Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[NorthHillsWx]

We got less than 1” QPF from both big storms combined here. Severe drought and in serious need of one of these events to not dry up 48 hours before 

[WXNewton]

Euro back south even more than 06z. Mostly rain for everyone. Low was weaker and didn't pull as much cold air into the system. Not a terrible look, just need the High stronger and the low a little stronger. It's pretty much looking like a Miller A rainstorm at this point. If this trend keeps up that low may track right across the Gulf.

[wncsnow]

7 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Euro back south even more than 06z. Mostly rain for everyone. Low was weaker and didn't pull as much cold air into the system. Not a terrible look, just need the High stronger and the low a little stronger. It's pretty much looking like a Miller A rainstorm at this point. If this trend keeps up that low may track right across the Gulf.

Its cutting back rain amounts for sure. Don't like that

[WXNewton]

9 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Its cutting back rain amounts for sure. Don't like that

EPS cut back too, still just a hair over an inch though. 6z EPS-12z EPS

[wncsnow]

3 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

EPS cut back too, still just a hair over an inch though. 6z EPS-12z EPS

Couple more cuts and its .25-.50. 

[Met1985]

3 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Couple more cuts and its .25-.50. 

Where's the north trend?

[NorthHillsWx]

5 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Couple more cuts and its .25-.50. 

Sounds familiar this year 

[suzook]

28 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Sounds familiar this year 

Been happening to my neck of the woods for over a year now. We need the precip badly 

[wncsnow]

34 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Where's the north trend?

That's so 2010's

[wncsnow]

March can be a dry and windy month so we need all the rain we can get. 

[BornAgain13]

What's weird is the EPS still shows snow in VA but the OP says no. 

[Tullioz]

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

What's weird is the EPS still shows snow in VA but the OP says no. 

There are only a handful of ensemble members showing snow in south-central Virginia. Of those, there are a few outliers showing significant amounts of snow, and they are skewing the snowfall mean.

[CAD_Wedge_NC]

53 minutes ago, Tullioz said:

There are only a handful of ensemble members showing snow in south-central Virginia. Of those, there are a few outliers showing significant amounts of snow, and they are skewing the snowfall mean.

That's because there is a lack of precip now. It's not from lack of cold air up there.

[Tullioz]

30 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

That's because there is a lack of precip now. It's not from lack of cold air up there.

If you look at the ensembles, you will notice there's also a lack of cold air at the surface and aloft to support snow in south-central Virginia.