TSSN+ Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, WhiteoutMD said: Is this replacing the NAM? They should put it in the trash can before that cause it’s worse than the Nam from what I have seen so far going back to December lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: Is this replacing the NAM? Think it is supposed to this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago WB RRFS 12Z compared to 18Z (2nd picture) through 3pm Sunday. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago What are we tracking in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, Ji said: What are we tracking in this thread? I thought it was everything through this weekend but everyone is all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago GFS wants to bring us some snow tv tomorrow midday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Ji said: What are we tracking in this thread? Everything before Sunday’s partly cloudy/rain/dusting/blizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Someone getting 1/2-1.5” Friday night into Saturday morning. Right now best chance is NE Maryland based on models but it’s been shifting around and won’t be nailed down till maybe 12hrs out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago RGEM rainy east of the fall line. But pretty nice west of the Blue Ridge. This weekend is going to surprise someone. Maybe not here. But somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago gfs and euro still worlds apart for Sunday. We need those recon flights yesterday haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I guess technically there should be a separate thread for 'my' storm which was Sunday into Monday, but I wouldn't bother- both of these 'events' look severely underwhelming lol. Tomorrow looks better for along and NW of I-95 and Sunday for the coastal regions. My forecast has an inch or less for Sunday, and only the GFS and the AIs support that. The beach areas have the best shot at a couple inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: I guess technically there should be a separate thread for 'my' storm which was Sunday into Monday, but I wouldn't bother- both of these 'events' look severely underwhelming lol. Tomorrow looks better for along and NW of I-95 and Sunday for the coastal regions. My forecast has an inch or less for Sunday, and only the GFS and the AIs support that. The beach areas have the best shot at a couple inches. Make a new one or rename this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Added Sunday to this. Maybe if we keep changing the dates, eventually this will be a snowstorm thread? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFSAI has precip back into the mountains for Sunday! It’s a full on SECS. EuroAI still has precip past DC. AI models either going to win glory or shame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFSAI has precip back into the mountains for Sunday! It’s a full on SECS. EuroAI still has precip past DC. AI models either going to win glory or shame. How is it this bad 60hrs out? This might be some of the worse modeling I’ve seen lately. Shameful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9z RAP actually has a nice little burst 11am-12pm Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago 6z euro worlds part from gfs Sunday. It’s not even close. But tomorrow it gives good snows to some. 1-2” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFSAI has precip back into the mountains for Sunday! It’s a full on SECS. EuroAI still has precip past DC. AI models either going to win glory or shame. The non-AI GFS isn’t actually that far off from the AIGFS at 06z. I don’t really trust AI precip fields as they’re not typically trained for those, but its actually not too far off from the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: The non-AI GFS isn’t actually that far off from the AIGFS at 06z. I don’t really trust AI precip fields as they’re not typically trained for those, but its actually not too far off from the op. The differences between rgem, gfs and euro are pretty hilarious for being only 54-60hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 21 minutes ago Share Posted 21 minutes ago 23 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: The differences between rgem, gfs and euro are pretty hilarious for being only 54-60hrs out. Yeah, its like we have three different camps instead of the usual two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Yeah, its like we have three different camps instead of the usual two Not sure I seen models be like 150 miles apart this close before. Maybe the usual 25-50 but this is comedy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago 54 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: How is it this bad 60hrs out? This might be some of the worse modeling I’ve seen lately. Shameful Difficult pattern with a lot of NS chaos. Probably more error associated with initial conditions, and maybe not enough data in some cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 12 minutes ago Share Posted 12 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Difficult pattern with a lot of NS chaos. Probably more error associated with initial conditions, and maybe not enough data in some cases. Ya we need recon. I never seen a forecast two days out where it could be sunny or snowing 2-4” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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