January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[NorthArlington101]

18z Euro Ai keeping hope slightly alive for next week, 12z eps still had a few good members in there.


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Seen a couple AI models like the period, including the Google Weathernext 2, which seems to be doing well recently. I’m still interested.

[Heisy]

Seen a couple AI models like the period, including the Google Weathernext 2, which seems to be doing well recently. I’m still interested.

The OP looks REALLY CLOSE here. I’d love to see what it would have done beyond 144




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[Heisy]

Wow!


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[Heisy]

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[aldie 22]

Just now, Heisy said:

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Is that good?

[Heisy]

Is that good?

It was about to show a blizzard, so yes




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[stormtracker]

8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Seen a couple AI models like the period, including the Google Weathernext 2, which seems to be doing well recently. I’m still interested.

I think it's dead. :/

[yoda]

Just now, stormtracker said:

I think it's dead. :/

18z euro said hold up 

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Is that good?

Um, fuck yeah it is.   Ok..I take back what I said.  Maybe it isn't dead

[NorthArlington101]

I think it's dead. :/

Did you see the EURO? Right above? Idk. I’ll take my odds on a EURO/AIFS combo with some random AI stuff thrown in at Day 7. We’ve got a fighting chance

[stormtracker]

Everybody is not paying attention but when they see this shit

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Did you see the EURO? Right above? Idk. I’ll take my odds on a EURO/AIFS combo with some random AI stuff thrown in at Day 7. We’ve got a fighting chance

Check my posts after 

[aldie 22]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Everybody is not paying attention but when they see this shit

I mean 144 hours isn't forever 

[Heisy]

Um, fuck yeah it is.   Ok..I take back what I said.  Maybe it isn't dead

Big change for one run, so need to see the EPS and some consistency at 00z, but we got a man on 1st at least


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[CAPE]

7 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

Not too jazzed on next weekend rn. Ridge axis to the west is prob too close and the setup requires near perfection with timing as the window to crawl the coast is super tight.  Time will tell. Beyond that is looking more ripe. Western ridge axis retros and a strong west based NAO block would force NS shortwaves south of us and far enough west for some amplification. Split flow potential as well. I REALLY like this look....

 

Eta: all 3 global ens are lock step. Confidence booster...

 

 

 

 

It is a great look. The problem(as you know) is these advertised 'big potential' h5 patterns at this range tend to end up somewhat different the closer we get. This coming weekend looked full of potential 5-6 days ago on the ensembles. The the analogs reflected the potential. So as always, we keep checking run-by-run, day-by day, and see how the guidance evolves. It would be nice to get some snow in the next 10 days. Early Feb still holds some potential imo. Still a week out.

[Cobalt]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Everybody is not paying attention but when they see this shit

Might be weenie folklore but it's only fitting that this window is showing back up as our current system is exiting stage right. GEFS is still offshore but beefed up, a lot of monster lows within range.

[stormtracker]

Just now, Heisy said:

Big change for one run, so need to see the EPS and some consistency at 00z, but we got a man on 1st at least


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Man, that's is textbook and it showed up at 144.   Hope it can maintain and start showing up elsewhere 

[H2O]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Everybody is not paying attention but when they see this shit

6 days away and the euro?  Well slap my tits and call me Betty but I'm interested

[bncho]

Euro/Euro AI combo = like 98% verification rates, based off the weenie handbook. GFS by itself = 100% though.

[nj2va]

8 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Wow!


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That’s textbook

[yoda]

18z euro to us thinking the next weekend threat may be dead 

 

 

[Eskimo Joe]

7 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Everybody is not paying attention but when they see this shit

This is how you get two to three feet of snow.

[benjammin]

18z Euro says "Not so fast my friend."

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[bncho]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

This is how you get tow to three feet of snow.

I don't know how you would tow 3' of snow... 

[H2O]

Gonna start a thread for it

[AlexD1990]

told y'all to not give up on this weekend 

 

(yes I know its a week out, but the signal is not dead. lets see what happens)

[stormtracker]

6 minutes ago, H2O said:

Gonna start a thread for it

I just did.  Storm Mode too.

[Kevin Reilly]

15 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Everybody is not paying attention but when they see this shit

Remember what the gfs showed 977 east of Delaware!!

[Terpeast]

15 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

This is how you get two to three feet of snow.

On top of what we got today? If that panned out, counties might as well give up on make up days and people are gonna go stir crazy haha

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z AI EPS