tamarack Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 14 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: We just had a major snowstorm - sucks to lose out on another - but I’ll take another plowable stat padder on a Sunday - holding out hope for that If we can get half of the big coastals, it's a win. March 2018 had 4 biggies; we had a trace from #1 and zero from #4, but the 2 middle ones brought 36.4". One could dream of catching all 4 but that merely spoils the pleasure of the ones that hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 On the bright side, a miss will give crews a chance to do more clean-up. Champagne problems but I don’t like having to run around a parking lot in circles like a lunatic 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: You can blame on this piece in canada, It was further south this run suppressing the hights over in the northeast I don’t think that one is a problem. I don’t like the one Friday night that pushes the upper level front south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 People are out??lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, Ginx snewx said: People are out??lol Where’s ineedglasses with his micro EPS member maps 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy Crushed incoming for you, no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Crushed incoming for you, no doubt. Looked better than 0z to me, for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: People are out??lol That's a big hit for any ens at this range I'm not too optimistic out here, but there is an eternity to go and that's a noteworthy signal for sure for those further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: People are out??lol I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: People are out??lol Not out, but not the ticks you want to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Mostly we've seen cape scrapers and they are still mostly cape scrapers. Anyone in extreme SE New England is still very happy. Anyone else is still going to have a watching brief till we get to give up time. Id take many of the current models. I missed this last one and after the last winters with single digit snowfalls, I'm not going to turn my nose up at the prospect of a snow day. Also, all the evolutions still look a little odd and like there's more to be resolved. Could be the resolution is that it's even further offshore, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2/10/87, but chance to spread the wealth further inland. Don't punt yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy Add in some ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 I hope that mean includes 10 monster hits and 41 whiffs. Go big or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 That's a tight gradient... the ultimate melt storm as visualized... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone The Charles? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Based on the Euro I could see Scooter could get over a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28 Author Share Posted January 28 this is the problem with the Euro run ...this is the 96 hour. Go back and trace that through from 84 ..you can see it's spontaneously emerged out of the convection field fanning hugely in advance of the whole trough. so...it may not be real. it may be real. who knows...but that's your problem with this 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Based on the Euro I could see Scooter could get over a foot He will back his way to 18” and junior will be nervous nelly until it stops snowing… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone Is that a lot of ground to cover between now and then? Judging on history, seems like a 25 mile change is almost a now-cast movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I mean 25 miles NW gets 6-10 to the river . 50 miles warning snows for everyone We need a hundy…so please work very hard next couple days to make that happen. TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: That's a tight gradient... the ultimate melt storm as visualized... Looks like Jan 2022 in the mean...I 95 deform. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msg112469 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 If I recall there was a bit of waffling with the models (especially the EURO) for the last storm. Maybe there's still room for this one to come back West a bit as we get closer to the actual event. We'll know a lot more tomorrow and should be able lock in whatever's expected on Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, NoCORH4L said: Is that a lot of ground to cover between now and then? Judging on history, seems like a 25 mile change is almost a now-cast movement. 100 mile shifts are common 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Add in some ratios Those ratios won't be that high for the Cape I'm pretty sure of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Is that a lot of ground to cover between now and then? Judging on history, seems like a 25 mile change is almost a now-cast movement. 25-50 happens often .. 100 is a little more difficult but at 4 days out with a few minor changes downstream certainly possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 25-50 happens often .. 100 is a little more difficult but at 4 days out with a few minor changes downstream certainly possible Considering the atmospheric scenario and the number of moving parts, there's a higher risk for this than usual on a 4 day forecast. I truly wouldn't dismiss any scenario for another 48 hours. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 I would hold off on the CC-gradient saturation victory laps....I get that was somewhat facetious, but honestly...lots more to be ironed out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, bristolri_wx said: Considering the atmospheric scenario and the number of moving parts, there's a higher risk for this than usual on a 4 day forecast. I truly wouldn't dismiss any scenario for another 48 hours. Yea, I agree.....if I'm wrong, I'll admit...just had to in the other direction last week...but not there yet. This is precarious. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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