Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[CoastalWx]

Still closes off too early. Once it does that it dumbbells east.

[SouthCoastMA]

You just want to keep the storm on the table at this range. It's a good run for 120hr

[CoastalWx]

But yeah closer for sure 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Still closes off too early. Once it does that it dumbbells east.

Yea, nothing high-end will come from that. 

[OrangeCTWX]

Cape crusher 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Odd...low is a tick se of the BM, yet hardly any precip across the interior.

[ORH_wxman]

You don’t want the low closing off over SC/GA. Need it more around VA/NC. 

[dendrite]

I kinda like those trailing shortwaves closer this run…give it a bit of a kick north to keep it from spinning and rotting down south.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

You don’t want the low closing off over SC/GA. Need it more around VA/NC. 

Personally, I'd prefer it around ACK, but probably unreasonable ask.

[OrangeCTWX]

Kuchera showing 53 inches near ocean city NJ loll

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Personally, I'd prefer it around ACK, but probably unreasonable ask.

Well you don’t want it to initially close off near ACK because it’s prob not captured yet when it first closes off. You want it to close off near VA/NC and then swing northeast. 

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Personally, I'd prefer it around ACK, but probably unreasonable ask.

I would place this in the big ask category, But if we could get this up to at least the Delmarva it would get tugged west at the surface.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Well you don’t want it to initially close off near ACK because it’s prob not captured yet when it first closes off. You want it to close off near VA/NC and then swing northeast. 

True....east of NJ, anyway...

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I would place this in the big ask category, But if we could get this up to at least the Delmarva it would get tugged west at the surface.

Yea...Delmarva, S NJ..

[WxWatcher007]

Absolute thermonuclear potential with this. 

[Wxbear25]

Yeah… anyone calling this dead needs to re-evaluate their completely re-evaluate their line of thinking lol.

This is far from it

[Torch Tiger]

gem way east and has that dual-low /dumbelling look.  hate to see it

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, Wxbear25 said:

Yeah… anyone calling this dead needs to re-evaluate their completely re-evaluate their line of thinking lol.

This is far from it

I don’t think anybody called it dead…except the guy in Taunton maybe, but that’s the same with him in every system.  I said I was more concerned with the slide east OTS…but hope I’m wrong. It’s certainly far from dead.  If the Euro ticks back west, then it’ll really help the cause. 

[Cyclone-68]

FWIW local meteorologist Tim Kelley likes the storm this weekend: 

"The Euro"
1000 mb 1pm Saturday
962 mb 1pm Sunday
-38 mb / 24 hours
(I have never seen a Blizzard miss bc it tracked closer to Bermuda than Nantucket ~ that would be a neat trick)

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

UK is very far SE.

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Absolute thermonuclear potential with this. 

Agree. But it’s got to get close enough to us to matter at all. That’s more my concern. Definitely an explosive set up…just don’t want to see the Carolina’s and Virginia and the Delmarva get buried, and have the sun out here. That would really suck. 

[ORH_wxman]

These trends are poor so far at 12z. Sans GFS. I guess is Euro comes west, we won’t care that much about the Ukie/GGEM. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

UK is very far SE.

OTS is the much bigger concern for us imo. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Cmc 958 just se of the BM, ugh, but a tick better than 0z.

[ineedsnow]

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

FWIW local meteorologist Tim Kelley likes the storm this weekend: 

"The Euro"
1000 mb 1pm Saturday
962 mb 1pm Sunday
-38 mb / 24 hours
(I have never seen a Blizzard miss bc it tracked closer to Bermuda than Nantucket ~ that would be a neat trick)

Huh? Shouldn’t that be the other way around? I’d want it closer to Nantucket than Bermuda. 

[OrangeCTWX]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Those lows just off shore don’t really matter too much if they move due east in the following frames.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Definitely more tucked in…but very far south. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Gefs ticked south with more members stalling along the NC coast where 6z had more members north along the VA/NJ coast.

[Cyclone-68]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Huh? Shouldn’t that be the other way around? I’d want it closer to Nantucket than Bermuda. 

That must be what he meant. He’s saying it’ll be a DC to Phil to NYC to Boston special