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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!


SnowenOutThere
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4 minutes ago, bncho said:

By the way that's entering the medium range soon. Crazy how loaded this pattern is.

All models have a gulf coast disturbance and a cold high. If it phases the sky is the limit.  Or maybe it just goes ots like last year.

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10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


Well I only checked because it screamed robot to my human brain. I don’t do that to everyone’s posts (though maybe I should)

I've quoted and called out some posts recently that are obviously composed by using AI. I don't have an issue with people using it, but don't pretend like it's your own analysis.

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The year was 2005.  I was telling everyone in high school to root for the GFS because it gives us way more snow but that the GFS usually isn’t correct.  This happened many times.

The year is 2026.  I am telling everyone at work that the GFS (although I say “American model” now as everyone knows I’m a weather guy but maybe not to this extent) gives us way more snow but that the GFS usually isn’t correct.

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15 minutes ago, bncho said:

Elevation actually doesn't really matter in these types of setups. The surface temps aren't an issue, it's the upper levels that are. Elevation won't really help with that, it's the fact that's he's NW of the metros.

It still matters. We get uplift that the coastal plain doesn't. 

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24 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

I’ll sell my soul for the GFS man it is pretty 

Think we all would - especially with the continued divergence between the various models, with the potential for some major busts.  Would take the sleet shown by the GFS any day on top of 10+ compared to 4-6.  

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10 hours ago, BlizzardNole said:

Highs in the low to mid 80s in south FL the next few days!  So different from the typical cold blast in the east where south FL is in the 50s.  Anyone that booked a trip to FL this weekend got their money's worth

Yep, the weekend forecast is great! 80's and sunny. 

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Just now, JenkinsJinkies said:

I do wonder with the cold in the lead up and bigger cold following it that could make things a little different this time?

Yeah who knows, I mean realistically with these complicated wave interactions you can get shifts up until 48 and even beyond but it just feels like they don’t shift back south very much. 

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