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January 2026 OBS and Discussion


TriPol
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24 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Wonder if we’ll see the back bays here frozen over. Probably given the duration of the cold and that every night should be in the teens and single digits some nights. 

Back bays are easy.  I want to see the sound freeze again.  That was very cool in 2015.  Posed out on the ice with my wife and it looked like we were standing on the Antarctic ice sheet.

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1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Back bays are easy.  I want to see the sound freeze again.  That was very cool in 2015.  Posed out on the ice with my wife and it looked like we were standing on the Antarctic ice sheet.

Huntington Harbor will freeze easily. Same with Northport harbor. There’s a chance Northport bay freezes as well. I’ve never seen Huntington bay frozen and I’m not sure we get cold enough. 

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6 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Back bays are easy.  I want to see the sound freeze again.  That was very cool in 2015.  Posed out on the ice with my wife and it looked like we were standing on the Antarctic ice sheet.

Yep-I remember how much ice I saw on Reynolds Channel in Jan 2004 and being amazed, it really resembled the Arctic. Would be awesome to see that again. 

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I think NYC has a shot at a 5° or colder reading this Friday and Saturday. Temperatures this cold over the last decade have been few and far between.

There have only been 5 days getting this cold over the period. The last time was back in early February 2023.

The one feature all these very cold days had in common was a strong block north of Alaska. The current block is approaching records near -5 SD which will drive a lobe of the TPV into the Northeast.
 

NYC 5° and colder days since 2016 

2-4-23…..3°

1-31-19…..2°

1-21-19….4°

1-7-18……5°

2-14-16….-1°


500 mb composite of dates

IMG_5674.gif.67d1d6aecea7db994368dc6154199c8a.gif

 

Current pattern and forecast 

 

IMG_5670.thumb.jpeg.35db1272148f40ede610b5031569e1be.jpeg

IMG_5675.thumb.png.8bd9c4f0f9d44f0a204605128f66d238.png


IMG_5676.thumb.png.8e73c42cfba0a6b4b3243187849ef702.png

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10 hours ago, psv88 said:

Huntington Harbor will freeze easily. Same with Northport harbor. There’s a chance Northport bay freezes as well. I’ve never seen Huntington bay frozen and I’m not sure we get cold enough. 

The water at Kings Point is either right at the freezing point (for western LI Sound salinity) or already frozen.  Bridgeport and New Haven are getting close:

https://www.weather.gov/okx/Marine_Obs.html

 

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13 hours ago, MJO812 said:

I love snow but I hate driving in it and trying to find parking. Its a pain in the ass. People are double parking and parking in weird ways. 

Its a big mess

Took almost 10 minutes just to drive down my street to Jericho Turnpike this morning. I live on a narrow curvy street and the snow banks plus school buses made it ridiculous. 

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