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December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?


Sey-Mour Snow
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27 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This is the exact type of event that we’d get to go from what it is now into a low end warning in the mid 2010s. Haven’t had any such luck recently. There is a path to a solid advisory, no matter how small it is 

A lot of those events just didn’t have the confluence that we have with this one. It would start out as a wave moving off of NC and just tickle NW each run. 

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Only out to 20 hours, but 18z NAM prob gonna join the rest of guidance…not quite as suppressed with heights over GL/Northeast as 12z run. Not a total shock as the NAM was one of the most suppressed runs at 12z. 

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5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Only out to 20 hours, but 18z NAM prob gonna join the rest of guidance…not quite as suppressed with heights over GL/Northeast as 12z run. Not a total shock as the NAM was one of the most suppressed runs at 12z. 

ya looking much better at hr 27

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2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

looked like it was going to be better.. still kind of meh

Started off better for sure. Need that shortwave to maintain its strength. It still ended up almost identical, which isn’t going to get it done.

I had some hope it may be better, but nope 

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1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It was a net improvement but not nearly enough for like anyone 5 miles away from The water lol

I wasn’t taking QPF literally just looking at overall structure. Another nudge would put you in the game. 3K is probably about 3” at your house. 

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I wasn’t taking QPF literally just looking at overall structure. Another nudge would put you in the game. 3K is probably about 3” at your house. 

Yeah, I definitely like the trend there. Another nudge or two like that, and like Will alluded to earlier, many in the pike region and south could be happy.

The shortwave maintained its strength, which is the path to something decent.

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, I definitely like the trend there. Another nudge or two like that, and like Will alluded to earlier, many in the pike region and south could be happy.

The shortwave maintained its strength, which is the path to something decent.

It’s more about the arm of confluence. As long as that can lift north it will help bring that snow shield north. But it’s only going to shift so much. I’d like it to shift more since I think some dry air will try to work into this area.

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