January 2026 OBS and Discussion

[NorthShoreWx]

24 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Wonder if we’ll see the back bays here frozen over. Probably given the duration of the cold and that every night should be in the teens and single digits some nights. 

Back bays are easy.  I want to see the sound freeze again.  That was very cool in 2015.  Posed out on the ice with my wife and it looked like we were standing on the Antarctic ice sheet.

[psv88]

1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Back bays are easy.  I want to see the sound freeze again.  That was very cool in 2015.  Posed out on the ice with my wife and it looked like we were standing on the Antarctic ice sheet.

Huntington Harbor will freeze easily. Same with Northport harbor. There’s a chance Northport bay freezes as well. I’ve never seen Huntington bay frozen and I’m not sure we get cold enough. 

[steve392]

Winds absolutely blowing outside again.  

[jm1220]

6 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Back bays are easy.  I want to see the sound freeze again.  That was very cool in 2015.  Posed out on the ice with my wife and it looked like we were standing on the Antarctic ice sheet.

Yep-I remember how much ice I saw on Reynolds Channel in Jan 2004 and being amazed, it really resembled the Arctic. Would be awesome to see that again. 

[NorthShoreWx]

13 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Yep-I remember how much ice I saw on Reynolds Channel in Jan 2004 and being amazed, it really resembled the Arctic. Would be awesome to see that again. 

[Prue11]

14 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

2015 was cold and snowy!

[bluewave]

I think NYC has a shot at a 5° or colder reading this Friday and Saturday. Temperatures this cold over the last decade have been few and far between.

There have only been 5 days getting this cold over the period. The last time was back in early February 2023.

The one feature all these very cold days had in common was a strong block north of Alaska. The current block is approaching records near -5 SD which will drive a lobe of the TPV into the Northeast.
 

NYC 5° and colder days since 2016 

2-4-23…..3°

1-31-19…..2°

1-21-19….4°

1-7-18……5°

2-14-16….-1°

500 mb composite of dates

 

Current pattern and forecast 

 

[NorthShoreWx]

10 hours ago, psv88 said:

Huntington Harbor will freeze easily. Same with Northport harbor. There’s a chance Northport bay freezes as well. I’ve never seen Huntington bay frozen and I’m not sure we get cold enough. 

The water at Kings Point is either right at the freezing point (for western LI Sound salinity) or already frozen.  Bridgeport and New Haven are getting close:

https://www.weather.gov/okx/Marine_Obs.html

 

[Nibor]

 

Significant amount of ice on the Hudson this morning compared to last night. 

[IrishRob17]

Low of 1 at 8:17am, up to 13 now.

[jm1220]

13 hours ago, MJO812 said:

I love snow but I hate driving in it and trying to find parking. Its a pain in the ass. People are double parking and parking in weird ways. 

Its a big mess

Took almost 10 minutes just to drive down my street to Jericho Turnpike this morning. I live on a narrow curvy street and the snow banks plus school buses made it ridiculous. 

[MANDA]

1 hour ago, Nibor said:

 

Significant amount of ice on the Hudson this morning compared to last night. 

Looks great.  Can you snap the same picture on Sunday morning for us!?

[MANDA]

Some peaceful pictures on a cold morning.

CP and cardinals puffing up to keep warm in Kentucky.

[Nibor]

4 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Looks great.  Can you snap the same picture on Sunday morning for us!?

If we get the big one I’ll make the trek

[sussexcountyobs]

Currently light snow. 15.8F

[NorthShoreWx]

Manhasset Bay Live:

https://baycam.manhassetbayyc.org:37777/view/view.shtml?id=288&imagepath=%2Fmjpg%2Fvideo.mjpg&size=1

 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Disturbance might bring us some fresh powder later on. The more the marrier I say.. its cold and snow grey outside rn.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Currently light snow. 15.8F

I just wrote about the possibility of some more powder today. Good to see its snowing again.

[NorthShoreWx]

Of the mesos available on TT, FV3 and RGEM seem to have the best handle on where there is precipitation right now (18z).  Both give a coating to most of us this afternoon.  Not saying I believe it, but they are off to a good start.

[IrishRob17]

10 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Of the mesos available on TT, FV3 and RGEM seem to have the best handle on where there is precipitation right now (18z).  Both give a coating to most of us this afternoon.  Not saying I believe it, but they are off to a good start.

Its legit light snow up here in central Orange County right now.

[SACRUS]

[MJO812]

Euro doesnt have temps above freezing throughout the whole run which goes to February 11.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

33 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

I just wrote about the possibility of some more powder today. Good to see its snowing again.

Yes, it's been so long.

[IrishRob17]

1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said:

Knowing is Half The Battle.


.

Like knowing how to crop a photo?

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said:

Knowing is Half The Battle.


.

amazing how many people (in general) don't know the difference b/w Freezing rain, sleet and hail

[wishcast_hater]

Haters gonna hate


.

[NorthShoreWx]

6 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

Haters gonna hate


.

 

Mixed precip

 

[weatherpruf]

5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

amazing how many people (in general) don't know the difference b/w Freezing rain, sleet and hail

funny i was at the supermarket this morning and everyone who worked there was bragging how they have their own met, one of the cashiers who has a degree....rutgers....we got to talking and he was surprised i knew the terminology so well...i told him i am one of the most ignorant posters on here when it comes to the science, but i know the lingo pretty well by now...we talked miller a's vs miller b's, he said this weekend could be a miller a, and he really wanted to get into broadcasting. rutgers is a solid program. the historical importance of this recent snow and sleetfest i think, was lost on a lot of us; they are still having trouble with cleanup all over cnj.

[TriPol]

NYC ferry service just announced that it’s suspending all ferries due to ice buildup in the East River.

[Brian5671]

6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

funny i was at the supermarket this morning and everyone who worked there was bragging how they have their own met, one of the cashiers who has a degree....rutgers....we got to talking and he was surprised i knew the terminology so well...i told him i am one of the most ignorant posters on here when it comes to the science, but i know the lingo pretty well by now...we talked miller a's vs miller b's, he said this weekend could be a miller a, and he really wanted to get into broadcasting. rutgers is a solid program. the historical importance of this recent snow and sleetfest i think, was lost on a lot of us; they are still having trouble with cleanup all over cnj.

it's a mess here too even today-large snowbanks, sidewalks still uncleared-most schools had a 2 hr delay or closure today