January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[dendrite]

34 and ripping -GSSN

[dendrite]

Wow what a winter. Raised my grade to a B for now

Over to all snow since this vid finally uploaded 

 

 

[MJO812]

Weeklies are great through mid February .

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Weeklies are great through mid February .

Hopefully we go on a big run.  Not much more to say…wait and see. Lots of winter left is the bright side at the moment. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Ai gfs ftw

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ai gfs ftw

Do tell Luke. 

[MJO812]

Gfs trending to the euro in the mid to long range with cold and snowy weather

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs trending to the euro in the mid to long range with cold and snowy weather

Pattern is loaded next week and we don’t have to worry about the issues from this week 

[cleetussnow]

Whites of their eyes.  Not until I see the whites. Weeklies smeeklies.  Show me the money.  

[ORH_wxman]

OP GFS with another round of hits next week and weekend. Been a lot of that recently which is something that we hadn’t seen much of so far this winter. We’ve had fleeting larger threats but not a lot of consistent longer range storms that show up multiple runs across different guidance. So that keeps me optimistic. 

[ineedsnow]

GFS is storm after storm

[CoastalWx]

Yeah, the op runs are finally showing some hits now. Now we can officially switch gears.

[ORH_wxman]

The January formula for having a chance to save this winter:

1. Don’t get skunked Sunday (at least give a chunk of the region a few inches…doesn’t need to be massive)

2. Grab a warning event out of the SWFE pattern late next week/weekend

3. Grab a major event out of the El Niño +PNA pattern between 1/26-1/30. 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The January formula for having a chance to save this winter:

1. Don’t get skunked Sunday (at least give a chunk of the region a few inches…doesn’t need to be massive)

2. Grab a warning event out of the SWFE pattern late next week/weekend

3. Grab a major event out of the El Niño +PNA pattern between 1/26-1/30. 

What about not getting skunked Saturday?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What about not getting skunked Saturday?

I don’t think Saturday is widespread enough for most 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What about not getting skunked Saturday?

Saturday is meaningless 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Saturday is meaningless 

Not for the interior. 2-5” of paste is gonna be fun . 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Not for the interior. 2-5” of paste is gonna be fun . 

You mean 1-3”. Sounds worthy of staying up all night.

[CoastalWx]

And it’s WoR

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

And it’s WoR

I’m not sure why you keep doing this . You look like an idiot. It’s 1-3/2-4 most of interior SNE up to near Ray . The other Mets told you earlier 

[vortex95]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, the op runs are finally showing some hits now. Now we can officially switch gears.

Wow, that much optimism so soon?  Just how many times the op runs have had something "out there" in the long range, and never deliver.  I don't see any real change to the NAMR 500 mean pattern UFN.  In others words, MOTS (more of the same).  "Cold 'n dry, kiss'em GOODBYE!" 

CoastalWx is getting so *sick* of these nickel and dime events, like what is coming up on Saturday.  He can't even enjoy that in Weymouth b/c it will be too mild!

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not sure why you keep doing this . You look like an idiot. It’s 1-3/2-4 most of interior SNE up to near Ray . The other Mets told you earlier 

Because that’s where every model has the best stuff. Look at a model for once. Congrats on some snow.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Because that’s where every model has the best stuff. Look at a model for once. Congrats on some snow.

Every single model has a few inches right thru my area. Literally . I don’t know what else to tell you . There’s a thread for this . So if you want to continue take it there. 

[TheBudMan]

Love @vortex95just trolling @CoastalWx     Does @CoastalWxreturn the favor in May when the High Risk day in Oklahoma fizzles 

[CoastalWx]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Every single model has a few inches right thru my area. Literally . I don’t know what else to tell you . There’s a thread for this . So if you want to continue take it there. 

You need to relax. You don’t have to jackpot every single storm.

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, TheBudMan said:

Love @vortex95just trolling @CoastalWx     Does @CoastalWxreturn the favor in May when the High Risk day in Oklahoma fizzles 

He gets mad when a poo poo our severe weather 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

You need to relax. You don’t have to jackpot every single storm.

I never care to jack . All I’m saying is this area is in line to get a couple inches and you keep saying no snow EOR which I honestly don’t get?

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I never care to jack . All I’m saying is this area is in line to get a couple inches and you keep saying no snow EOR which I honestly don’t get?

WoR looks best due to the better dynamics seemingly going from NJ to SNH or so. You’ll probably get a couple or maybe more. That’s all I mean.
This coming from someone referring to SWey all the time.  

[alex]

1 hour ago, cleetussnow said:

Whites of their eyes.  Not until I see the whites. Weeklies smeeklies.  Show me the money.  

Come see the whites. I see them every day and it never gets old

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Do tell Luke. 

Deep winter with a good coastal for the 25th.