The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[BooneWX]

We get the king in 30 min

[Snowncanes]

1 minute ago, BooneWX said:

We get the king in 30 min

The NAM doesn’t run for another hour and fifteen minutes 

[yotaman]

12 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Here’s the Euro AI map for those who were stroking out to see it  

Perfect map. Everyone in NC and most of SC sees snow and us in Eastern NC gets the bullseye. I'm all in.

[SnowGoose69]

42 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

I will get excited for north Atlanta suburbs once @SnowGoose69 says we have a chance

I still think about 2 is the best metro Atlanta or W sides of the metro can do.  Will have to watch for a band of heavier snow on the NW edge of the precip shield with this...happens often in these setups and the only model that may see it is the NAM/RRFS in the final 24-30 hours.

[NC US Geological Survice]

2 minutes ago, yotaman said:

Perfect map. Everyone in NC and most of SC sees snow and us in Eastern NC gets the bullseye. I'm all in.

Fits all the guidance except maybe the low's proximity to land off the OBX

[Silver Meteor]

22 minutes ago, Snowncanes said:

Really interesting to see RAH so bullish on central NC. Of note, they have Greenville NC at 98% to see more than 4 inches. And rdu at 87%. But they have rdu at 10% to see more than 18” and Greenville at 2%. I guess that shows where they are most uncertain about. 

Twenty three years in Eastern N.C. (am a central Md. native,) and have yet to break the 4" barrier with snow. Either I've cursed the places I've lived in here (ILM/PGV) or it's awfully damned hard to get a decent snow in Eastern, N.C. BTW, what's the blue hand palm in your profile image? It seems to be popping up here and there lately and I've no clue what it is.

[neatlburbwthrguy]

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I still think about 2 is the best metro Atlanta or W sides of the metro can do.  Will have to watch for a band of heavier snow on the NW edge of the precip shield with this...happens often in these setups and the only model that may see it is the NAM/RRFS in the final 24-30 hours.

Thanks.  Love your input.  Wouldn’t Dunwoody or northeast of Atl like Gwinnett do better in this set up than say Marietta on the northwest side of Atl? 

[Snowncanes]

2 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Twenty three years in Eastern N.C. (am a central Md. native,) and have yet to break the 4" barrier with snow. Either I've cursed the places I've lived in here (ILM/PGV) or it's awfully damned hard to get a decent snow in Eastern, N.C. BTW, what's the blue hand palm in your profile image? It seems to be popping up here and there lately and I've no clue what it is.

I think it’s just saying im a new member. Ive been a long time lurker and just decided to start contributing to the conversation haha. But yeah it is really hard down there but I think this is the one that does it for y’all. Good luck!

[wncsnow]

12 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

We get the king in 30 min

It's been very consistent for days with its general footprint. Only minor tweaks since early this week. 

[stormwatcherJ]

We'll see what the Euro says, but as of this morning my NWS station's discussion called for 2-4 inches in my neck of the woods, and that seems about right. I don't think much has changed. So under 2 i'll be a bit disappointed.. over 4 and I'll be thrilled! 

[sakau2007]

5 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

Thanks.  Love your input.  Wouldn’t Dunwoody or northeast of Atl like Gwinnett do better in this set up than say Marietta on the northwest side of Atl? 

yes. NE ATL should do better than NW ATL from this storm... although anything is possible a heavier snow shower could set up over cobb county and dump an extra 1-2 inches and miss places like lawrenceville and buford.

but if you had to bet, you'd have to bet on the 85 corridor getting more than the 75 corridor north of town.

[Awilson]

8 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Twenty three years in Eastern N.C. (am a central Md. native,) and have yet to break the 4" barrier with snow. Either I've cursed the places I've lived in here (ILM/PGV) or it's awfully damned hard to get a decent snow in Eastern, N.C. BTW, what's the blue hand palm in your profile image? It seems to be popping up here and there lately and I've no clue what it is.

Heyyyy I’m from Glen burnie, been on the coast for 4 years now.(Sneads Ferry)I think in those 4 years maybe 2 inches of snow. 

[BlizzardNole]

7 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Twenty three years in Eastern N.C. (am a central Md. native,) and have yet to break the 4" barrier with snow. Either I've cursed the places I've lived in here (ILM/PGV) or it's awfully damned hard to get a decent snow in Eastern, N.C. BTW, what's the blue hand palm in your profile image? It seems to be popping up here and there lately and I've no clue what it is.

