CaryWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 11 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I just got back from our local Kroger. It’s like a damn war zone in there! Yeah, all that pushing and shoving. Hope you didn't hurt anybody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 18z Euro? More of the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: 18z Euro? More of the same? Yeah pretty much, at the surface anyway. Stronger CAD despite not really jumping south at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC US Geological Survice Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 38 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Here ya go GFS to Charlotte and Raleigh: "F cities in particular" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: 18z Euro? More of the same? Indeed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: 18z Euro? More of the same? Pretty much. Slightly stronger with the wedge once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSUGrad Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 40 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: My wife went to get supplies from grocery store and came back with more wine and beer than a village could drink. Love her "More than a village can drink" Your username = NorthHillsWx My address = North Hills Perhaps we should explore your theory more closely. 4 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Looks like the 18Z EURO is still struggling with depicting sleet, as Brad P mentioned in his vlog. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 My local electric company is referring to the storm as "Winter Storm Fern." for heads up on preparations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 24 minutes ago, NCSUGrad said: "More than a village can drink" Your username = NorthHillsWx My address = North Hills Perhaps we should explore your theory more closely. Come on, we can put it to the test! Drink till the lights go out, literally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 40 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Indeed Thanks for posting these. I’m really hoping the Euro freezing rain amounts will end up closer than the much wetter Icon and especially GFS. I’m extra concerned for loved ones in ATL and FAY. I’ve been giving them advice regarding preps for the worst case scenario just in case, but I’d of course love for nothing close to the worst case to happen. At 18Z ZR for ATL: GFS 1.6” (that’s actually down some but still would be worst since ‘73) Icon ~1.5” (also actually down some) Euro 0.6” (partially due to less qpf) UKMET nothing (not realistic unfortunately) So, even with GFS/Icon down some from 12Z, that’s still 2.5+ times as much as the Euro! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 How often so these extreme ice scenarios that the models are showing actually happen? I thought more often than not they end up being way overdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Brick Tamland said: How often so these extreme ice scenarios that the models are showing actually happen? I thought more often than not they end up being way overdone. This is true. I personally cut them in half based on what I've experienced. I think they get the "zone" right, but the amounts are overdone. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: This is true. I personally cut them in half based on what I've experienced. I think they get the "zone" right, but the amounts are overdone. This. If it says 1” I’d expect 0.50”. However, with the cold temps and light rates, it could be higher than normal in some cases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: This. If it says 1” I’d expect 0.50”. However, with the cold temps and light rates, it could be higher than normal in some cases Yeah this was my thinking. Temps are usually a bit more borderline than this when we see ZR. Plus wind makes accrual more efficient. Could be more like 0.6 to 0.75 depending on localized conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Yeah this was my thinking. Temps are usually a bit more borderline than this when we see ZR. Plus wind makes accrual more efficient. Could be more like 0.6 to 0.75 depending on localized conditions. Yep and that’s in line with most predictions. Even conservative WRAL is going with 0.5-1” here in Raleigh which is pretty wild for them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Yep and that’s in line with most predictions. Even conservative WRAL is going with 0.5-1” here in Raleigh which is pretty wild for them Looks like they just go with whatever the Euro has 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Whenever i get into an argument with my wife at this point im just going to look at her and say “WELL THATS WHAT WRAL SAID”. That should end the argument since WRAL is king.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 hours ago, GaWx said: The last 1+” of that in ATL area on the 18Z GFS is plain cold rain. If that verifies, it would accelerate the melting after a very bad ZR hit. ATL metro it all comes down to the surface feature and how strong it is/how far north it gets. If its as shown on the 18Z Euro I don't think they end up in too bad a place because they'd have a 6 hour window 06-12Z to really drop a ton of FZRA and thats just typically hard to do. If you rain at .15 an hour most runs off, if you rain at .07 an hour you may get a 1/2 inch of ice but if it goes to 48 degrees by 18z you melt it all off and limit the damage of future wind/time of it on trees and powerlines. They need to basically be frozen all event. Areas well NE of the metro that may occur but I am suspect on the metro itself doing that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just a fyi, if yall don't see me posting much, my shift on the Fire Dept works on Sunday but it looks like its gonna be bad so they may call us all in Saturday evening. May have to work 36 hrs straight... If I dont have time to post ill try to get on and scan the pages but I hope u all stay safe and keep your power on! 30 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwatcherJ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Appreciate ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted January 23 Author Share Posted January 23 Just a fyi, if yall don't see me posting much, my shift on the Fire Dept works on Sunday but it looks like its gonna be bad so they may call us all in Saturday evening. May have to work 36 hrs straight... If I dont have time to post ill try to get on and scan the pages but I hope u all stay safe and keep your power on!So I can call a first responder to get me to Sovah Monday lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Just a fyi, if yall don't see me posting much, my shift on the Fire Dept works on Sunday but it looks like its gonna be bad so they may call us all in Saturday evening. May have to work 36 hrs straight... If I dont have time to post ill try to get on and scan the pages but I hope u all stay safe and keep your power on! Thanks Richie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 10 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Just a fyi, if yall don't see me posting much, my shift on the Fire Dept works on Sunday but it looks like its gonna be bad so they may call us all in Saturday evening. May have to work 36 hrs straight... If I dont have time to post ill try to get on and scan the pages but I hope u all stay safe and keep your power on! Thank you for your service. Godspeed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 So I can call a first responder to get me to Sovah Monday lol.Hope everything goes well for you Jimbo! Will say a prayer for you.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Thanks Richie Don't cuss me like that lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Wow… NWS is bullish on the ice. Not good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 HRRR.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, Snowncanes said: Wow… NWS is bullish on the ice. Not good Get y’all’s storm plans in place triangle folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 HRRR.... OH BOY.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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