franklin NCwx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Congrats ocean city maryland again! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 The talk of 1980 500mb charts are really similar to this setup. Just need a bombing low off GA https://www.weather.gov/mhx/Mar011980EventReview Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 11 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Congrats ocean city maryland again! And Ahoskie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Pretty similar at 500mb to this gem 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Yes. 30 inches and 4 foot drifts near Havelock, NC. Wild scene. I wonder why the outerbanks got so little? Warm air or dry slot? I thought the 80 storm was SUPER cold?? I was only 4 and lived in Wilson...I slightly remember it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Model waffles will continue for the next couple of days before honing in on a scenario. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 This setup feels a little similar too just more coastal development. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Has anyone pulled the actual analogs? I was just eyeballing '80, but have not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 14 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Pretty similar at 500mb to this gem Good grief! 30” in Carteret and Craven counties!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Good grief! 30” in Carteret and Craven counties!!! Correct. Down East NC has a larger one-time snowstorm total than Toronto, Ontario. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fig Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Maybe December 1989 as an analog? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Weathernext is a little east of last run but still solid for NC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, StantonParkHoya said: Correct. Down East NC has a larger one-time snowstorm total than Toronto, Ontario. And Toronto has a new all-time 24-daily snowfall record: 22 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Has anyone pulled the actual analogs? I was just eyeballing '80, but have not. Dec 24-26 2010 is very similar but again nothing is perfect as we learned last week. Each setup is unique in its own way. The timing on this one has to be very good. Definitely a boom/bust scenario. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/2010/us1225.php 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Weathernext is a little east of last run but still solid for NC Does it show east TN still in the game? Just curious how far east it went . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: This setup feels a little similar too just more coastal development. That was a great storm, was under forecast for foothill and NW Piedmont. If I remember correctly a meso-low formed on the East side of the apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Weathernext is a little east of last run but still solid for NC Pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: i'd take it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 10 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Mind you, those aren’t Kuchera ratios. It spit out .75” of QPF under the ULL in the western Carolinas. Would likely be 8-10” with the projected temps. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Weathernext also presents a way for a maximum amount of people to win. Western Carolina’s, n ga, s va get hammered by the upper low and the surface low cleans up the map down east. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 What is BAM saying? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Weathernext also presents a way for a maximum amount of people to win. Western Carolina’s, n ga, s va get hammered by the upper low and the surface low cleans up the map down east. where can one find the Weathernext runs? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PeeDeeWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 18 minutes ago, wncsnow said: How did this model handle this past weekends storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 20 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Weathernext is a little east of last run but still solid for NC Still .50 to .75 to Asheville-GSP now,the .75 to 1.00 moved east of Raleigh though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 My apple phone says 6-7 Saturday-2-3 Sunday'It also told me at one point 20-25 inches this past weekend.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, PeeDeeWx said: How did this model handle this past weekends storm? Very well it was north of every model and closest to verification 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 The JMA is in our corner (aka the standard bearer). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro AI and AI EPS are both looking really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Here are the CIPS analogs (March 1980 is number 1) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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