February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!

[mappy]

2 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Bring this storm home and you'll be redeemed.  I'll give you @mappy's raise.

I’ll agree to this as long as my backyard doesn’t mix 

[stormtracker]

So looking at the gfs. It has a s/w trod in the middle of the country. Hf and surface low right above Maine with some confluence. Let’s see how it fucks this up. 

[Ji]

So looking at the gfs. It has a s/w trod in the middle of the country. Hf and surface low right above Maine with some confluence. Let’s see how it fucks this up. 

It’s such a broken model. Compare it with 18z. It’s become sadly unusable like the Jma and Nogaps

[bncho]

7 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

So looking at the gfs. It has a s/w trod in the middle of the country. Hf and surface low right above Maine with some confluence. Let’s see how it fucks this up. 

It's a cutter. 225 hours out on the GFS means nothing though.

[Ji]

We need to get this thing under 150 hours. We have been tracking it now forever and it’s still 10 days away

[Cobalt]

Canadian is remarkably similar to its 12z run. 

[Weather Will]

The only thing I take from the WB 0Z GFS is the threat of a storm somewhere along the east coast next weekend.

[Ji]

The only thing I take from the WB 0Z GFS is the threat of a storm somewhere along the east coast next weekend.

As opposed to china? Yes agreed

[Weather Will]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

As opposed to china? Yes agreed

As opposed to no storm or a shredded mess storm.

[bncho]

10 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Canadian is remarkably similar to its 12z run. 

CMC is great

 

[stormtracker]

7 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

The only thing I take from the WB 0Z GFS is the threat of a storm somewhere along the east coast next weekend.

That’s about all we can take away from this

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z Can. should prevent cliff jumping for another run.

[bncho]

Just now, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z Can should prevent cliff jumping for another run.

That would've been an easy regionwide 6-12" IMO

[Weather Will]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

That would've been an easy regionwide 6-12" IMO

Yes, but the key takeaway again is another global model showing an east coast threat in about 10 days.

[Ji]

WB 0Z Can. should prevent cliff jumping for another run.

Must be like 5:1 ratio. Is this an April event ?

[stormtracker]

I'd take what the cmc is throwing down.  Gonna be more after that last panel