifetime event:

 

KISP - Islip, NY                                  
Date Time (EST) Temp   Dew Point   Humidity   Sea Level Pressure   Visibility   Wind Dir   Wind Speed   Gust Speed   Events
2/6/1978 12:00 AM 23.0   3.0   42   30.26   7.0   North   11.5   -    
2/6/1978 1:00 AM 26.1   1.9   35   30.20   7.0   NNE   17.3   -    
2/6/1978 2:00 AM 25.0   1.0   36   30.22   7.0   NNE   13.8   -    
2/6/1978 3:00 AM 25.0   19.9   81   30.19   2.0   NE   15.0   -   Snow
2/6/1978 4:00 AM 25.0   19.9   81   30.15   3.0   NE   16.1   -   Snow
2/6/1978 5:00 AM 25.0   21.0   85   30.12   2.0   NE   23.0   -   Snow
2/6/1978 6:00 AM 24.1   19.0   81   30.09   2.0   NNE   23.0   -   Snow
2/6/1978 6:25 AM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   30.08   1.0   NNE   23.0   -    
2/6/1978 7:00 AM 24.1   19.9   84   30.07   0.5   NNE   23.0   -   Snow
2/6/1978 8:00 AM 24.1   21.0   88   30.01   0.2   NE   25.3   -   Snow
2/6/1978 8:11 AM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   30.00   0.5   NE   20.7   -    
2/6/1978 9:00 AM 26.1   21.9   84   29.99   0.2   NE   21.9   -   Snow
2/6/1978 9:15 AM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   29.94   0.2   NE   19.6   34.5    
2/6/1978 10:00 AM 27.0   24.1   89   29.94   0.1   NE   23.0   34.5   Snow
2/6/1978 11:00 AM 27.0   25.0   92   29.88   0.1   NNE   25.3   40.3   Snow
2/6/1978 12:00 PM 27.0   25.0   92   29.78   0.1   NNE   23.0   34.5   Snow
2/6/1978 12:05 PM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   29.74   0.0   NE   29.9   39.1    
2/6/1978 1:00 PM 27.0   26.1   96   29.69   0.0   NNE   32.2   41.4   Snow
2/6/1978 2:00 PM 28.0   26.1   92   29.63   0.0   NE   32.2   40.3   Snow
2/6/1978 3:00 PM 28.9   28.0   96   29.54   0.0   NE   40.3   56.4   Snow
2/6/1978 4:00 PM 30.0   28.0   92   29.49   0.0   NE   46.0   59.8   Snow
2/6/1978 5:00 PM 30.0   27.0   88   29.46   0.0   NE   28.8   47.2   Snow
2/6/1978 6:00 PM 28.0   27.0   96   29.44   0.1   NE   34.5   -   Snow
2/6/1978 7:00 PM 27.0   26.1   96   29.40   0.0   NE   38.0   46.0   Snow
2/6/1978 8:00 PM 26.1   26.1   100   29.34   0.0   North   28.8   43.7   Snow
2/6/1978 9:00 PM 21.9   19.9   92   29.30   0.0   North   28.8   48.3   Snow
2/6/1978 10:00 PM 23.0   21.9   96   29.26   0.1   North   23.0   40.3   Snow
2/6/1978 10:30 PM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   29.24   5.5   NNE   23.0   40.3    
2/6/1978 11:00 PM 32.0   30.0   92   29.24   0.6   NNE   25.3   -   Snow
2/7/1978 12:00 AM 33.1   30.9   92   29.24   0.8   NNE   28.8   -   Snow
2/7/1978 1:00 AM 33.1   30.9   92   29.28   0.2   NE   18.4   -   Snow-Thunderstorm
2/7/1978 1:05 AM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   29.26   0.2   NE   19.6   27.6    
2/7/1978 2:00 AM 30.0   28.9   96   29.28   0.1   NNE   26.5   -   Snow
2/7/1978 3:00 AM 27.0   26.1   96   29.31   0.3   NNE   28.8   -   Snow
2/7/1978 4:00 AM 25.0   24.1   96   29.33   0.2   NNE   28.8   40.3   Snow
2/7/1978 5:00 AM 24.1   23.0   96   29.35   0.2   NNE   25.3   -   Snow
2/7/1978 5:05 AM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   29.35   0.4   North   23.0   34.5    
2/7/1978 6:00 AM 23.0   21.0   92   29.38   0.5   North   23.0   -   Snow
2/7/1978 7:00 AM 24.1   19.9   84   29.40   5.0   North   23.0   29.9   Snow
2/7/1978 8:00 AM 24.1   19.9   84   29.43   1.0   North   23.0   -   Snow
2/7/1978 9:00 AM 25.0   21.0   85   29.47   0.5   North   26.5   -   Snow
2/7/1978 9:10 AM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   0.00   0.1   NW   19.6   26.5    
2/7/1978 10:00 AM 24.1   21.0   88   29.50   0.1   NNW   20.7   27.6   Snow
2/7/1978 10:04 AM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   0.00   0.6   NNW   20.7   27.6    
2/7/1978 11:00 AM 24.1   21.0   88   29.52   0.1   NNW   20.7   -   Snow
2/7/1978 12:00 PM 24.1   21.9   91   29.55   0.1   NNW   25.3   35.7   Snow
2/7/1978 1:00 PM 25.0   21.9   88   29.57   0.2   NNW   20.7   35.7   Snow
2/7/1978 1:15 PM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   29.57   1.0   NW   23.0   36.8    
2/7/1978 2:00 PM 26.1   21.9   84   29.60   0.2   NNW   23.0   38.0   Snow
2/7/1978 3:00 PM 26.1   21.9   84   29.63   0.2   NNW   23.0   -   Snow
2/7/1978 3:30 PM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   0.00   3.0   NNW   23.0   32.2    
2/7/1978 4:00 PM 26.1   24.1   92   29.66   1.0   NW   20.7   -   Snow
2/7/1978 4:10 PM -9999.0   -9999.0             N/A   29.68   5.0   NW   20.7   -    
2/7/1978 5:00 PM 26.1   24.1   92   29.71   5.0   NNW   20.7   28.8   Snow
2/7/1978 6:00 PM 27.0   24.1   89   29.76   5.0   NNW   23.0   31.1   Snow
2/7/1978 7:00 PM 26.1   23.0   88   29.79   10.0   NW   17.3   -   Snow
2/7/1978 8:00 PM 26.1   21.9   84   29.83   10.0   NW   18.4   -    
2/7/1978 9:00 PM 26.1   23.0   88   29.86   10.0   NW   19.6   -    
2/7/1978 10:00 PM 26.1   23.0   88   29.90   10.0   NW   15.0   -    
2/7/1978 11:00 PM 26.1   21.9   84   29.94   10.0   NW   15.0   -    

