January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Snowcrazed71]

So with things getting pushed South a bit more for this Saturday, as far as temps go, does it look like the rain might change to some wintry mix in Southern / Central New England?

[MJO812]

We all need to move near the lakes. What a season for them.

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

No why? What's your call big boy? Put your comments where your mouth is.

He just goofs around now….jokes and wise cracks all the time.  Ya hate to see it.  

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We all need to move near the lakes. What a season for them.

You’re not doing too bad considering where you usually are at this point. 

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

but that’s fake. 

-25 on March 24 is one chilly fake spring day.

[codfishsnowman]

12 hours ago, UnitedWx said:

Don't forget Western Mass...

I'm way more jealous of the storm the winter before last that was supposed to be an easy peasy locked in low double digit event that did a Messenger shuffle just before game time and central and southern ct again crushed it making diamonds out of some wild forcing just twenty miles south of us. All the stories from Bristol and West Hartford Meriden etc of 2-4/hr snows and the most beautiful flakes and snow growth that man ever did see. We picked up a quick three or four inches with the amounts rapidly tapering off just to the north and west. The sun came out and half of that was gone by noon while snowmen were taking over Hartford county.

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

I'm way more jealous of the storm the winter before last that was supposed to be an easy peasy locked in low double digit event that did a Messenger shuffle just before game time and central and southern ct again crushed it making diamonds out of some wild forcing just twenty miles south of us. All the stories from Bristol and West Hartford Meriden etc of 2-4/hr snows and the most beautiful flakes and snow growth that man ever did see. We picked up a quick three or four inches with the amounts rapidly tapering off just to the north and west. The sun came out and half of that was gone by noon while snowmen were taking over Hartford county.

It was a beaut Clark.  13” here…16” plus in W. Hartford. The forecast the night before was for very little after the rug got pulled. Crazy. 

[codfishsnowman]

19 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I think it’s a little different. Yes you guys didn’t get the historic snow, but it was still well above average, I think that sometimes gets lost in the shuffle 

Ten inches above average. I guess that could be well above average at 120 percent just seems kind of meh but all that baking powder and consistent cold did put down a two foot depth on the level pretty late into the season which is nothing to sneeze at. There just wasn't any Thunder snow or prolonged 2-3+/hr rates or much currier and ives upper level stuff and only one of those events produced a solid foot here in Springfield but that winter and 10-11 of course are the only times I have ever seen two feet or more on the level from successive storms in my 21 years in Springfield.

[MJO812]

32 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

You’re not doing too bad considering where you usually are at this point. 

Im around 9 inches right now.

[WxWatcher007]

45 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's also when nose hair in your nostrils freeze closed as well.

Yup. Love that kind of cold. Seriously, I've probably had as many sub zero days up there in Dec and early January than I have probably witnessed in my adult life down here near HFD. 

39 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We all need to move near the lakes. What a season for them.

Areas off Ontario have absolutely cooked with that last epic LES event. Like 120+ on the season kind of cooked. Those numbers still seem low. I'm at 9.5 near HFD and well above that 47" up near SLK. 

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

1/15 will probably be one of the few times this winter the antecedent airmass won't be great, if a storm actually manifests during that time - as shown by OPs and ensembles. 1/17 and beyond looks much more promising. 

We'll see, there's a ways to go. If this is still showing as something decent on models as we get closer but the airmass is crap, you KNOW what phrase will be dug out by the weenies

[kdxken]

Added a few flakes to the last dusting .

 

[tavwtby]

I picked up the fluffiest inch of snow from the earlier burst around 4, I could still see the deck through it, crazy stacking dendies, nothing falling now despite radar overhead...

[The 4 Seasons]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Im around 9 inches right now.

 

40 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

You’re not doing too bad considering where you usually are at this point. 

Yeah hes AN right now. KNYC should be 6.5 to date. Next week or so will bring him down to right around normal.

It's def above normal here as well...for now.

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It was a beaut Clark.  13” here…16” plus in W. Hartford. The forecast the night before was for very little after the rug got pulled. Crazy. 

15.7 in W Ha i believe the report is from Ryan he jackpotted. I actually just got done re-doing that entire storm for like the 4th time for accuracy and to include the new wider view Lower Northeast maps. That was the most recent double digit storm in CT. Working on Jan 6-7th, 2024 now. 

