January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Nomz]

Another bomb (1006-958) at h264 just sideswipes us

[bncho]

Cool change on the EPS

[stormtracker]

9 minutes ago, bncho said:

EPS-AI looking better at h5... snow maps TBD

Looks out to sea from what I can tell on pivotal

[bncho]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Looks out to sea from what I can tell on pivotal

ever so slightly worse than 18z

[bncho]

EPS snow mean skyrocketed

[Heisy]

ever so slightly worse than 18z

It’s def better than 18z to me,

And this is the trend since 12z




.

[bncho]

Just now, Heisy said:

It’s def better than 18z to me,

And this is the trend since 12z




.

At h5 it definitely is, in terms of snowfall nah

[Heisy]

At h5 it definitely is, in terms of snowfall nah

My bad I thought you were talking about the eps not the EPS Ai


.

[TowsonWeather]

58 minutes ago, bncho said:

Historic. East. Coast. Cutter. To. Chicago.

“I’d rather be in Omaha.”

     - L. Uccellini 

[overcautionisbad]

1 hour ago, bncho said:

you get pummeled too

Welp, this would make everyone in here happy lol. Richmond, DC, Norfolk, Maryland

 

But I know how it goes for Richmond. In the bullseye too soon. *sigh*

[Jebman]

Imagine all that fresh snow right on top of that Glacier. It'd be an outright Cryosphere

[overcautionisbad]

I will be holding my breath. It all looked so good for Richmond back on Tuesday, then Wednesday it all changed.

[Ji]

It’s too good to be true right?

Nobody just hands us a freaking hecs 99 hours out(that’s when the northern branch starts to dig)

In 24 hours will be in Nam range lol



Picked the wrong night to go bed early

[CAPE]

So I see some excitement has returned for Feb 1st. Y'all left it for dead.

[CAPE]

I slept like a baby and I'm headed out to chisel my jeep out of its encasement and try to get to work lol. This may have been posted but no time to browse 20 pages.

This is pretty tasty and close enough for a mean at this range. Like I said last night there is plenty of time for guidance to correct any possible errors with the key features, and we all know nothing is ever nailed 5+ days out. More changes likely to come.

[Disc]

Well it's not gonna get there yet, but 5H continues to improve. 

 

 

 

[Ji]

Well it's not gonna get there yet, but 5H continues to improve. 
 
 
 

Icon might of been trying to do naught things

[mitchnick]

17 minutes ago, Ji said:

Icon might of been trying to do naught things

Not there, but headed in the right when comparing 0z to 6z.

[Terpeast]

Looks like the trough/sw is backing west, eliminating some OTS possibilities. But we'll just have to see how far west it backs until they hone into something that's close to a solution. The storm yesterday - the NS wave and the phase kept backing west for days, and for a couple days it was at the sweet spot for us, and then it still kept backing west.

[Maestrobjwa]

13 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Looks like the trough/sw is backing west, eliminating some OTS possibilities. But we'll just have to see how far west it backs until they hone into something that's close to a solution. The storm yesterday - the NS wave and the phase kept backing west for days, and for a couple days it was at the sweet spot for us, and then it still kept backing west.

That have something to do with where the PNA ridge will be?

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

It’s too good to be true right?

Nobody just hands us a freaking hecs 99 hours out(that’s when the northern branch starts to dig)

In 24 hours will be in Nam range lol



Picked the wrong night to go bed early

This is how I felt lol, cant just pop an HECS like this! 
 

977 low sitting over lewes Delaware on 0z euro is wild. We’d be cranking snow and winds with that.  

[Terpeast]

7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

That have something to do with where the PNA ridge will be?

Yes, that and how the ridge is oriented. Right now it's a bit too east and tilted east up top

[GreyHat]

5 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

This is how I felt lol, cant just pop an HECS like this! 
 

977 low sitting over lewes Delaware on 0z euro is wild. We’d be cranking snow and winds with that.  

It may as well have an eye like a hurricane. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

EURO ai is a big hit at 6z

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z EURO AI is a nice hit.

[RevWarReenactor]

35 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Looks like the trough/sw is backing west, eliminating some OTS possibilities. But we'll just have to see how far west it backs until they hone into something that's close to a solution. The storm yesterday - the NS wave and the phase kept backing west for days, and for a couple days it was at the sweet spot for us, and then it still kept backing west.

Based on this it sounds like its exactly where we want it. And with the trend bringing this closer to us, seems like we are in a great spot. 

[TSSN+]

Hole Lee Fook!

 

[Weather Will]

Well another week of tracking is upon us.  Wonder when NWS will change the mostly sunny forecast for the weekend....

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Hole Lee Fook!

 

Isn’t this the “ai has been deadly range”?  5 ish days?

[JakkelWx]

6z euro... FOOOLKS