Jackstraw Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: I saw arctic sand at ozzfest in 1998, they sucked I was snorting arctic sand at ozzfest in '98 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted yesterday at 02:04 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:04 PM this is your moment^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted yesterday at 02:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:44 PM The problem with this is that the low pressure isn't that strong overall mb wise so it transfers pretty quickly to a coastal low, which will limit totals this far north. Further south into Ohio should still get some goods before the transfer. Fluid situation tho with Miller b's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted yesterday at 02:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:46 PM From the WPC, through Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted yesterday at 02:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:50 PM 2 minutes ago, TimChgo9 said: From the WPC, through Sunday. seemed low but only goes through Sunday 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted yesterday at 02:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:52 PM 6 minutes ago, TimChgo9 said: From the WPC, through Sunday. *Only through 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted yesterday at 02:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:55 PM 13 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: The problem with this is that the low pressure isn't that strong overall mb wise so it transfers pretty quickly to a coastal low, which will limit totals this far north. Further south into Ohio should still get some goods before the transfer. Fluid situation tho with Miller b's. 12z NAM was pretty close to being well-phased and amped up. 1005mb low got all the way to Lexington before being shunted eastward. Unfortunately, it seems there isn't going to be enough separation of the PV, nor digging of the Baja low, to prevent a quick transfer (which is good for the OV). Still, the NAM was strong enough that it ended up being a nice run for the Detroit area (there's plenty more snow beyond 84hr). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted yesterday at 02:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:55 PM It is the NAM (useless) I wonder if DocATL will check back in!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted yesterday at 03:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:05 PM 15/20:1 ratios for the duration of the event is insane for southern Ohio. 0.9" QPF for Cincinnati becomes 13-20" of snow... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted yesterday at 03:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:12 PM 15 minutes ago, Powerball said: 12z NAM was pretty close to being well-phased and amped up. 1005mb low got all the way to Lexington before being shunted eastward. Unfortunately, it seems there isn't going to be enough separation of the PV, nor digging of the Baja low, to prevent a quick transfer (which is good for the OV). Still, the NAM was strong enough that it ended up being a nice run for the Detroit area (there's plenty more snow beyond 84hr). Yea these scenarios always make me wonder if the low isn't that strong overall and the phasing is the only thing making this a storm. What's preventing the low from dropping below 1000 and kinda bombing/not transferring. Obviously beyond my meteorological knowledge. Cold high to the north shunting it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted yesterday at 03:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:17 PM 26 minutes ago, buckeye said: seemed low but only goes through Sunday 7am Okay, so we are going to get more than what the WPC shows. I guess I best get a few things from the store........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted yesterday at 03:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:19 PM ^prudent^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted yesterday at 03:20 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:20 PM 13 minutes ago, nvck said: 15/20:1 ratios for the duration of the event is insane for southern Ohio. 0.9" QPF for Cincinnati becomes 13-20" of snow... That would be something. Temps for the weekend don't get above 20, and are single digits in the overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthOaklandCtyWX Posted yesterday at 03:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:43 PM 43 minutes ago, Powerball said: 12z NAM was pretty close to being well-phased and amped up. 1005mb low got all the way to Lexington before being shunted eastward. Unfortunately, it seems there isn't going to be enough separation of the PV, nor digging of the Baja low, to prevent a quick transfer (which is good for the OV). Still, the NAM was strong enough that it ended up being a nice run for the Detroit area (there's plenty more snow beyond 84hr). If you extrapolate the NAM it’d probably be about an 8-10” snowfall for the Detroit city proper. I’d definitely rather be downriver for this one instead of north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted yesterday at 03:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:49 PM It is the NAM (useless) I wonder if DocATL will check back in!!!!Bro…I feel like the GFS is Khan from Star Trek 2 detonating the Genesis device before he dies. For once it will be right. Anticipating a sharp cutoff and a thin layer of coke on my driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted yesterday at 03:54 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:54 PM 5.3” final call $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted yesterday at 03:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:57 PM GFS babysteps northwest continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted yesterday at 03:58 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:58 PM Verbatim . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted yesterday at 03:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:59 PM Can’t wait for the HRRR to dump 18” on Chicago from Lake effect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted yesterday at 04:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:05 PM 7 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: GFS babysteps northwest continue Compared to 06z run higher totals aren't nearly as nw as before. Maybe just a sharper gradient. Probably makes more sense with the dry ne flow around arctic high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted yesterday at 04:07 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:07 PM SREF "Doom" Viewer gives me 8in so I'm gonna get 1in lmfao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM 3 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: Compared to 06z run higher totals aren't nearly as nw as before. Maybe just a sharper gradient. Probably makes more sense with the dry ne flow around arctic high. actually small diff I noticed, (also on the rgem) is the ns is a bit more flat and slightly further south. It's squeezing the precip shield and creating a sharper cutoff to the north. Probably noise at this point but definitely any hope for a stronger, further north trend isn't there....at least not yet. Actually I'm rooting for nw stronger myself. In the meantime this is an ohio river valley beatdown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM GEM coming in a little southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted yesterday at 04:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:18 PM pretty solid consensus across the board, 7-9" along i-70. 6-10 seems like a solid forecast. Been awhile since we officially broke 6" in CMH so I ain't complaining 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted yesterday at 04:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:19 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted yesterday at 04:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:21 PM as much as I'd love that /\ this has more of a realistic feeling to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted yesterday at 04:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:24 PM Perfectly content with where I sit currently, all but the GFS are hitting us with around 6-10" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted yesterday at 04:29 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:29 PM 58 minutes ago, TimChgo9 said: That would be something. Temps for the weekend don't get above 20, and are single digits in the overnight. are you in 513-land? we need more cincy posters on here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted yesterday at 04:29 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:29 PM Luckily the bust potential for us isn’t anything crazy. 0-3”. Firmly in our duster wheelhouse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted yesterday at 04:31 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:31 PM Well, I have relatives in SW Missouri and they will get slammed. Unless it ends up even farther south. A real synoptic storm would be nice at some point, but I’ve done well with the lake enhaced clipper train this past week. A fresh 4” every 24 hours, even more to the north and west. Likely breaking a foot of depth before it’s all over (though drifting always cuts down a little on the depth at GRR proper) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now