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January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage


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2 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

Actually that stronger low MSLP signature in WV is annoying on the Euro AI.

 

Edit: I don't think this is cause for panic at this point, just want to see this stay in TN.

I saw it; but it runs into the strong high and jumps to the coast. WB 0Z EUR0 AI

IMG_7439.png

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3 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I saw it; but it runs into the strong high and jumps to the coast. WB 0Z EUR0 AI

IMG_7439.png

This makes more sense in a physics sense and the post by Tripol has a lot of merit. This is not a pattern where a low can drive hard to western PA and should in theory struggle to get to WV. This should be more of a primary to transfer from eastern TN/KY to off the Carolina coast. That’s what the AIFS is showing and makes more sense synoptically. 

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4 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

Actually that stronger low MSLP signature in WV is annoying on the Euro AI.

 

Edit: I don't think this is cause for panic at this point, just want to see this stay in TN.

Its going to move into WV because there's mountains there. Just hope it's weak. A 1012mb low will easily be dominated by the cad and the coastal.

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