February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[GreyHat]

This one and 18th system seems  to go up through the MW into ND, MN.

[psuhoffman]

41 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

The modeling seems more of a warmish system. Will see mid week next week how things look.

Thank you for answering the question “what if there was another Chuck, but who didn’t know anything and was even more annoyingly repetitive”. 
 

Im not sure who was asking that question but thanks for answering anyways. 

[Ji]

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Thank you for answering the question “what if there was another Chuck, but who didn’t know anything and was even more annoyingly repetitive”. 
 

Im not sure who was asking that question but thanks for answering anyways. 

my block thing isnt working. I blocked him and now im seeing all his posts again smh

[Ji]

Just now, Ji said:

my block thing isnt working. I blocked him and now im seeing all his posts again smh

what is this @mappy

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

[psuhoffman]

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

my block thing isnt working. I blocked him and now im seeing all his posts again smh

 

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

what is this @mappy

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

OMFG this is legendary. 

[GreyHat]

7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Thank you for answering the question “what if there was another Chuck, but who didn’t know anything and was even more annoyingly repetitive”. 
 

Im not sure who was asking that question but thanks for answering anyways. 

I can't help if I  have shown the maps that support warmth, whether GFS, EPS, AIEuro etc.

You like others just show yourselves as cyber bullies.

[Ji]

Just now, GreyHat said:

I can't help if I  have shown the maps that support warmth, whether GFS, EPS, AIEuro etc.

You like others just show yourselves as cyber bullies.

you joined in Dec 2025...have almost 300 posts which is a crazy rate(like 3 inch an hour snow) and no one of them has contributed. Just sit back and read only and enjoy

[psuhoffman]

4 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

I can't help if I  have shown the maps that support warmth, whether GFS, EPS, AIEuro etc.

You like others just show yourselves as cyber bullies.

Ji is trying to mute you. Take a hint.  
 

when it’s everyone else…that means it’s you!  Instead of blaming the criticism focus on being better. 

[blizzardmeiser]

3 hours ago, CAPE said:

Snow maps galore. 50 miles east or west or north or south. A week out lol. Back to the other thread. I would rather talk to myself. 

What is going on with the JB blizzard of 78 blockbuster storm 2.0? 

[GreyHat]

5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Ji is trying to mute you. Take a hint.  
 

when it’s everyone else…that means it’s you!  Instead of blaming the criticism focus on being better. 

Just ignore my post.  If you have nothing good to say then don't say anything.  Positive criticism is always welcome.

 

[GreyHat]

11 minutes ago, Ji said:

you joined in Dec 2025...have almost 300 posts which is a crazy rate(like 3 inch an hour snow) and no one of them has contributed. Just sit back and read only and enjoy

Ah, I guess showing maps and giving my take on what they show is nothing. 

Like I told PSU if you have nothing good to say then say nothing.  Positive criticism is always welcome.

[Chris78]

7 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

I can't help if I  have shown the maps that support warmth, whether GFS, EPS, AIEuro etc.

You like others just show yourselves as cyber bullies.

I'm not sure if your actually just trying to troll or not but I'm saying this to try to be helpful to you.

99.9 % of this forum is looking for snow. It's ok to post about models that are warm or showing cutters but your also leaving out other models that are a hit or suppressed like pretty much the euro suite or even the operational Canadian.  Feels like you have an agenda.

There's a wide range of possibilities for next weekend but for some reason you keep harping on any model run that shows a cutter or posting 2m temp maps of  2 days after the potential storm would be over.

I see that your newer here but I would suggest reading more and posting less. I was a member for years before ever posting anything. I was just reading and learning.

People aren't going to be receptive if your just posting the same thing over and over again.

Again not bullying you. Just giving you some feedback that I think may be helpful.

[psuhoffman]

5 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Just ignore my post.  If you have nothing good to say then don't say anything.  Positive criticism is always welcome.

 

stop gaslighting 

I saw multiple people give you constructive criticism over the last couple months and you just keep posting garbage. 

