First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Weak and a torch. That would be a non event here.

Let’s do it

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Same winners as today.

Maybe a bit east, but yes, decent overlap. 

[ORH_wxman]

It’s the NAM though, so whatever. No use in over analyzing it. 

[CoastalWx]

Weird look though. Very inv looking 

[8611Blizz]

Scooter keeps the degree and Jerry gets his choice of a free appetizer?

[Go Kart Mozart]

After slowing them down for a couple of runs, NAM sped up the kickers by a tad

[dryslot]

3K is much better then the 12k

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, dryslot said:

3K is much better then the 12k

Was opposite at 12z

[WxWatcher007]

On 1/16/2026 at 10:49 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think at this point I just want to fill CT with freshwater and wait for SW winds.

 

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Best dynamics this run are actually from about 495 back through Kevin’s area and CT  

We are always here. Lurking and waiting for the inevitable. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, dryslot said:

3K is much better then the 12k

Lmao are those two ever in sync? They’re like a toxic Hollywood couple 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Looks like no speedo after all 

[dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Was opposite at 12z

Flip flopped

[MJO812]

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, dryslot said:

Flip flopped

We’d all rather the 3k be better then the 12k

[CoastalWx]

3k way NW of 12z. More concise precip shield too:

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Was opposite at 12z

Yup, was just gonna say that. They flipped. Dendy said beware when the 3k is less. Now it’s better. So what can we gleam from that? 

[dryslot]

The 12k has the inverted dong.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3k and its brother are pretty much two different events here. 3k is a little paste bomb and regular NAM is a few sloppy inches after middling rates 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Looks like no speedo after all 

From One silly NAM run? It’s brother has you in a G string. 

[dryslot]

Getting close to the event and models still all over the board.

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah this is why we don’t really over analyze the NAM. 3k isn’t even that similar to 12k this run.  

[WinterWolf]

Toss. 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

They often call me speedo but my real name is Mr. Earl..

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah this is why we don’t really over analyze the NAM. 3k isn’t even that similar to 12k this run.  

NAM was so off with today’s snow. Had this 3-6” band about 50-75 miles north 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weathafella said:

They often call me speedo but my real name is Mr. Earl..

Mr Jerry if you’re nasty?

[dryslot]

12k still snowing here at 21z Monday...........

[Sey-Mour Snow]

RRFS solid for everyone good 4-8” coming for all I believe.. 

[CoastalWx]

I think ideally whatever comes up tomorrow morning continues through the afternoon to keep temps down. Models are disagreeing with that. You would think with the Gulf of Mexico open you’d have good moisture though. We shall see.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

The public is in shock with our social media call of 4-8”.. no one has any idea 

[ORH_wxman]

7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

NAM was so off with today’s snow. Had this 3-6” band about 50-75 miles north 

Yeah today was just a disaster on model guidance. Euro prob did the best but even it didn’t quite capture it accurately.