 

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

-25 on March 24 is one chilly fake spring day.

When it’s -25 at your feet and +25 at the top of your head it’s fake.

[kdxken]

Maybe it's just me but I don't see a lot of action coming our way. Or cold air for that matter. Some in Canada at the very end of the runs.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

Yeah hes AN right now. KNYC should be 6.5 to date. Next week or so will bring him down to right around normal.

It's def above normal here as well...for now.

15.7 in W Ha i believe the report is from Ryan he jackpotted. I actually just got done re-doing that entire storm for like the 4th time for accuracy and to include the new wider view Lower Northeast maps. That was the most recent double digit storm in CT. Working on Jan 6-7th, 2024 now. 

 

OMG fuck that storm 

[CT Rain]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

OMG fuck that storm 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

OMG fuck that storm 

sorry 

[CoastalWx]

God that storm lol. Precision screw job. 

[Krs4Lfe]

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

Yeah hes AN right now. KNYC should be 6.5 to date. Next week or so will bring him down to right around normal.

It's def above normal here as well...for now.

15.7 in W Ha i believe the report is from Ryan he jackpotted. I actually just got done re-doing that entire storm for like the 4th time for accuracy and to include the new wider view Lower Northeast maps. That was the most recent double digit storm in CT. Working on Jan 6-7th, 2024 now. 

 

We’re almost all above normal at normal for now. Give it a week or so or two weeks and we’re all below normal. Never seen almost compete dryness for most of US in January. A sight to behold 

[KTBFFH1905]

6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

Yeah hes AN right now. KNYC should be 6.5 to date. Next week or so will bring him down to right around normal.

It's def above normal here as well...for now.

15.7 in W Ha i believe the report is from Ryan he jackpotted. I actually just got done re-doing that entire storm for like the 4th time for accuracy and to include the new wider view Lower Northeast maps. That was the most recent double digit storm in CT. Working on Jan 6-7th, 2024 now. 

 

We are at 14.9 in Avon. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Man Fish has really struggled this winter . He’s had a poor forecasting winter 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

OMG fuck that storm 

Ya..it fu**ed you big time…as you said, w/precision. 

[The 4 Seasons]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

God that storm lol. Precision screw job. 

BOS under a WSW and got 0.1 LMAO. 

Haven't experienced a bust that bad here in a very long time, probably Mar 18. 

[WxWatcher007]

17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

Yeah hes AN right now. KNYC should be 6.5 to date. Next week or so will bring him down to right around normal.

It's def above normal here as well...for now.

15.7 in W Ha i believe the report is from Ryan he jackpotted. I actually just got done re-doing that entire storm for like the 4th time for accuracy and to include the new wider view Lower Northeast maps. That was the most recent double digit storm in CT. Working on Jan 6-7th, 2024 now. 

 

Let's do that again. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Just getting caught up in the extended, I’m actually pleased with that look. Take a little southeast Ridge fighting that cold air from Canada with a negative EPO and Greenland Ridge. Also, the op runs are starting to show storms. The op runs are like an ensemble member… But when a pattern becomes favorable, you typically start to see the op runs showing some storms. We’re starting to see that which is good. One of the red flags I’ve noticed is that the op runs never show anything despite ensembles showing a favorable pattern. Kind of a red flag when that happens.

The storm misses are close calls too which is a good sign. 18z GFS had a few just wide right. 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOS under a WSW and got 0.1 LMAO. 

Haven't experienced a bust that bad here in a very long time, probably Mar 18. 

On the flip side of that, We got a foot plus with no WSWarning…lol. Complete debacle on both ends of the spectrum with that one. 

[ORH_wxman]

18 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Maybe it's just me but I don't see a lot of action coming our way. Or cold air for that matter. Some in Canada at the very end of the runs.

Well there is nothing until next week…the pseudo-cutter CAD storm this weekend which is prob just cold rain down here…then the pattern looks a lot better starting around 1/14-15ish. So any threats are gonna be D10 or longer. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Yeah, the 18GFS is a pretty good look D9-15 but were talking an OP run in clown range but overall the look was good. Lots of chances post Jan 14ish