winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 200 hours out that will change a few times 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: 200 hours out that will change a few times Nah it’s locked in probably grey hat says rain 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 EPS 00z 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I think Grey hat wants rain as much as he says it's going to rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: EPS 00z That's a nice shift se 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: AIFS ens are close… Close enough. Welcome Back Blizzard of 96 2 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Nah it’s locked in probably grey hat says rain QPF is light 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 In totality I think the 12z suite is a win 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 You have to view these only in the sense of mean total QPF that is borderline wintry, but… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 One thing is for sure, both Gfs and Euro ops wanna' bring back the cold before the end of their runs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 You have to view these only in the sense of mean total QPF that is borderline wintry, but… Seems like the Ai has a weird blip at 00z and 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 52 minutes ago, 87storms said: That was a flush hit of 6 hrs of snow followed by 10 hrs of sleet. If that ends up being our flagship storm in a winter that was generally cold from start to finish, then I want my money back lol. I don’t think we’re done, though…not as long as we keep getting these outrageous cold shots. In Central / Northern Baltimore County that was 10-12" and then a sleet bomb and then (and still currently) a cold spell for the ages. The most snow since 2016 - it's been 10 years. Many schools closed for about a week. Major impact storm. If this is all we get all winter I will take it in a heartbeat. Hopefully we are not done, but imagine the mood around here if we didn't even get that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 We really need to appreciate that the EURO is really just catching on....compare WB EPS low positions at 12Z compared to 0Z. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 WB EPS snow prob. Greatly increased between 6Z and 12Z. Blip or new trend TBD. To illustrate, see 6 inch prob. at 12Z compared to 6Z. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The EURO loves freezing rain as usual. The GEM is nutty as a fruit cake with UL Thermals. The GFS looks reasonable with track, thermals surface and aloft. My 7 model blend has increased from 2.2" at 7 am to 5.5" at 2 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z suite has gotten Top hat off his game 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Seeing the EPS mean is reassuring. The op runs can be expected to windshield wiper around the ensemble means, as they trend closer to the final solution, which we will have a better idea by Wednesday Upon closer inspection, EPS (and AI EPS) has reversed its weakening trend and re-strengthens the s/w on approach. Hudson bay high and confluence also stronger, better cold air mass. New run: Old run: 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Seeing the EPS mean is reassuring. The op runs can be expected to windshield wiper around the ensemble means, as they trend closer to the final solution, which we will have a better idea by Wednesday Upon closer inspection, EPS (and AI EPS) has reversed its weakening trend and re-strengthens the s/w on approach. Hudson bay high and confluence also stronger, better cold air mass. New run: Old run: Remarkable turnaround 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 29 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Seeing the EPS mean is reassuring. The op runs can be expected to windshield wiper around the ensemble means, as they trend closer to the final solution, which we will have a better idea by Wednesday Upon closer inspection, EPS (and AI EPS) has reversed its weakening trend and re-strengthens the s/w on approach. Hudson bay high and confluence also stronger, better cold air mass. New run: Old run: The new run gives our region at least a low moderate chance of a WSW event. Got a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I've listened to those and not posted but I guess TSSN, Winter_warlock, Stormtracker just can't help themselves but continue to knock someone down once they get a model to show snow. I like snow, but as time goes by it will not be so easy at least Delaware. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 how this VD slop storm is making us move right now 1 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 7 minutes ago, GreyHat said: I've listened to those and not posted but I guess TSSN, Winter_warlock, Stormtracker just can't help themselves but continue to knock someone down once they get a model to show snow. I like snow, but as time goes by it will not be so easy at least Delaware. What's Delaware? Is that a county on Maryland's Eastern shore? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: What's Delaware? Is that a county on Maryland's Eastern shore? It’s a U.S. territory 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 51 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Seeing the EPS mean is reassuring. The op runs can be expected to windshield wiper around the ensemble means, as they trend closer to the final solution, which we will have a better idea by Wednesday Upon closer inspection, EPS (and AI EPS) has reversed its weakening trend and re-strengthens the s/w on approach. Hudson bay high and confluence also stronger, better cold air mass. New run: Old run: AIEPS not as strong as the EPS, so does one hold more weight over the other? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 18 minutes ago, Paleocene said: What's Delaware? Is that a county on Maryland's Eastern shore? 15 minutes ago, Solution Man said: It’s a U.S. territory Tread carefully, friends. Attitudes like this are why you had the Boxing Day storm I already disowned his ass, so please stop using him as a representative of the First State. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12 minutes ago, GreyHat said: AIEPS not as strong as the EPS, so does one hold more weight over the other? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said: Tread carefully, friends. Attitudes like this are why you had the Boxing Day storm I already disowned his ass, so please stop using him as a representative of the First State. Yeah why denigrate a nice area because some rando ass lives there. Love Slower Lower DE. And recent winters have been pretty fruitful there. The 2 chases I did in Rehoboth were a blast, esp da Bomb Cyclone. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 34 minutes ago, GreyHat said: I've listened to those and not posted but I guess TSSN, Winter_warlock, Stormtracker just can't help themselves but continue to knock someone down once they get a model to show snow. I like snow, but as time goes by it will not be so easy at least Delaware. Thank you for your service. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, stormtracker said: Thank you for your service. That’s some funny S right there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah why denigrate a nice area because some rando ass lives there. Love Slower Lower DE. And recent winters have been pretty fruitful there. The 2 chases I did in Rehoboth were a blast, esp da Bomb Cyclone. Exactly. Just because recent years have admittedly been hard for the majority of the sub they act like they are "owed" snow as if they don't get 4-8" while I sit under 40 degree rain 90% of the time historically. The hat man is a troll, shit may not even be from fucking DE. put his ass on ignore like ji and 50 others and move the fuck on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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