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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This winter it def is. Fast PAC flow nonsense . Unrelenting 

This has other complications besides that.  A kicker is involved, and another trough are keeping it from coming together as it should…at least currently.  So a meager event is probably what will come of it.  Vortex95 has a great write up in the specific storm thread.  

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26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Is it that hard to get a 6” event? FFS.

Don't let the lack of us getting any good snow events take you down. It's not worth it. Honestly, we'll get some snow. Maybe we won't get a big one again this year and continue the drought, which sucks, but when we do get it it's all the more sweeter. Chin up

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Ensembles have an interesting western ridge spike near the end of their run around 1/25. A few of the OP runs have been showing a bigger system around then too. 
 

I’d also still keep an eye on potential SWFE type system around 1/18-19

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Legit arctic airmass around 18th. 

But looks like one of them “west is colder than north” type packages. Slight moderation as it swings East after diving south…

Boston warmer than Greenville SC type deals…

Could be a big deal in places like Atlanta…

 

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33 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

I could easily see the 18th split the forum like the 12z GFS advertised…

 

But at least we’re looking at legit big storm potential. 
 

The synoptic setup is amped..


977 over Bangor ME giving a hint at the potent setup.

Finally something to track

Pattern than completely collapses 

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