SACRUS Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 EURO AI AI FS Total QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 What a huge shift north on the AIGFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Is that a full phase on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro looks like its going to be a big hit. Also comes in earlier Euro has snow from Sunday morning through Tuesday. Heavy snow Sunday Night and then Monday afternoon from a coastal. Still going at 144. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18Z Euro Total QPF through 144 with seemingly more to come 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Euro was about to cook! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18Z GEFS Total QPF mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: 1/20 18Z Total QPF ICON: (120H) in line with 12z GFS: 0.3 - 0.4 GFS AID: 0.5 - 0.6 GEFS: 0.6 Euro AI AIFS: 0.6 - 0.7 Euro : 0.9 - 1.1(+) through and more to come (144H) Updated good suite of forecasts for those enjoying the snowier outcome 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Ceiling is quite high if we can get western energy to fully phase in. I think even if we don't we're probably looking at a 4-8" type system at minimum 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Inching North with the 0.5 line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: 18Z GEFS Total QPF mean That's 12z I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, SnoSki14 said: That's 12z I believe I had the same issue and did a forced refresh it is a bit higher o.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, SACRUS said: I had the same issue and did a forced refresh it is a bit higher o.7 Ok I see it now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Ceiling is quite high if we can get western energy to fully phase in. I think even if we don't we're probably looking at a 4-8" type system at minimum The 12z Euro only did a partial phase and still pulled off a MECS. The only thing we can’t have is those two pieces staying entirely separate. Literally any interaction and we get at least a SECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Still snowing 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Setting our goalpost. Gfs about as low as we probably go. Euro highest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Setting our goalpost. Gfs about as low as we probably go. Euro highest NYC and surrounding areas would most likely see over 20 inches passed 144. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 At h5 we’re not too far off from some pretty big solutions. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: NYC and surrounding areas would most likely see over 20 inches passed 144. Kuchie though, and snow map 5 days out so grain of salt, salt mines worth of grains of salt. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 EPS made the same shift towards more phasing and now has 0.75" liquid to NYC 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, Tatamy said: Agree. The pictured event took place with temperatures between 28 and 30. It caused widespread power outages https://www.northshorewx.com/19780113.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 There's a pretty high floor with this system because it's so large with tons of moisture and very cold air but the question is the phasing which would create a much higher ceiling. This doesn't feel like a thread the needle situation that we usually see in these parts with an all or nothing scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Still snowing Can you post the non kuchera version. Or just QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 this is all you need to see. trend has been ongoing for two days now 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS made the same shift towards more phasing and now has 0.75" liquid to NYC .75 with favorable ratios would be great. I’m not buying the kuchera maps showing over 20:1 ratios but to each their own! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: just when i thought i was the worst poster on here i met krs4lfe 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: .75 with favorable ratios would be great. I’m not buying the kuchera maps showing over 20:1 ratios but to each their own! Probably 13-14:1 at best. Ratios aren't about surface temperatures. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Probably 13-14:1 at best. Ratios aren't about surface temperatures. 100% agree - not even worth worrying about. I’m just looking at QPF - easier for forecasting and consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS made a big move north. Wagons North. Trends aligning favorable to my house!. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 A cutter with a 1050mb Siberian High and unmodified arctic air/confluence pressing down?! Lmfaooo I’ve seen it all now. The threat is suppression, not cut, not even close 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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