How disruptive would 8-12" be in that area?  I can't imagine they have many plows?  Our daughter is in Morehead City.  Sorry of the off-topic SE forum folks!  Hope you get a good storm.

[Droessl]

RAH still holding strong! 

[SnowGoose69]

Just now, sakau2007 said:

yes. NE ATL should do better than NW ATL from this storm... although anything is possible a heavier snow shower could set up over cobb county and dump an extra 1-2 inches and miss places like lawrenceville and buford.

but if you had to bet, you'd have to bet on the 85 corridor getting more than the 75 corridor north of town.

Yeah, I mean even places like Stone Mountain and Norcross could get like 3-4 from this with just a marginal west bump.  The airport though or Marietta I think needs quite a bit of help to exceed 2.

[NorthHillsWx]

It’s time to start watching CAMs and that’s the issue- they are the most variable right now. Definitely feel western NC and upstate SC are pretty locked in to good snow, midland SC looks to be trending positively and coastal NC seems set with a good to great event. Triad to triangle to 95 corridor is where the question marks are greatest 

[olafminesaw]

I always find this guy to be pretty well reasoned. He's being understandably conservative 

[AJF0602]

Our winter storm watch just got updated here in Jacksonville, calling for 8-14inches; would be crazy to see.

[Calends]

4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Yeah, I mean even places like Stone Mountain and Norcross could get like 3-4 from this with just a marginal west bump.  The airport though or Marietta I think needs quite a bit of help to exceed 2.

Hi,
Long time lurker here. Any color you can give for the Athens outlook is appreciated.
tia.

[Awilson]

2 minutes ago, AJF0602 said:

Our winter storm watch just got updated here in Jacksonville, calling for 8-14inches; would be crazy to see.

Does Jax even have any plows 

[MDsnowPRO]

6 minutes ago, Awilson said:

Heyyyy I’m from Glen burnie, been on the coast for 4 years now.(Sneads Ferry)I think in those 4 years maybe 2 inches of snow. 

I’m from Dayton, md. Now spend most of the year in Charleston, Sc. If we pull accumulation from this storm it will be two years in a row.

[SnowGoose69]

1 minute ago, Calends said:

Hi,
Long time lurker here. Any color you can give for the Athens outlook is appreciated.
tia.

I think Athens is going to see 4 plus from this.  I'd like to be a bit east of them to feel really good but I just think ratios with this will be solid.

[Awilson]

Just now, MDsnowPRO said:

I’m from Dayton, md. Now spend most of the year in Charleston, Sc. If we pull accumulation from this storm it will be two years in a row.

I’m all for it!

[ADB83]

12z WN2. This model seems pretty locked in on a version of this solution plus or minus a few inches to the far east


.

[BooneWX]

5 minutes ago, ADB83 said:

12z WN2. This model seems pretty locked in on a version of this solution plus or minus a few inches to the far east


.

Been locked in for days too! 
And a reminder that it’s a 10:1 output. We may double that. 

[yotaman]

22 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Twenty three years in Eastern N.C. (am a central Md. native,) and have yet to break the 4" barrier with snow. Either I've cursed the places I've lived in here (ILM/PGV) or it's awfully damned hard to get a decent snow in Eastern, N.C. BTW, what's the blue hand palm in your profile image? It seems to be popping up here and there lately and I've no clue what it is.

New Bern here and this will be our 2nd snow in 2 years. They are generally few and far between. Been here since 96 and our biggest was 8 inches in 2010 I believe. Last year we had 5 inches. The most for this area was in 1989 at just under 12 inches. Wilmington had over a foot with that storm.

[Stormpc]

Been in Currituck for 8 years now. I've had three storms of 8+ Plus. Not including last years 13-14 inch Feb storm.

We don't do much nickel and diming around here. 

[Upstate Tiger]

GSP AFD...they are indicating I-85 from GSP to Charlotte to be a potential jackpot zone with all of the western Carolinas and NE GA getting some stout totals.

 

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

[NEGA_Dawg]

11 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I think Athens is going to see 4 plus from this.  I'd like to be a bit east of them to feel really good but I just think ratios with this will be solid.

So you think Elbert county (36 miles east of athens) will easily see 4 plus?

[Tony Sisk]

41 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

We get the king in 30 min

remind us who the king of models is?  Thanks!