Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[tamarack]

14 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

We just had a major snowstorm - sucks to lose out on another - but I’ll take another plowable stat padder on a Sunday - holding out hope for that 

If we can get half of the big coastals, it's a win.  March 2018 had 4 biggies; we had a trace from #1 and zero from #4, but the 2 middle ones brought 36.4".  One could dream of catching all 4 but that merely spoils the pleasure of the ones that hit.

[Henry's Weather]

On the bright side, a miss will give crews a chance to do more clean-up. Champagne problems but I don’t like having to run around a parking lot in circles like a lunatic

[dendrite]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You can blame on this piece in canada, It was further south this run suppressing the hights over in the northeast

I don’t think that one is a problem. I don’t like the one Friday night that pushes the upper level front south of us. 

[Ginx snewx]

People are out??lol

[SouthCoastMA]

Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy

[dendrite]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

People are out??lol

Where’s ineedglasses with his micro EPS member maps

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy

Crushed incoming for you, no doubt.

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Crushed incoming for you, no doubt.

Looked better than 0z to me, for most.

[radarman]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

People are out??lol

That's a big hit for any ens at this range

I'm not too optimistic out here, but there is an eternity to go and that's a noteworthy signal for sure for those further east

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

People are out??lol

I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone 

[Henry's Weather]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

People are out??lol

Not out, but not the ticks you want to see

[NeonPeon]

Mostly we've seen cape scrapers and they are still mostly cape scrapers. Anyone in extreme SE New England is still very happy.

Anyone else is still going to have a watching brief till we get to give up time.

Id take many of the current models. I missed this last one and after the last winters with single digit snowfalls, I'm not going to turn my nose up at the prospect of a snow day.

Also, all the evolutions still look a little odd and like there's more to be resolved. Could be the resolution is that it's even further offshore, who knows.

[SouthCoastMA]

2/10/87, but chance to spread the wealth further inland. Don't punt yet

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy

Add in some ratios 

[dendrite]

I hope that mean includes 10 monster hits and 41 whiffs. Go big or go home.

[bristolri_wx]

That's a tight gradient... the ultimate melt storm as visualized...

[mahk_webstah]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone 

The Charles?

[Ginx snewx]

Based on the Euro I could see Scooter could get over a foot 

[Typhoon Tip]

this is the problem with the Euro run  ...this is the 96 hour.  Go back and trace that through from 84 ..you can see it's spontaneously emerged out of the convection field fanning hugely in advance of the whole trough.   so...it may not be real.  it may be real.   who knows...but that's your problem with this

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Based on the Euro I could see Scooter could get over a foot 

He will back his way to 18” and junior will be nervous nelly until it stops snowing…

[NoCORH4L]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone 

Is that a lot of ground to cover between now and then? Judging on history, seems like a 25 mile change is almost a now-cast movement.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone 

We need a hundy…so please work very hard next couple days to make that happen. TIA.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

That's a tight gradient... the ultimate melt storm as visualized...

Looks like Jan 2022 in the mean...I 95 deform.

[msg112469]

If I recall there was a bit of waffling with the models (especially the EURO) for the last storm. Maybe there's still room for this one to come back West a bit as we get closer to the actual event. We'll know a lot more tomorrow and should be able lock in whatever's expected on Friday.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, NoCORH4L said:

Is that a lot of ground to cover between now and then? Judging on history, seems like a 25 mile change is almost a now-cast movement.

100 mile shifts are common 

[Greg]

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Add in some ratios 

Those ratios won't be that high for the Cape I'm pretty sure of that.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

Is that a lot of ground to cover between now and then? Judging on history, seems like a 25 mile change is almost a now-cast movement.

25-50 happens often .. 100 is a little more difficult but at 4 days out with a few minor changes downstream certainly possible 

[bristolri_wx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

25-50 happens often .. 100 is a little more difficult but at 4 days out with a few minor changes downstream certainly possible 

Considering the atmospheric scenario and the number of moving parts, there's a higher risk for this than usual on a 4 day forecast.  I truly wouldn't dismiss any scenario for another 48 hours.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I would hold off on the CC-gradient saturation victory laps....I get that was somewhat facetious, but honestly...lots more to be ironed out here.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, bristolri_wx said:

Considering the atmospheric scenario and the number of moving parts, there's a higher risk for this than usual on a 4 day forecast.  I truly wouldn't dismiss any scenario for another 48 hours.

Yea, I agree.....if I'm wrong, I'll admit...just had to in the other direction last week...but not there yet. This is precarious.