Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’ll give it until tonight and one more tick it’stoast. But guidance sucked today. Everything else came west. Why use GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Everything else came west. Why use GFS? What came west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, CoastalWx said: What came west? lol…I didn’t look but “everything” is apparently the ICON. What we’ve come to….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What came west? Icon Nam Icon EPS GEFS soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Stein and sun angle to slowly melt pack now Thought most of you down there hate snowpack and just in for the individual storms? Christ make up your minds one way or the other lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 GEFS looking better early on 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, dryslot said: Thought most of you down there hate snowpack and just in for the individual storms? Christ make up your minds one way or the other lol Yea right it's all a bunch of baloney. Who would want to look at brown sticks and grass at 10⁰ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Save a pony, they will say. After trashing it and saying “ it isn’t what it used to be” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: After trashing it and saying “ it isn’t what it used to be” TBLIZZ SAVE A HORSE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea right it's all a bunch of baloney. Who would want to look at brown sticks and grass at 10⁰ I lol at it, The other cope mechanism is if we’re gonna have bare ground, Then it should be a lot warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Thought most of you down there hate snowpack and just in for the individual storms? Christ make up your minds one way or the other lol No way, I have a pack fetish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Thought most of you down there hate snowpack and just in for the individual storms? Christ make up your minds one way or the other lol I don’t hate it, if I have it I enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I lol at it, The other cope mechanism is if we’re gonna have bare ground, Then it should be a lot warmer. This guy talking melting lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 This snow is only going to sublimate slowly and is not leaving anytime soon, Sun angle is marginal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Steinangle 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Sun angle getting towards early August now you will feel it a bit when you get in your car.. Just like in August it starts to feel a bit cooler.. im just glad im out of the dreaded valley now it makes summers feel so much better 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Even with a discernable negative tilt, this thing cant get out of dodge fast enough. Weirdo storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Sun angle getting towards early August now you will feel it a bit when you get in your car.. Just like in August it starts to feel a bit cooler.. im just glad im out of the dreaded valley now it makes summers feel so much better August?? And Early August??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28 Author Share Posted January 28 welp ... that's taking an anomalous track relative to the larger scale synoptic structure(s) ... but, sometimes weird shit happens. I think the background speed of the flow is a problem. It gets harder to excuse the increasing numbers of these observed idiosyncratic behaviors as just 'bad luck' - luck is really when you don't why something is happening but it does, unexpectedly. I no longer sense this as occurring for no detectable reason, nor see this as unexpected. I keep seeing these events in the late mid and extended range and watching them torpedo as they come into shorter terms. I also suspect this is why we see this attenuation of event profiles during that same relay..it's because organized structures at smaller scales are getting speed stressed. It's no death knell. At some point something will subsume phase, but of all event types there are, subsumers being being the most time-dependent fragile ... there's a reason why we haven't seen subsume types. The odds of those types succeeding has gone down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, JACKASS said: August?? And Early August??? November, August, same diff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Sun angle getting towards early August now you will feel it a bit when you get in your car.. Just like in August it starts to feel a bit cooler.. im just glad im out of the dreaded valley now it makes summers feel so much better More like mid-November... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 21 minutes ago, dryslot said: This snow is only going to sublimate slowly and is not leaving anytime soon, Sun angle is marginal. It’s marginal but ngl… I took notice of the extra brightness today. Maybe it’s because it’s been awhile since I saw full sun, but the midday shadows are starting to hit different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28 Author Share Posted January 28 Scott's just tuggin' on minion chode hairs with that. We're in the solar minimum for another 2 weeks. The sharding back of snow banks will begin in earnest after the 8th ..10th. Having said that, there was day light at 5:30 pm today ...I noticed this as I was leaving the gym. That was pitch dark just last week at that same time. We're on the slope - can't be denied. I also thought the sun coming through the S windows felt warmer on the face. It's just a fact of celestial mechanics and life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, larvay said: November, August, same diff. Hey man sup? Skiing ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 8 minutes ago, larvay said: November, August, same diff. 7 minutes ago, FXWX said: More like mid-November... I kinda get what he's saying about the start of changing of seasons, but the sun angle threw that out the window. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I put phone down for 20 minutes , logged back on , saw all the posts and knew the NAM was good . This place is freaking classic yup I always know good runs happen by the amount of new posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, tavwtby said: yup I always know good runs happen by the amount of new posts There’s a tremendous amount of hand wringing from some camps due to the op GFS . If you toss that .. things looking good for accumulating snow at worst 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hey man sup? Skiing ? SR, yes. Incidentally, I noticed that the car was indeed kinda warm when I got back to it. Oh, and the skiing was awesome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, tavwtby said: yup I always know good runs happen by the amount of new posts Thats why I refresh at 3am.. usually know by the post.. if there's a bunch I look at models first if not I read the disappointment 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 I believe the lowest average temperature in the northeast U.S. is around Feb 5th long-term. That is where the temperature cycle begins to reverse. Of course the solar angle cycle reverses shortly after the winter solstice in late December but as people are saying there is little perceptible influence on potential melt factor until mid-Feb. Late Feb rises faster than Jan declines which is why Jan averages are a bit lower than Feb averages for most locations (Feb means can be lowest for locations with more maritime influence). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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