Which means it’s one of 2 things 

You’re trolling in which case you should be banned 

Or you’re just incapable of being better in which case you should stop and learn instead of posting all this crap  

Back in the early 2000s I was a lurker for years in various weather boards before I started to try to contribute

 

[clskinsfan]

I dont know what's going on with Ji's ignore list but it is working fine for me. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

24 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

I can't help if I  have shown the maps that support warmth, whether GFS, EPS, AIEuro etc.

You like others just show yourselves as cyber bullies.

Don't pay attention to them.. they are cyber bullies. Adults who get on you if you don't make posts about how it's going to snow. I am "super annoying" for responding to 2 PSU posts linking me yesterday, just saying that the pattern is bad and it's probably going to rain. They are talking about this magical -NAO, but it's like not even negative for the storm.. neutral. Easy call, imo. The pattern is changing quickly in the next few days. 

[psuhoffman]

3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Don't pay attention to them.. they are cyber bullies. Adults who get on you if you don't make posts about how it's going to snow. I am "super annoying" for responding to 2 PSU posts linking me yesterday, just saying that the pattern is bad and it's probably going to rain. They are talking about this magical -NAO, but it's like not even negative for the storm.. neutral. Easy call, imo. The pattern is changing quickly in the next few days. 

You aren’t super annoying. He is. We debate with you logically and with respect. Just because I sometimes argue with you doesn’t mean I don’t like or respect your analysis.  He is just wrong. It might end up too warm for the storm next week but all he keeps doing is cherry picking the warmest op model each cycle and in most cases not even using the right time period.  You make legit arguments. He is trolling. 

[HighStakes]

15 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I'm not sure if your actually just trying to troll or not but I'm saying this to try to be helpful to you.

99.9 % of this forum is looking for snow. It's ok to post about models that are warm or showing cutters but your also leaving out other models that are a hit or suppressed like pretty much the euro suite or even the operational Canadian.  Feels like you have an agenda.

There's a wide range of possibilities for next weekend but for some reason you keep harping on any model run that shows a cutter or posting 2m temp maps of  2 days after the potential storm would be over.

I see that your newer here but I would suggest reading more and posting less. I was a member for years before ever posting anything. I was just reading and learning.

People aren't going to be receptive if your just posting the same thing over and over again.

Again not bullying you. Just giving you some feedback that I think may be helpful.

Well said!

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Well I do enjoy some of our discussions. Just realize that models have really trended away from -NAO for the medium range threat. 

[GreyHat]

4 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Don't pay attention to them.. they are cyber bullies. Adults who get on you if you don't make posts about how it's going to snow. I am "super annoying" for responding to 2 PSU posts linking me yesterday, just saying that the pattern is bad and it's probably going to rain. They are talking about this magical -NAO, but it's like not even negative for the storm.. neutral. Easy call, imo. The pattern is changing quickly in the next few days. 

Thank you, agree, the current setup is bad and the GFS shows another system on the 21st going up towards MN.

I've listen about looking at all models, AI, EPS etc. 

[midatlanticweather]

@GreyHat, I do not think I add a whole lot of help to discussions either. I do post infrequently but somewhat regularly. It is all the point. The way you phrase things matters. Question don't assert. Take everything as a way to learn and not tell people how they are wrong or right. Seriously.. Ask questions... Like, why would you think the GFS is wrong here? You know what.. You will understand more why we think it is a turd model many times. It just has not been consistent at all. Additionally, the Euro has had some challenges in the long range as well. We are all being interested in the new Ai stuff because it seems to have ideas on upper level patterns and has been helpful. Ensembles will help us in the long range.. Jumping verbatim on every model run is a curse we all can tend to have, so people curse the models and have fun or join the misery of missing snow. It is the posture of learning, being skeptical, asking questions, and non assertive or critical that helps this place be fun and worthwhile. And yes.. In the Mid Atlantic (and trends over the last few decades) the threat of warmth is not only real, it is a given. Getting a good clean snow in the mid Atlantic outside the mountains is getting harder. So we always know it. I always have doubts.. Even cold systems can do crazy things like sleet on you for 5 inches with temps in the low teens. Just take the posture of learning.. Asking questions, being no assertive, and also be considerate. Weather is a huge challenge no matter what. We all know it. 

