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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs

BooneWX

By BooneWX,
in Southeastern States

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Regan

Regan

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Who knows. I’ve been watching what Allan has been posting this morning and replying to other about concerning this and he said it may stay freezing til after heavy precip is out of here in Raleigh. 

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lilj4425
lilj4425

All of the Little Debbie cakes and beer I bought are gone. It’s dark outside again. I think I saw a raccoon. 27 degrees.

kvegas-wx
kvegas-wx

26° at the farm in Stuart and it 100% smells like snow.  Has to be just over my head now.  Expecting to see flurries on the drive back to Winston.  Generator #2 is in the truck with propane bottles an

kvegas-wx
kvegas-wx

LoL!  How so?  Someone racing back from Walmart hit a powerpole?

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AppalachianWedge

AppalachianWedge

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This storm is very curious, it's like there are two separate storms one after another. 
If I remember correctly, this is how it was originally modeled. Two waves strung out back to back. Later models suggested phasing. Not sure if that happened or not. Someone more knowledgeable would need to answer that.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

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Coach McGuirk

Coach McGuirk

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7 minutes ago, AppalachianWedge said:

If I remember correctly, this is how it was originally modeled. Two waves strung out back to back. Later models suggested phasing. Not sure if that happened or not. Someone more knowledgeable would need to answer that.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
 

Reminds me of PD2.  Such a bust again. 

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mstr4j

mstr4j

Posted
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2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I have no idea how it’s possible but the sleet is actually mixing with snow now 

I agree, it's so odd - Spartanburg on I-85 was snow early, then sleet for a while, then snow being mixed back in with the some sleet, then all sleet again.  Common sense says how?  With this front coming West to east directly over us, freezing rain is inevitable right?  Right? Right? I hope not, but right?  haha

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Omen

Omen

Posted
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Only 2.5 inches of snow/sleet so far. Pouring sleet right now. Currently 14 so hopefully I'll miss the worse of the freezing rain. As a person from Western New York this storm is a snooze lol 

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suzook

suzook

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22 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said:

This storm is very curious, it's like there are two separate storms one after another. 

Technically 3 for my area. We got a half inch of rain Friday. Then another half last night through this morning, with another half inch to inch this afternoon. Been a dreary 3 days here. On a good note, its all been rain, NO ICE.

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Tony Sisk

Tony Sisk

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16 minutes ago, mstr4j said:

I agree, it's so odd - Spartanburg on I-85 was snow early, then sleet for a while, then snow being mixed back in with the some sleet, then all sleet again.  Common sense says how?  With this front coming West to east directly over us, freezing rain is inevitable right?  Right? Right? I hope not, but right?  haha

Here is my thinking, and I could be totally wrong. This high pressure is very strong. It slowed the moisture a lot. So much so that it has given the pacific moisture time to catch up with the gulf moisture. If you look to the west, the precip looks heavier. The flip side, the CAD came in stronger….and it has set it. This afternoon is going to be a doozie, IMO. Heavy freezing precip.

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lilj4425

lilj4425

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5 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said:

Here is my thinking, and I could be totally wrong. This high pressure is very strong. It slowed the moisture a lot. So much so that it has given the pacific moisture time to catch up with the gulf moisture. If you look to the west, the precip looks heavier. The flip side, the CAD came in stronger….and it has set it. This afternoon is going to be a doozie, IMO. Heavy freezing precip.

Yeah, we better hope that qpf weakens before it gets here. Otherwise, it’s not gonna be pretty.

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KrummWx

KrummWx

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26 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I have no idea how it’s possible but the sleet is actually mixing with snow now 

NWS should send a team to study the extreme microclimate that always seems to exist between you and me. I'm ~0.7 miles from North Hills and haven't seen a single flake all morning, all sleet/zr. 

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suzook

suzook

Posted
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4 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said:

Here is my thinking, and I could be totally wrong. This high pressure is very strong. It slowed the moisture a lot. So much so that it has given the pacific moisture time to catch up with the gulf moisture. If you look to the west, the precip looks heavier. The flip side, the CAD came in stronger….and it has set it. This afternoon is going to be a doozie, IMO. Heavy freezing precip.

I do think alot of people think they are out of the woods. This afternoon will be a disaster for many with that front coming through.

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HWY316wx

HWY316wx

Posted
Posted

Much like you boys up in the Carolinas, mainly sleet here overnight.  Some ZR but more sleet than anything, hardly any ice on limbs or leaves.  Still have power.

I am incredibly curious how the CAD holds here in NE GA as the LPS pulls north and tries to pull the warm air north.  HRRR and NAM 3k have backed off ZR amounts. 

I don't remember a CAD event keeping temps below freezing without moisture falling through the air, but I know it's strong.  I am also interested to see if we get thunder ZR as the front pushes through.

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USCG RS

USCG RS

Posted
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4 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said:

Here is my thinking, and I could be totally wrong. This high pressure is very strong. It slowed the moisture a lot. So much so that it has given the pacific moisture time to catch up with the gulf moisture. If you look to the west, the precip looks heavier. The flip side, the CAD came in stronger….and it has set it. This afternoon is going to be a doozie, IMO. Heavy freezing precip.

Unfortunately, I agree with you. Up north you can see how places are colder than expected as well and the snow in the DC to Boston corridor is beginning as nothing and then SN+ with some places close to visibility below 1,000 feet nearly immediately upon the commencement of snow beginning. This means the precip is running into a literal wall, or a high pressure system that is unduly strong. It's acting almost as an SWFE. 

Now, if that was the only storm/batch of moisture, I would breathe a sigh of relief. But it's not, and this storm is still ramping up. So you'll have a storm getting it's act together with heavier precip and strong WAA with an uncharacteristically strong HP filtering in a strong CAD situation. 

It's still a set up for a significant ice storm. 

 

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