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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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11 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Actually when you're looking at patterns that far out, it's not a bad look... OP run, you know the drill... right? What do the ensembles say?

It’s not a good sign when we are tracking patterns rather than individual storms in January. 

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Just now, dryslot said:

Even with the extension, The exhaust on the auger was in the hole, Nuts how cold that area gets thats not reported.

It gets FU Cold in Maine. Its just different. Once the sun goes down its just brutal. 

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3 minutes ago, George001 said:

It’s not a good sign when we are tracking patterns rather than individual storms in January. 

Well 80 percent of the "storms" are usually fantasy land crap anyway. Sure, fun to look at, but many times nothing. There ARE storm chances if you look at the latest GFS. Not in the bullseye, who cares at this time frame. To me it's worse in the winters where there's all kinds of model candy that never happens

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6 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Well 80 percent of the "storms" are usually fantasy land crap anyway. Sure, fun to look at, but many times nothing. There ARE storm chances if you look at the latest GFS. Not in the bullseye, who cares at this time frame. To me it's worse in the winters where there's all kinds of model candy that never happens

Just feel like we are so overdue for a good thump of snow. 

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12z Euro sags the sfc front south of SNE during the day on Saturday as well. No warm sector happening Saturday night/Sunday at least over the interior...might sneak some parakeets onto the Cape. 

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What about Friday ?

Warmest day of the week I think....prob mid 40s? We have southerly flow, but it's weak. Cant get the real warm stuff in the Delmarva up into here with that weak flow...then flow turns back N overnight Friday night. 

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1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Does this mean we snow on Saturday/Saturday night?

No, prob ZR though in your area...maybe some IP too if the cold gets deep enough in the boundary layer. 

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

No, prob ZR though in your area...maybe some IP too if the cold gets deep enough in the boundary layer. 

maybe a bit of snow and then the FZ.  Another very solid layer of pack before the real good stuff comes mid month.  I think that is coming by the way.  The change of the pattern should do the trick for at least one sizable storm.

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3 hours ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Nothing to look forward to weather wise in the forseeable future. We return to cold next week; at least that we know. But storminess? The US is pretty much void of any activity. I haven’t seen this even in ratter winters for us. Just warm and dry in central US and the west and then cold and dry in the east. Remarkable 

I think you spoke too soon…take a break, and sober up down there in NYC. 

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2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what we told Dendy last night and he didn’t buy 

I didn’t rule it out. But we needed a larger scale change to get the boundary south of you and we got it at 12z. 

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