That is my advice.. Not sure it helps

[psuhoffman]

5 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Well I do enjoy some of our discussions. Just realize that models have really trended away from -NAO for the medium range threat. 

Dunno the euro stuff actually improved the Atlantic presentation leading into next weekend with a monster 50/50. GEFS went the other way. Mixed messages. 
 

AIFS just dropped  pretty good run. Im Not saying I think a snowstorm is likely but I’ve seen this setup work. -pna with cold in front of an ejecting pac wave and a 50/50. It’s happened. Could end up warm. That’s definitely a threat. But I could see it work. That’s all I’m saying. 

[winter_warlock]

4 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Thank you, agree, the current setup is bad and the GFS shows another system on the 21st going up towards MN.

I've listen about looking at all models, AI, EPS etc. 

i dont trust the GFS especiallya week or two out. this winter the models havw been dowright horrible,, even 48 hours out they are very unpredictable

[GreyHat]

21 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I'm not sure if your actually just trying to troll or not but I'm saying this to try to be helpful to you.

99.9 % of this forum is looking for snow. It's ok to post about models that are warm or showing cutters but your also leaving out other models that are a hit or suppressed like pretty much the euro suite or even the operational Canadian.  Feels like you have an agenda.

There's a wide range of possibilities for next weekend but for some reason you keep harping on any model run that shows a cutter or posting 2m temp maps of  2 days after the potential storm would be over.

I see that your newer here but I would suggest reading more and posting less. I was a member for years before ever posting anything. I was just reading and learning.

People aren't going to be receptive if your just posting the same thing over and over again.

Again not bullying you. Just giving you some feedback that I think may be helpful.

I'm not here to troll even if that's what some think. One person told me to make sure I look at the EPS, and AI models. I just post what they show.

[bncho]

I'll be the one who gets all the heat for posting the snow maps, 18z Euro AI

[NorthArlington101]

I'll be the one who gets all the heat for posting the snow maps, 18z Euro AI

You only get heat when it’s a bad run. This is perfectly acceptable

[Terpeast]

9 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Well I do enjoy some of our discussions. Just realize that models have really trended away from -NAO for the medium range threat. 

I checked EPS and AI EPS to try to challenge you on that assertion, but came up inconclusive. We do start out with a strong -NAO block but then it decays and retrogrades SW into Quebec as the system approaches.

That’s not the problem in my opinion. The real issue is that the “undercutting” wave energy has trended weaker/flatter. If it’s less dynamic, we could end up too warm for snow, which may not really matter if its dry or low qpf anyway. I would prefer to see a stronger wave that will help keep us cold, or perhaps having a lead wave reinforce cold air for the follow up. 

Lots of moving parts…

[CAPE]

There is a drama free thread where we discuss the nuts and bolts of the pattern and possible outcomes, with no judgment or emotional silliness.

[Ji]

I'll be the one who gets all the heat for posting the snow maps, 18z Euro AI

It’s so consistent. Last year when all models were trying to give us a hecs in feb it was the only model really not on board

[bncho]

1 minute ago, GreyHat said:

I'm not here to troll even if that's what some think. One person told me to make sure I look at the EPS, and AI models. I just post what they show.

IMO you just got a bad first rep and that's the reason why a lot of us (I'll even admit me included) don't like you. It also feels like you tend to post stuff against snow and cold here in a forum full of snow weenies... but at least you're trying. 

The big thing is read more and post less. Hell I'm still trying to do that, and I suck at it still. I've only gotten slightly better over the last few weeks.

[NorthArlington101]

It’s so consistent. Last year when all models were trying to give us a hecs in feb it was the only model really not on board

Have to dig into the thermals (hard) to see how much of that is sleet, but I’ve appreciated its general consistency for the period for sure. It’s the model I’d rather have on my side vs. anything else…