Snow Potential Dec 26-27

[mob1]

Euro 

[BoulderWX]

4 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Good sign as it was already pretty good at 06Z

Edit; actually looks slightly worse than 06Z

 

Yeah, not as robust with the precip field. off for the afternoon - but hoping for a 3-5 event still. Merry Christmas! 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

Euro 

Less qpf than 0z. 3-6 inches  on euro but the qpf distribution is weird. 

[MJO812]

Kuchera

[MJO812]

Mike Masco is going with 6-10 for NYC south until CNJ with 10 plus for the interior areas.

[wishcast_hater]

The NWS finally woke up and put us under a WSW for my area. 5”-7” for my area. Would I like higher amounts than that? Sure! But we have done pretty well up here for December having snow on the ground for a few weeks. It’s a white Christmas for us.


.

[weathermedic]

Warnings up for Dutchess and Ulster for 5-8 inches

[BoulderWX]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Mike Masco is going with 6-10 for NYC south until CNJ with 10 plus for the interior areas.

Miss the days when it’s wasn’t just for ratings - someone will see above 6 but many Mets are pushing wide areas of 6-10. 

[Snowlover11]

Enjoy weens, Let’s enjoy this one and keep the bickering at bay at-least for one day. Merry Christmas.

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Miss the days when it’s wasn’t just for ratings - someone will see above 6 but many Mets are pushing wide areas of 6-10. 

Yep I dont get it. I think 3-6 but 6-10 is alot.

[MJO812]

Another meteorologist with  5-8 inches for NYC ( John Marshall )

[Stormlover74]

I like this blended map...at least the alignment. Amounts might be an inch or two too high in the southern purple areas

[tdp146]

4-8… lumps of coal for all. 

[psv88]

Euro looks great for the nyc metro area. Man if we can get a -EPO to pop for a bit we may be able to have an above average winter 

[winterwx21]

Euro looks pretty good. I'm sticking with the 4 to 7 that I called for my area yesterday. 

[Stormlover74]

Just now, winterwx21 said:

Euro looks pretty good. I'm sticking with the 4 to 7 that I called for my area yesterday. 

The less sleet the better. Want to be able to use the snowblower again

[BxEngine]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

The less sleet the better. Want to be able to use the snowblower again

The last time i used my snowblower i launched a live mouse across my street. Oops. 

[kat5hurricane]

I think we get the low end of the 3-6", not always the case but usually north trend is the rule with these types of storms and sleet might cut down on some of the accumulations. Either way, it'll be a nice little storm for just about all of us so just enjoy. Merry Christmas all

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

I think we get the low end of the 3-6", not always the case but usually north trend is the rule in these types of storms.

you never know if start using the mesoscale models as of this evening!

[mob1]

2 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

I think we get the low end of the 3-6", not always the case but usually north trend is the rule in these types of storms. Either way, it'll be a nice little storm for just about all of us so just enjoy. Merry Christmas all

Probably the case. On the bright side, we may not like the trend over the last 24 hours but keep in mind that this is what the Euro looked like 4 days ago, at least we're not getting a rainstorm  

[RCNYILWX]

Anyone well versed in how flights into HPN get affected on the incoming portion of a snow system? My family is out here in the Chicago area and they're supposed to take off at 2:13pm local and land at 5:26pm EST tomorrow. It's a little tricky with how the snow will be moving in by that time, vs. well underway regarding delays and cancellations.

Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

[BoulderWX]

30 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Miss the days when it’s wasn’t just for ratings 

Winter Storm Warning for Sussex and Morris. 5-8 

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said:

Anyone well versed in how flights into HPN get affected on the incoming portion of a snow system? My family is out here in the Chicago area and they're supposed to take off at 2:13pm local and land at 5:26pm EST tomorrow. It's a little tricky with how the snow will be moving in by that time, vs. well underway regarding delays and cancellations.

Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk
 

i think the snow moves in after 7 even in that area. They should be good... safe flight and Merry Christmas

[wthrmn654]

Winter storm warning area wide including all long island

[wthrmn654]

Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-

119 PM EST Thu Dec 25 2025

 

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST

SATURDAY...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and

  8 inches. Highest amounts are expected from near Riverhead on

  westward. The north and south forks will likely see a sharper

  gradient with amounts 2 to 5 inches.

 

* WHERE...Northeast Suffolk and Southeast Suffolk Counties.

 

* WHEN...From 7 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions

  could impact the Friday evening commute.

[Snowlover11]

6 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Anyone well versed in how flights into HPN get affected on the incoming portion of a snow system? My family is out here in the Chicago area and they're supposed to take off at 2:13pm local and land at 5:26pm EST tomorrow. It's a little tricky with how the snow will be moving in by that time, vs. well underway regarding delays and cancellations.

Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk
 

Will be a dicey situation. Snow should come in between 4-6pm. They should be able to get it. Then again it’s HPN. Small runway, etc.

[wthrmn654]

02-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-176>179-260900-

/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0004.251226T2100Z-251227T1800Z/

/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0003.251226T2100Z-251227T1800Z/

Northern Fairfield-Southern Fairfield-Western Passaic-Eastern

Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-

Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-

Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-

Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-

Southwest Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-

Southern Nassau-

119 PM EST Thu Dec 25 2025

 

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST

SATURDAY...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and

  8 inches.

 

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey,

  and southeast New York.

 

* WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions

  could impact the Friday evening commute.

[TJW014]

WS Watch to a WWA here. 1-3 snow/sleet + glaze of ice. Kinda expected. Hard to fight both WAA and the east wind. 

[Snowlover11]

[wthrmn654]

3 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

Is that on am app or something?