Storm potential January 18th-19th

[mattinpa]

Yes the big blizzard shown was very likely unrealistic but wouldn’t count out a SECS just yet.

[WeatherGeek2025]

nam looks tasty for saturday

[Stormlover74]

Nam comes in early either temps below freezing. Too bad its the nam

[Krs4Lfe]

NAM has almost Nothing for Sunday. Not a great sign considering how over amped the nam usually is 

[Franklin0529]

5 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

NAM has almost Nothing for Sunday. Not a great sign considering how over amped the nam usually is 

You'll buy what the nam is selling at 100hrs but not the GFS? Are you sure you an weenie man I mean snowman 19 aren't the same people 

[Nibor]

16 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

NAM has almost Nothing for Sunday. Not a great sign considering how over amped the nam usually is 

[Krs4Lfe]

ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue 

[Jt17]

ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue 

Trended west just like the Euro.


.

[Franklin0529]

2 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue 

It took a pretty good size jump west. You do realize the storm is still 4 days away right? Every model has been trending west. Not saying a GFS blizzard is on the table. But a few Inches certainly isn't out of the question 

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue 

 

[eduggs]

So far everything ticked a little better at 0z. That's better than the opposite. Looks like a burst of snow or rain on Sat. and a close call for something Sunday. Still a little time to trend better.

[MJO812]

Rgem is much more amped for sunday 

[eduggs]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Rgem is much more amped for sunday 

 

Yeah, it looks really good. An improvement over the 12z GDPS. It's a little faster than the 18z GFS, but actually a little west of it at the surface. That's a plowable snowfall incoming on the model. 

[Tar Heel Snow]

13 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Rgem is much more amped for sunday 

Just a  of miles N

Just a few miles off from a VERY tasty looking FGEN band verbatim too. Very, very fickle 

[MJO812]

AI GFS and GFS are coming in more amped. This should be west of 18z.

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

AI GFS and GFS are coming in more amped. This should be west of 18z.

way west on gfs ai

[eduggs]

Going to be more Gulf inflow on the GFS.

[WeatherGeek2025]

this will be a big hit i think

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

this will be a big hit i think

Not really but a nice snow event .

[Tar Heel Snow]

lol it's gonna do it again. telling ya, this ain't done with west adjustments

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Not really but a nice snow event .

better than 18z and this may not be done w/ west trends

[eduggs]

Starts west but dampens at h5 and slides east. A nice run but not 12z.

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, eduggs said:

Starts west but dampens at h5 and slides east. A nice run but not 12z.

better than 18z

[BoulderWX]

A nice 2-4” event for most. I’d take it