January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[stormtracker]

So up top, western end  of the s/w lobe is a bit further back N and W..but not shockingly so.   Let's see how and if this helps

[Ji]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

So up top, western end  of the s/w lobe is a bit further back N and W..but not shockingly so.   Let's see how and if this helps

nothing with the word west can hurt

[MickeyTim6533]

hearing this storm is cooked

[Ji]

6 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Euro ai trended nw, it’s a hit.  Prob a little better than 12z. 

i dont know if its a hit but its better. Moderate hit i guess

[Solution Man]

OPM Closed tomorrow 

[bncho]

Just now, Ji said:

i dont know if its a hit but its better. Moderate hit i guess

That’s 8-12” with ratios, keep listening to TWC jazz.

[stormtracker]

Looks better so far...getting skipped panels on sfc

[Ji]

Just now, bncho said:

That’s 8-12” with ratios, keep listening to TWC jazz.

a hit is 18-24 right now for me

[stormtracker]

[peribonca]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

i dont know if its a hit but its better. Moderate hit i guess

Some of us live in the SE part of the forum. I'll take my foot of snow.

[Weather Will]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

i dont know if its a hit but its better. Moderate hit i guess

Compared to WB 12Z AI EURO a tick NW or maybe start of trend  TBD

[snowmagnet]

Y'all are confusing.  We are cooked based on the GFS?  The CMC had an epic storm this morning.  I know Euro wasn't great this afternoon, but it was one run.  It's still there on the 18z.  Do we get an 18z CMC? 

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Looks better so far...getting skipped panels on sfc

this is going to be a long week lol and i am gassed. At least we aint tracking this from 192 hours lol. But if we are going to die--i hope its a quick death man

[stormtracker]

[DDweatherman]

Waiting for Randy's next few panels to say the Euro is better... not sure I see it based on these panels. Then again I didn't see h5 just Atari surface maps. 

[EHoffman]

1 minute ago, snowmagnet said:

Y'all are confusing.  We are cooked based on the GFS?  The CMC had an epic storm this morning.  I know Euro wasn't great this afternoon, but it was one run.  It's still there on the 18z.  Do we get an 18z CMC? 

It only runs out to like 84 hours I think

[stormtracker]

Better, regardless.  Can't see h5 so can't predict what the next panel gonna do

 

[AlexD1990]

this one definitely has the potential to be a forum divider in reverse of this weekend.

[Ralph Wiggum]

23 minutes ago, stormy said:

Instead of 150 miles southeast of Hatteras, it should be on the coast at Morehead City.

Not with a positively tilted trough

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Looking better

[peribonca]

Just now, AlexD1990 said:

this one definitely has the potential to be a forum divider in reverse of this weekend.

This past weekend was pretty great everywhere imho

[stormtracker]

[Cobalt]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Better, regardless.  Can't see h5 so can't predict what the next panel gonna do

 

12z didn't have precip within 50 miles of DC, so a definite step up on the surface side of things.

[Ji]

Just now, Solution Man said:

Looking better

i see the closed circle in WV lol

[BristowWx]

10 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Nothing noteworthy yet.  Early tho

Some guy from Tacoma Park said it’s solid

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, peribonca said:

This past weekend was pretty great everywhere imho

Yeah it was a pretty uniform 7-9 inches from DC-north

[midatlanticweather]

Better! We need each run to get better from now on!  

 

[Solution Man]

We are still in the game

[clskinsfan]

AI is tasty

[stormtracker]

Almost