 

                     
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Moderate snow at ROC and radar imagery over w NY and L Ont suggest frontal band is activating and post-frontal squalls are driving in behind, so I would caution that parts of Long Island could see similar results off Long Island Sound by late overnight. 

Winds are picking up, widespread gusts to 40 mph near Lake Huron and in south central ON. 

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On 2/5/2026 at 2:15 PM, SACRUS said:

 

 

 

Last 4 5 days "warmup"
Both were able to reach/exceed freezing the 5 days

EWR:
2/2: 37 / 15 (-2) 
2/3: 36 / 17 (-6)
2/4:  35/26 (-2)
2/5:  34 / 17 (-7)
2/6: 34 /18 )-7)

 

NYC:
2/2: 35 / 14 (-3)
2/3: 33 / 23 (-6)
2/4: 33 / 26 (-4)
2/5:  32 / 20 (-8)
2/6: 33 / 23 (-6)

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3 hours ago, Blizzwalker said:

A reminder that perceptions of winter are location dependent. Even within this sub -forum.  Some of us didn't have a mix, we had a 16 inch snowstorm, followed by unusual cold which lent staying power to the pack. Some of us NW forum members will remember it as a snowy, wintery period...I've had to repeatedly knock 3 foot icicles off my roof line. 

I mean I’m at the southern ass end of the metro, 10 miles from the coast and it was an immensely memorable storm. 10.5ish inches with mix that accumulated, mostly icy - total glacier. I don’t know anywhere around this area it wasn’t a substantial snowfall. 

I still have 70% of this pack today, and had icicles everywhere for over a week. Personally I don’t know how anyone could view this as not an outstanding winter period, it wasn’t a prolific block of repeat snowfall, but it was a substantial storm + lingering cold area wide which is near as good as it gets. But we all do have our preferences and I think people instinctually attribute it to location and I don’t necessarily agree that’s what it is, we just all like and look for different things - it’s not intrinsic to one location vs another. I dislike March not because I’m in a southern location, but more because of long days and imminent spring marking the end of winter, a season I enjoy looking forward to, as an example. 

We just have to accept we all like different things, I read all three main northeast forums and the amount people bicker over this stuff baffles me. 
 

VxhFSOO.jpeg
 

Biggest storm here since 16 inches + on 1/29/22. 

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Now if we get one more storm to push central park above average, then this will be a pretty good winter. Even if we get to average snowfall I wouldn’t say this is an average winter because the duration of the very cold air is definitely impressive. We have one month to go, maybe we can get in 1 more?

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